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Friday, August 8, 2025

Will Trump get it right, after trying all options?

 TRUMP'S FIRST 6 MONTHS SEEM MUCH LONGER

ZIGGING AND ZAGGING, WITHOUT CATASTROPHE



So far, Trump has not yet made any permanent catastrophic decisions.  We see trial balloons for lots of ideas and we even see trial policies that often are either postponed or withdrawn. Sometimes we must wonder if Trump, who is undoubtedly being pressured and influenced by a host of  parties to go in one direction or another is hoping to discredit his adversaries by openly giving credence to their pressure.

Trump's entire political career has, whether intentional or just by his existence, exposed so much of the hypocrisy and corruption in many of the institutions of America. We could list the mainstream media, the Intelligence community and the bureaucracy in general. Some of these exposures have been more subtle and just seem to come about on their own. 

So far, Trump has successfully navigated the pressure to escalate the war in Ukraine. One must speculate that the war in Ukraine, if left to a natural conclusion will soon come to an end.  It will come to an end when all sides realize that further fighting is useless.  It appears that Ukraine is entertaining that idea, but the European powers, not yet. There will not be some dramatic breakthrough of diplomacy, but the just the grinding reality of an end.

Trump's use of tariff's to bring about negotiations to address unfair trade practices has a hope of being successful. This applies to Canada, Mexico and the EU who are the most dependent on U.S. trade. As for China, an adversarial approach will not yield results and China has a lot leverage to make such tariff's, mutually painful. Trump's approach with China in his first term, was much more respectful and more successful. Again, I suspect that Trump has a lot of pressure to be tough on China, trash narratives and disrespect will not be productive with China.

It is no secret that the use of tariffs as a weapon in the Ukraine conflict was pushed by the Senate and it will be dismal failure, it will be counter productive and needs to be walked back to avoid permanent damage to relations with India. Maybe the Senate can be blamed for this misstep and silenced for some time.

Then, of course, there is the pressure to go to war with Iran, Trump has, at least for now, sidestepped that pressure, by declaring victory and allowing Israel to feel the possible pain of all out war with Iran, especially without total support from the U.S. Again, time may hopefully help to resolve some of these issues.

Trump seems to have been successful in curtailing much of the illegal entrance into the country and removing the worst criminal elements. He has also exposed the cities who have resisted. I believe this is political loser for all those who defend illegal immigration.

It is true that many of Trump's cabinet were not the most qualified, it is true they were picked for loyalty first. It is also true that in Trump's first term many of his picks were disloyal and in fact were motivated to undermine and damage him. 

Trump has sustained much criticism by adversaries and supporters, it is obvious that Trump does not have total unaccountable support from his supporters. He does have one quality, and that is the ability to change direction when it is obviously a failed path. Trump's path is lined with minefields and obstacles in abundance and it will not be straight path to a successful term. We can only hope that it will be successful.




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