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Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Primarys almost over

TRUMP AND CLINTON OVERWHELM OPPONENTS

TRUMP ABOUT TO OPEN FLOODGATE OF VICTORIES




The April 26  super primary is now over. Hillary Clinton did as expected, maybe even better than expected, to get very close to wrapping up the Democratic Presidential Nomination. Bernie Sanders will stay in to the end, as he should, due to Hillary's legal problems and he hopes to have influence on the platform at the convention.

Donald Trump definitely outperformed every expectation, by winning every county in all 5 states. His margins ranged from 54% in Maryland to 67% in Rhode Island. Ted Cruz was only able to manage a second place in Pennsylvania. This most likely will bring about an obvious conclusion to the primary. John Kasich is out of money, he is spending most of his time in dinners and restaurants and having a great time traveling around the country, but there is no path for him except to be a vice-presidential candidate from the important state of Ohio. He may soon have an awakening and realize he really does like Donald Trump after all.   

Ted Cruz seems oblivious to the situation and still believes he can win at the convention. His financing will now come to an end, if politically astute, he should start considering his best option to exit with grace and dignity. He fought a good campaign but could not prevail. I believe rank and file republicans have come to the conclusion this primary must be ended quickly, and I expect that Trump may just start winning every state that's left, not because they love Donald Trump, but they want to preserve their chances in November. I think many voters were turned off by innovative strategies rather than winning votes.

I foresee that Trump will collect the 1237 delegates before the convention. This is the best situation for the party to be successful in November. While Hillary is a poor candidate with lots of negatives, it is always a close race. It will take a unified and enthusiastic party to win in November.

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