UNREALISTIC NEGOTIATIONS AND OIL EMBARGOS
ACTS OF WAR, NOW EVERYDAY OCCURANCE
The most likely beginning of the next war is Iran. Indications are that Iran is willing to insure against obtaining nuclear weapons, but Israel has demanded that they must give up all nuclear energy enrichment and also their missile deterrent. While Trump at one time had an agreement with Iran on Nuclear weapons, that was rejected by Israel. It is reported that Trump was told by Netanyahu that either Trump destroys Iran's missile program or they will do it, and that the U.S. will then be forced by public opinion to join in. Under those conditions war is inevitable, Iran can never agree to disarm, especially at the instance of Israel.
At the same time we have the increasing situation of the U.S. deciding to interfere in oil shipment worldwide. Besides the embargo on Venezuela oil, only to be sold to those approved by the U.S., they have begun to attempt to interfere with oil shipment out of Iran. This is likely to hamper Iran's monetary situation and also put pressure on China economically. These are now all act of WAR, which will inevitably lead to catastrophic results. Not only war with Iran, but China may also feel that interfering with their oil supplies is intolerable. There have also been attacks on Russian oil shipments in many places, some contend that it is a CIA operation.
Objectively, one must wonder why Iran has not yet initiated this war as it now seems inevitable and time is allowing more resources to become available against them, unless they feel time is on their side to prepare for this conflict and world public opinion will be unfavorable to the initiator.
At the same time, one must wonder how long Russia and China will allow interference of their vital commerce in international waters, both have substantial and effective submarine fleets capable of causing significant damage.
Some speculate that taking of Venezuela oil was a first step in preparation for a wide-ranging middle east war that will replace oil from that region. A wide-ranging middle east war will likely spread to a world war, with Russia and China realizing there is no plan for co-existence, only submission. It could be expected that every power in the middle east would quickly need to take sides and be involved, It would be a very unpredictable gamble as to where they would ally.
It appears that he next few weeks may be a time of decision. Only a backdown by someone can now stop the rush to war. A backdown that is impossible for some and will have severe consequences for others.