Russia about to do final tests on nuclear powered weapons.

 SKYFALL AND POSEIDON, NEXT GENERATION NUCLEAR WEAPONS

LITTLE ABILITY TO DEFEND AGAINST 

 

It is expected that Russia is about to do final testing on their nuclear powered nuclear weapons. Both are ultra long range  airborne and submersible weapons. These weapons research began after the US ended its participation in the nuclear arms treaty.

 

Skyfall, the NATO designation or  Burevestnik is a nuclear powered nuclear armed cruise missile that flies at 300 ft making it difficult to track on radar. It has an unlimited range and can fly for possibly days, making it possible to travel over the south pole or any route to reach its target. It's first test in 2019 ended with disaster killing several of its scientists. An October 2025 test was successful flying for 15 hours and traveling 14,000 KM. It has also been labeled the "Flying Chernobyl" due to its problem of leaving traces of radioactive debris in its wake. Maybe they have found a way to minimize this, but one wonders if some pollution is relevant when discussing nuclear weapons.

 

The Poseidon is a nuclear powered and nuclear armed torpedo fired from a nuclear submarine. It is 75 ft long and again capable or unlimited range and much faster than surface vessel. It is reported to be able to run at depths of 3000 ft and speeds of 185 km per hr.  It would most likely not be used on ships, but could travel up estuaries or ports.

 

The miniaturization of nuclear power to make these weapons possible is possibly the most interesting breakthrough and could have many uses in the future. 

 

Both these weapons are expected to be finally tested in possibly days and then placed in service, no one know how many can be made and how long to manufacture, but is seems very limited in the near future.

 

 

 

 

Canada resists colonization.

 THE EMPIRE HAS NO LIMITS

NOT ABOUT TRADE, ALL ABOUT SOVEREIGNTY

 

The imposition of 50% tariffs on Canada after it refused the latest trade deal with the Trump administration is just one more signal about US intentions with the world. Are these tariffs now just another form of sanctions for not submitting to US power? Will we soon see a blockade and other methods of intimidation?

 

This so called trade deal is now the third trade deal with Canada, first was NAFTA in 1994, this was replaced by USMCA in 2020. While one could understand that NAFTA, after being in force for 26 years, may have needed some updating this latest Trump negotiated USMCA is hardly been in effect long enough to be fully implemented. It now appears that his latest deal is more about Canada submitting to US power over its affairs than trade. This deal was an attempt to move Canad toward being under US control, sort of a colony or as some believe, a new state in the US. 

 

While the details have not yet fully become  public, it seems that language was inserted after the initial agreement was finalized that would give the US the power to control what other trade deals Canada could engage in with other countries and also power to veto internal infrastructure projects. We can assume this is to force Canada to only buy or have big projects from US companies and to insure that Canada does not do business with anyone not approved of by Washington. It is in effect an infringement on Canada's right to sovereignty. 

 

One can expect much of this has to do with Canada engaging in business with China directly. If Canada buys products from the US, even if they originate in China, it will be acceptable. It just another attempt at some sort of colonial control  similar to some of the rules now imposed on Venezuela. 

 

We may expect that China may very well now make Canada a trade deal offer far fairer to Canada than any deal with the US. I am sure they would be willing to buy all the timber, oil and other resources and get a bargain on Chinese electric cars and other goods. They would not care what other counties Canada would trade. They may also be offered access to the new Arctic trade route. 

 

Canada has a lot more leverage than Washington radmits, but actually using it would likely result in threats of military action. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Iran war goes global.

 GLOBAL SANCTIONS WILL HAVE LASTING CONSEQUENCES

FORCING WORLD TO TAKE SIDES 

 

As we witness nation after nation refuse to get involved in the Iran war, we now see a desperate attempt to force all nations to take sides in the Iran war.  The US policy of " You are either with us or you are our enemy" has now been implemented on a global scale. While many will attempt to shake their head yes, while not participating, we will see whether the US has the ability or the will to enforce this global economic assault on Iran and its allies. At one time it could be assumed that most would submit, but with the escalating number and intensity of sanctions as a economic weapon it may be that many will now understand that they may very well  be next.

 

Economic sanctions can only be successful if it can be backed up with military actions. The last few years has demonstrated that that ability is diminishing and may soon actually become non existent as the economic consequences of fiscal irresponsibility, massive debt and a diminished manufacturing base can no longer back up a policy of threats and intimidation for extended periods of time. This has been demonstrated both in Ukraine and now Iran. 

 

While neither conflict has been consummated it is obvious that even a win will be a hollow victory as the economic realities of ruling the world is unsustainable and inevitably leads to the end of empires as has been demonstrated time after time in history. 

 

The power of the United States, based on a sound currency, a massive manufacturing base continuously creating wealth and sound financial policies no longer exists. It also appears that no effort is being made to reform this dying system to its former glory but hopes to extend it by military force that it will not be able to back up.

 

While we have been, in effect, in a world conflict between the declining world power and the rising world power it is inevitable we are on the precipice of a massive period of economic destruction. The massive debts and deficits can no longer be sustained and must be eliminated and hopefully it can be followed by a period of prosperity to follow.   

 

 

 

 

Eurasian realignment accelerates.

IS US POLICY FORCING REALIGNMENT?

CHINA SAYS NO TO SANCTIONS 

 

In the last week it appears that huge changes in the realignment of nations in west Asia is underway, In fact possibly extending far beyond west Asia. Whether intentional or not, it appears these changes are actually being accelerated by US policy in the region. 

 

Today, Pakistan's Asim Munir and a large delegation is traveling to Tehran. Many report that this is an attempt to restart negotiations with Iran but many conclude that it will include far more topics that may not be what the US assumes. 

 

One is an expected increase in trade between Pakistan and Iran, contrary to the big news expected of extensive sanctions by the US,  sanctions that will include threats to any nation who does trade with Iran.  Is Pakistan saying no to sanctions on Iran?

 

China has announced that they will not partake in any sanctions on anyone and has gone as far as to penalize any companies in China that engage in sanctions. That is very clear stand on sanctions on Iran. Will the US now impose penalties on China?

 

There is also speculation and some indication that the Mecca accord signed last week between Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan may be offered to Iran. Last weeks attack by Israel on an air base in Syria next to Turkey's border and the indication by Israel that Syria is now under their control is likely the impetus for this new expansion. There seems that there is now more countries interested in some sort of mid east NATO like effort.  

 

It seems many of the gulf countries are in quiet talks with Tehran in an effort to normalize relations in the region.

 

Trump's attempt to offer $1 billion to the head of the IRGC and the threat to demand $10 billion from South Korea has not played well anywhere. In fact China's foreign minister was in Seoul in only days after the dust up over South Korea refusing to get involved in the Iran war. It may have been the straw that has moved South Korea to reevaluate  where their future is best aligned.

 

It appears massive changes are underway, and that they are accelerating, one wonders if they can be reversed by threats of economic and military action or will this end with a complete reordering of the political landscape of the region. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$40 Trillion debt, Trump Bank.

 TREASURY INTERVENTION, TOO LITTLE, TOO LATE 

FINANCIAL SHENANIGANS, NOT REMEDY 

 

The U.S. national debt set the new record of $40 trillion and is rising by the day. The deficit for this year is expected to top over $2 Trillion and with massive spending plans for defense and domestic programs, no matter which party is in power, can be expected to explode every year from now on, or until the whole fiasco collapses.

 

The yield on the 30 year bond is still at  5.25% and the 10 year at 4.7 % even after the treasury bought back bonds in an effort to lower the yield, buying its own debt with more borrowed money is not a solution and in today's informed world is just another sign of the unsustainability of U.S. fiscal policy. Gimmicks like "quantitative easing" may be now understood as feeble attempts to kick the can down the road. One wonders how long the road is until it ends in a cliff. The interest on the debt is now projected to be over $1.4 Trillion this year.

 

Looking at the administration and the congress there is no sign that any change of direction is coming, it is clear they will ride this dying pony until it dies. What come then is anyone's guess, but you can bet it will cost every citizen more than they can imagine.

 

Then there is the recent report that the new "Trump bank" is near approval.  It will not be a traditional bank, but a vehicle to administer the new "Stable coin".  Stable coin was sold as an effort to increase the ability of Federal government to fiance the debt by exchanging every US. dollar for 1 stable coin which can be used for digital commerce. Each dollar will be invested in U.S. debt and the vehicle "Trump Bank, will be paid the interest on the debt as a fee for the transaction. It is just a new method of profiting from the increasing debt, just like the other big banks have been doing for years. While none of these banks invest their own money in this debt, they capture a percent of every transaction, a deal that can only be had with a cooperative effort of the government.

 

Contrary to the narrative, this is why the rest of world is attempting to free itself from the dollar and move to some new system that is sustainable. Everyone tied to this unsustainable spiral will be damaged  when it all implodes.

 

 

 

 

Ukraine war, Drone war laboratory.

 RUSSIA AND UKRAINE, THE BEST DRONE WARRIORS

DAILY EVOLUTION AND ADAPTATION  

 

Ukraine's soldiers were the first to, by necessity, improvise the use of drones. At first they were cheap Chinese drones with improvised grenades and artillery shells strapped on them. The Russians had drones but their use was limited at first, they primarily relied on artillery warfare and drones for reconnaissance. Today both sides launch hundreds or even thousand of drones a day.

 

Russia may have started out slow, but has improved dramatically, not only with drones but in electronic counter measures.  One side gets a temporary advantage and then the other side quickly adjusts or adapts, this has been going back and forth continuously. The battlefield today is in reality  predominately a drone war, it has kept Ukraine in this fight for much longer than any other tactic.

 

In recent weeks Ukraine has been successful in damaging Russia's oil facilities, gas stations and other oil infrastructure, along with damage to ships in the Azov sea. Russia responded by in effect making Odessa and other Black sea ports inoperable. They have also destroyed almost all the refueling stations east of the Dneiper river.  While Ukraine has created lots of damage in recent days Russia has adapted and very few of Ukrainians drones have survived to their targets, Ukraine will now need to also adapt.

 

Russia acquired drones from Iran and then improved them dramatically and now has an ability to produce large numbers of drones. Drones are now becoming, at least for now, a major piece of offensive munitions.

 

Recently the U.S. played drone war games with a Ukrainian team and lost dramatically every time.  Not surprising, as Ukraine and Russia are now the best and most experienced at Drone warfare.

 

The U.S. has lost over 1/4 of their very expensive reaper drones in the Iran conflict, it will require much rethinking into its vulnerabilities.

 

Drones have made many expensive and over engineered equipment obsolete and vulnerable to low cost drones. The military world is watching and it will require a huge shift in priorities.  

 

 

 

No Coalition, No Mercenaries, No credibility.

  THREATS AND BLUSTER NO LONGER WORK

TIME TO SUCK IT UP AND DO THE RIGHT THING

 

The effort to recruit either a coalition of the willing or mercenaries seems to have come up empty. The Kurds said no long ago, and those who considered it were already attacked by Iran. The Syrian ex ISIS was informed by Iran to not think about it and it seems they are not interested. Possible unhappy factions in Baluchistan are out, either by good analysis or with the help of Iran. South Korea suffered the wrath of Trump by saying no to any involvement in this fiasco. The Saudi's have suffered by agreeing to attack Iraq and Yemen and may be thinking better of any more.  

 

That leaves the U.S. and Israel, same as in the beginning, except after a year of perpetual readiness, the spear is starting to melt in the gulf sun. Marines on ships for six months are not as ready as they once were and time is running out to use them at all. The economic realities cannot be postponed indefinitely and once the snow ball starts rolling it may be difficult to stop.

 

Then there is still the talk of a nuclear solution. Is the talk in itself just more bluster?  It appears Iran is not going to be intimidated into surrender and the waiting game will be as damaging to the globe as to Iran, as will further conventional warfare.

 

Then there is Israel, likely threatening the use of nuclear if Trump doesn't.  Israel probably is willing, but should understand that some third party may very well decide to end all of this in one fell swoop. The use of nuclear by the U.S. may be another matter and the preferred route. Trump's dilemma is growing, desperation is apparent, there is no easy way out and the clock is ticking.