Day 35, U.S, targets civilian infrastructure.

 BRIDGES, VACCINE LAB, ELECTRIC 

IRAN STRIKES AMAZON AND ORACLE DATA CENTERS

Yesterday the U.S. began its program of destroying Iranian infrastructure, bridges, a Vaccine manufacturing plant, a pharmaceutical manufacturing plant and electric generation. Iran retaliated by attacking U.S. technology centers of Amazon and Oracle. It can be expected that they will soon attack Gulf countries oil and gas production facilities and desalination plants. It is likely that in the next few weeks the region will be in effect, disabled.  

While Trump predicts the war will go on for 2 or 3 weeks, that may be a very difficult prediciation. It is assuming that when the U.S. decides to stop, Iran will also stop. Can the U.S. go home if Iran continues to attack Israel and the gulf countries? We hear the bragging and europhia of a policy of death and destruction from the administration, but the bleeding is continuing, no only in Iran but for the entire region and the United States, who does not have the manufacturing ability to quickly replace what has gone up in smoke. It can be expected that a lot more will go up in smoke in the next few weeks.

The administration is now calling for a defense budget of $1.5 trillion and possible cuts to social programs to help pay for it. It is a suicide pact for the republican party. 

One can expect this war is going to hasten the move to an alternative global economic system and it may soon evolve into a alternative military alliance due to the narrative of violence coming out of Washington. International law observers have stated that if the present leadership of Trump, Hegseth, along with Lindsey Graham would be held to the same standards of the Nuremberg trials, they would be convicted by their own rhetoric and actions. One must wonder if a seperate international body will emerge with Washington and Israel on one side and the rest of the world on the other.

While this conflict is still ongoing, there are reports of supplies being accumulated in Greece and Cypress for a possible confrontation with Turkey. The new Iran according to Israeli politicians, who now consider Turkey a threat to their security.

It is very likely that hostilities in the region will continue into the fall and possibly even longer. It is very likely to remake the world into a very different place and not for the better.

Day 34, It makes sense, Gulf destruction.

 ESCALATION AND DESTRUCTION OF GULF COUNTRIES 

TRUMP ADOPTS ISRAEL'S GOALS

Many anticipated that Trump was about to declare victory and end the Iran war. While declaring victory and repeating the litany of talking points about the justification for this war, no end is in sight. He engaged in the endless demonization of everything Iran, most either fabrications or exaggerations. He finally got to the point that was relevant, the U.S. will escalate the attacks in an effort to make Iran as desolate and uninhabitable as possible and then hope to focus on some other pressing issues in the next few weeks. 

We can assume that in the next few weeks the U.S. is going to attempt to destroy the energy, water and other infrastructure of Iran and Iran will respond by destroying the same in the Gulf region. This is predictable, not a maybe, unless the gulf countries finally understand that they are also an indirect target of U.S. destruction. Are they going to stand by, and allow this to happen? or decide that their own survival is more important than a 40 year dream of Netanyahu and the vision of  U.S. colonialism and world domination. 

Without desalination plants the gulf countries will need to depopulate within weeks, of course, the U.S. could then step in and take control of the existing infrastructure, the U.S. could be the saviour and Iran the villain. Of course, this is all speculation, but we will see what happens, either Trump is a maniac or an evil genius.

In the meantime the war will go on, oil prices have surged overnight and the effects on the world economy are increasing by the day. 

Israel is now fighting a 4 front war, they are taking significant loses of men and equipment in Lebanon, Iraqi militias are upping their attacks, the Houthis are slowly increasing their missile attacks and it is being reported that Iranian missiles are having increasing success evading defenses. It is still Israel that will probably be the first to seek an end, but can that be done, will be the question.

We can expect Israel will then threaten a nuclear option, as in the past, but it seems this conflict is no longer under the control of anyone.

Day 33, NATO says no to war.

 IRAN DID NOT ATTACK UNITED STATES

MULTIPLE INTERNATIONAL LAW VIOLATIONS 

In the last few days NATO members France, Italy and Spain have not only refused the use of their air bases but also their airspace for any transportation concerning the Iran war. While there are complaints from Trump, Rubio and promises of retaliation from Israel, these nations find a conflict in supporting this war. One, this war does not fall into the legal framework for NATO, no NATO member has been attacked and the attack on Iran is considered an unlawful war of aggression by international law. While the United States has openly declared that they are no longer adhering to international law, the EU nations are not yet willing to go there.

Besides the attack itself, the targeting of schools, hospitals and vital civilian infrastructure is also in opposition to international law.

Pete Hegseth, whose disgusting rhetoric in advocating death and destruction, is now being labeled the Secretary of War crimes.

Poland has refused to give up its patriot missiles to be shipped to Israel.

The European nations have been under economic assault since the Ukraine/Russian conflict due to limited energy, due to their refusal to buy Russian energy. This is all complicated by this war, a war of choice by the United States and Israel.

By not cooperating in this war effort, they will most likely be able to arrange the passage of energy products through the strait of Hormuz. 

Sunni Muslim Chechnya has announced that it is ready to give military assistance to Iran. While a small nation, it does have a sophisticated battle hardened military. This announcement may have implications with other Sunni Muslims who may very well be influenced by a growing empathy for Iran from the Muslim world.

While many believe this war will damage China and southeast Asia, it may be temporary, as China and Russia are in the process of building pipelines to move energy to Asia and the Arctic route will be open for tanker traffic. This energy may in time become available to Japan, Australia and South Korea.

Trump has voiced his opinion that he may leave this war with the strait closed, but the strait is not closed, it is controlled by Iran, while few ships are moving, it is increasing, as deals are made with those willing to accept this control.

Trump cannot end this war until both Israel and Iran are willing to end this war. It is unlikely that will happen in the near future.