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Wednesday, February 10, 2016

ESTABLISHMENT GETS FLOGGED

OUTSIDERS  OVERWHELM  IN  NEW HAMPSHIRE

BUSH CLINTON ERA IN JEOPARDY

Bernie Sanders overwhelms Hillary Clinton with 60% of the vote in New Hampshire primary. Sanders has shown that his big crowds and strong support has allowed him to win with every category of voters except over 65 women. I at one time believed Sanders was a sparring partner for Clinton, but if that was the case, it is no longer. He has proved to be a strong campaigner with a solid message. While too far left for me, he is to be congratulated on his strong performance. It doesn't hurt that he does appear to be a genuinely honest politician, especially compared to his opponent. It will remain to be seen if he can duplicate this performance in South Carolina. If he can, Clinton will be in serious trouble. While it is no secret that the Democrat establishment has no use for Sanders, if he overwhelms Clinton, they will have to do the best they can with him. It is too late to bring in anyone else and if they try any shenanigans at the convention there will really be a revolution.
Donald Trump exceeded his polling with 35% of the vote in an 8-way race. His closest finisher was John Kasich with a distant 16%, Ted Cruz was third with 12%, and Jeb Bush fourth with 11%. Kasich spent most of his time in New Hampshire having 110 town meetings. He hasn't much preparation in South Carolina. While Cruz is fairly well-positioned in South Carolina, Trump has been ahead in the polls for some time. Jeb Bush will have to do well in South Carolina or he will be doomed.
Donald Trump is really in the best spot for South Carolina, having been to the state more than anyone else. The other 3 will need to crush the people next to them before they can really go after Trump. Trump will most likely spout a positive message and attempt to stay above the fray. The next debate will be interesting as it may be the last stand for several candidates.
The establishment Republicans have no use for Trump and even less for Cruz, but the day may come in the not too distant future, that it may be out of their hands. 

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