U.S. prepares to enter war.

 GLOBAL WAR RISK INTENSIFIES

END OF NEGOTIATIONS

The U.S. is rushing several carrier groups to the Persian gulf and aerial refueling planes are in route to Europe. It is clear that the U.S. is about to join in the destruction of Iran. While many cheer today, the repercussions are going to be long lasting and now lessen the chances of any negotiated settlement anywhere. It is now clear that the U.S. policy of death and destruction is alive and thriving. 

Yesterday, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, UAE, Bahrain and Kuwait, announced their neutrality and forbade the use of U.S.bases to be used for attacks on Iran. This will limit U.S. forces to operate from aircraft carriers and from Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean, hence the need for refueling planes. Whether they will be able to use airspace over Turkey is still not clear.

At present, there are 3 tankers burning near the straits of Hormuz after collisions and there are multiple reports of navigational GPS signals being scrambled.

The U.S. state department has cancelled furthur diplomatic talks with Russia.

Israel has blocked live videos for Haifa and other sites. 

The introduction of assassination of political leaders and professors and civilian scientists is now to become much more common, as this precedent has now been put in motion. No country will now be immune for such attacks.

We can now expect that China will restrict the export of all critical materials to western countries. This may also be spread to other suppliers of critical materials. It will be done quietly, but it can be expected. The cessation of trade from China may become a real possibility. We may soon find out who is dependent on Chinese trade.

There may be massive liquidation of U.S. treasury's. 

One would expect that Russia will be on high alert for a preemptive strike by western powers and visa-versa, the chance of nuclear confrontation is now at the highest level in history. We are now entering the uncharted waters of who will want to use a pre-emptive strike first.

The world is on the edge of catastrophe and it seems there is no turning back.

Spreading of WAR inevitable.

 U.S. CAN BE EXPECTED TO COME TO ISRAEL'S RESCUE

OTHERS IN REGION WILL AID IRAN

While this seems to be an intense war in progress, it is most likely just the beginning. Make no mistake, the goal of Israel's leadership has been openly calling for the "Libyan Plan" concerning Iran.  This was the hope to disarm Iran and then subvert and ultimately reduce the country into a chaotic and ineffective country. So far, Israel has been effective at starting that process, but one can be sure that Iran and its citizens know that it is in a existential fight for its existence. This war is going to get much worse and bring in more players. I do not expect anyone to attempt ground operations into Iran, as this will bring on calls from the entire Islamic world for fighters and resistance.

I suspect that this plan by Israel is going near as expected and its goal is to draw the U.S. into this fight. There will be overwhelming pressure within the U.S. to save Israel. At the same time Iran's neighbors will be under immense internal pressure to aid Iran. Even though Iran is not that popular with many in the region, they also understand that they will also be in peril in the future. We can expect demonstrations and rioting in Jordon and Egypt by the population. We should expect attacks on U.S. bases, even if secretly by Israel, to being the U.S. into the war.

Pakistan has indicated that if Israel uses nuclear weapons they will respond in kind. 

Turkey, not a fan of Israel, will use any opportunity to damage Israel and add to its position in the region.

This war may be the most unifying action for the Islamic world since the crusades.

Then there is the other hidden agenda of attempting to weaken the BRICS group's economic plans for the future. Iran is a pivotal geographic player in the silk road and the hope of avoiding sea lane commerce in the future. 

China, Russia, India and others do not want a devastated and unstable Iran. It is very likely they will give Iran material support and even weapons support. It is not about ideology it is about economic plans for the future.

There are reports that China is already sending support to Iran and they have access through Afghanistan. 

Then on the ground in Israel, they are using up their defensive missiles at a staggering rate. Their defenses have been doing well, but can they maintain a weeks or months long assault. Drones and even unarmed missiles will require a response and Iran may be holding back its most advanced and effective weapons until Israel starts to move defenses around to protect priority locations.

This is not about Iranian nuclear weapons, it is ultimately about control of mideast oil and the effort disrupt the move by much of the world to an alternative economic system. Control rather than co-existance and cooperation. It is a southern version of the Ukraine conflict. It is unlikely that it can be stopped, we can only hope for the best that this will not escalate into the ultimate end of civilization.

Common planners of Russian and Iranian attacks.

 NO COINCIDENCE THAT BOTH ATTACKS HAVE SAME DESIGN AND AGENDA

TRUMP NOT IN CONTROL, OR INEPTLY DEVIOUS

It is interesting that in the last 2 weeks we have seen two events with common themes. Drones smuggled into both Russia and Iran, then simultaneously activated causing massive damage to both countries. Both done while in the midst of negotiations and within days of the next meetings. Then the narrative is that both Russia and Iran should now cave to the demands of the negotiators. In both cases, the demands are surrender.  In both cases, it will more likely result in an escalation of violence and possibly WW3. Is this just someones delusional hopes or is the goal WW3.

Then the other coincidence is that both the Ukraine war and now the Iran war had similar objectives.  Cause a great strain in the political leadership and then the regimes will crumble and a new regime that is willing to submit is placed in power. So far, the Russian plan has not worked out, after 3 years, Russia is still standing and is at this point dominating, both economically and militarily. In fact, the NATO countries are struggling to find a way out with honor.

In the new war with Iran, it is clear that the hope is that the existing government will cave or be overthrown. That may be the case, but if this becomes a drawn out and long lasting war, all bets are off. Trump will have been trapped into entering this war on the side of Israel, no matter the cost. You can also expect that both Russia and China will provide massive material support to Iran. It could very likely become a copy of the Ukraine conflict in reverse. The advocates for nuclear weapons in Iran may now convince opponents that only nuclear weapons can secure real defense in today's world. A very tangled web that can very easily expand to WW3.

Has Trump been playing the good cop, bad cop strategy. He is the good cop and the EU and Netanyahu are the bad cops. I suspect that his strategy is now over.

Trump as a negotiator with opponents is now most likely dead. He is either been devious in his negotiations or is no longer in control of U.S. foreign policy. Either way his credibility is destroyed with all negotiations, both concerning war or trade. This may have been the goal of the entrenched bureaucracy, that has fashioned U.S. foreign policy for the last 30 years. The policy of death and destruction.

It may now be evident to all the U.S. adversaries and new potential adversaries, which there may be many, that all negotiations are fruitless. The only options are submission and death or victory. This will be apparent to Russia and China, the biggest prizes in the regime change policy of world domination. 

Israel attacks Iran.

 IRANIAN MILITARY LEADERS AND SCIENTISTS KILLED

SHORT TERM VICTORY WITH LONG TERM CONSEQUENCES

In the last 12 hours Israel has attacked Iran's military leadership and some of its nuclear facilities. It is expected that more attacks will follow. So far, Iran has only launched some Drones in the direction of Israel, often just a means of identifying defensive positions for more serious retaliation from missiles.

The U.S. has denied involvement, which will be evident in the coming day, if true.

So far, it appears Israel's raid has been successful with limited casualties on the Israeli side.

Some believe such an attack can cause the overthrow of the present government in Iran, or it may just harden or confirm the support of the Iranian people, we will have to wait and see.

Iran has the ability to do extensive damage to Israel, the question may be that world public opinion, that Israel is increasingly out of control, may be more damaging than a Iranian counter attack.

Most of the Leaders in the region have condemned the attack and it can be expected that in the long run, the opposition to Israel will be hardened. 

The reality is that Iran is large country with near a 100 million population. It is well educated and has been in existence for 5000 years. One can expect that the possibility of a nuclear armed Iran will now be a certainty. In the modern world, only nuclear armed countries seem be able to avoid attacks.

A full scale response by Iran can be devastating and no one should believe that Israel will hesitate to use nuclear weapons if its survival is in doubt.

Very early in this story, we can expect repercussions around the world.

Iran war imminent, or more psych-ops.

 TRUMP EVACUATES MIDEAST EMBASSIES AND CIVILIANS

IRAN TARGETS U.S. BASES AND ISRAEL'S NUKES

Increased threats from Iran and Israel indicates war is imminent. Iran has refused to commit to give up its nuclear industry that provides power for electric and desalination plants. Earlier Iran and the U.S. has agreed to limit nuclear enrichment to limits for domestic energy. Russia had agreed to take possession of any highly enriched Uranium and an inspection policy was agreed to. Then at the insistence of Benjamin Netanyahu, the goal was raised to a total ban on any nuclear production. This led to a total rejection by Iran and has now set off another indication of an imminent attack by Israel. An attack that would be impossible without U.S. backup.

Iran and the U.S. are supposed to meet on Sunday in Oman for another round of talks, there is speculation that the evacuations and threats are another attempt to intimidate Iran to agree to a total ban, an unlikely possibility, as it would make Iran dependent on foreign powers for their resources.

Iran has indicated that any attack will result in a response by Iran against the bases of the U.S. and also targeting Israel nuclear facilities and nuclear weapons storage sites. Is does seem that Iran has the capability to cause severe damage to both.

An Iran war will have serious economic and political consequences for the world. A likely huge increase in oil prices, the possibility of other powers in the region becoming participants and the possibility that both Russia and China will intervene, if Iran's destruction becomes imminent.

There is also the possibility for serious if not existential damage to Israel. Iran is not Iraq of 1980, it has far more capability to launch a devastating counter offensive, that may overwhelm Israel's much touted air defenses. No one can predict the result of this possible war with Iran.

Trump has been trying to avoid this crisis, but it seems both the leadership of Israel and many of its supporters in the U.S. congress want a devastating attack on Iran, no matter the outcome, it will have a negative effect on the world.

Ukraine conflict end, key to solving most problems.

 SOLUTIONS TO MUTIPLE CRISIS DEPENDENT ON UKRAINE SOLUTION

PERMANENT RESOLUTION NEEDED

Today we have multiple crisis underway, everything from war in the middle east, economic collapse of the western countries and a new emerging alternative economic system. Too many difficult problems to address at one time.

In reality, the easiest situation to solve is the Ukraine problem. The solution has been there for years, but it is a solution that NATO will not accept. Ukraine, Georgia and other border countries with Russia cannot peacefully be incorporated into NATO, just like the U.S. would never accept a competitors military alliance in Canada or Mexico. This should not be difficult to understand, yet it seems denial and hypocrisy and hubris is overwhelming rational thinking in NATO countries. This coupled with the covetnesses for Russian resources has put the world on the edge of WW3 and complicated all the other crisis around the world.

The sooner this situation is resolved, the sooner cooperation by the west with Russia and others can focus on reasonable solutions for all these pressing problems. 

As this conflict continues, what was an easy situation has now become much more difficult. Russia is not going to return those areas with a predominate Russian population back to Ukraine, nor will they accept a NATO presence in Ukraine. While this a hard pill for those who put all their chips on this project, it is the reality.

Then there is the reality that prolonged warfare has created a future of economic crisis for the U.S. and other NATO countries. Much of the accumulated national debt of the U.S. is directly attributed to over 30 years of endless war. The sanctions involved in the Ukraine conflict has caused serious erosion of the economic situation in all of Europe and much of the world. Then there is the reality that Ukraine cannot win this conflict unless NATO is ready to usher in WW3. with all the consequences. 

The narrative that Russia wants to occupy Poland and the Baltic countries and then Germany and France is a ridiculous narrative, There is nothing these countries have that Russia needs or wants. Russia is motivated by national security on their western border, a historical reality for centuries. Most of the invasions, including the German invasion of WW2 were motivated by those coveting the resources of Russia not the other way around. 

While this situation is now much more difficult than a neutral Ukraine 10 years ago, it will require some humility and a return to reality to save the world from further disaster.

Democrats all in on open borders, huge political error.

 DEMOCRATS GIVE TRUMP MASSIVE POLITICAL OPPORTUNITY

IS THIS THEIR POLICY CENTER PIECE?

Six months since the last election and Democrats are still wandering in the wilderness in a search for political relevance. For 8 years they staked their fortune on anti-Trump positions and now they have yet to find any meaningful policy that resonates with the American people. If they are willing to stake their political future on supporting illegal immigration, they are destined for a dismal future. That battle has been fought and they have lost. 

They are also opposing all attempts to cut off medicaid for those not eligible, particularly illegal immigrants.  That and other social benefits that should be reserved for citizens and legal residents.

They have abandoned their traditional anti-war positions and now may be more pro-war than the Republicans. Even supporting huge increases in defense spending without any accountability.

Of course, they still oppose any budget reductions, as do many Republican's, even with a $2 trillion deficit and $37 Trillion in debt. 

I am not aware of any positive policies that they stand for, only more anti Trump. If he is for it, they are against it. More of the same polices of the last 8 years. 

While they have backed off of some of the woke agenda, I suspect that it is still brewing in the background. If they could, they would be pushing it as before.

So now it is opposition to deporting any illegal immigrants, even with lengthy criminal records, a loser position both politically and morally. 

Now, with protests and riots reminiscent of their last focus on destroying police and law and order, they have gone all in on this new effort to discredit Trump. A gift for Trump, who must have been awake at night hoping for the Democrats to take this position, they just cant help themselves in not opposing anything Trump. 

Trump will do all that is necessary in protecting ICE, border patrol, and federal buildings, it seems democrats will reflexively oppose him at every turn.