Propaganda and spin will not save Ukraine.

UKRAINE WILL BE PARTITIONED, SANCTIONS WILL NOT STOP THE WAR

FALSE NARRATIVE THAT UKRAINE WILL EXPEL THE RUSSIANS WILL COST THOUSANDS OF LIVES

Everyday we are bombarded with propaganda and false narratives about the war in Ukraine. It will not save the Ukrainian people. The time for making a diplomatic resolution is past. We continually give the Ukranians a false hope that they may be rescued by the NATO countries. They are not coming to their rescue and shipments of more arms will just escalate the war until there is little left of the infrastructure of Ukraine. 

We hear that Mariupol is still not controlled by Russia. 1500 troops holed up in a steel plant is not control of this city. These troops are being threatened by Kiev with court martial and possible execution if they surrender. The Russians are threatening to destroy them all if they do not lay down their arms and surrender. A sad predicament to be in when there is no longer any hope of victory for the defenders. The Russians probably would rather not destroy them all and also save some of the steel plant, but since it seems this city has become a designated critical city to preserve, they will shortly just destroy all that is left.

The expectation that the Russian people do not support the government and are on the verge of rebellion is another false narrative. The Russian people have been subjected to insults, harassment and a general Russo-phobic attitude from the western media for over a decade. The present sanctions and narrative just reinforces their opinion that they are being oppressed and the enemy of the West. It is probably now a permanent situation. Russia will be on their own and will adapt to being isolated from the western countries. While the West cannot understand that anyone would consider this option a possibility, it is not far fetched in the Russian tradition. 

The Russian people have been very patriotic, even when their governments have been far more undemocratic and oppressive than the present government. Their tenacity and perseverance in WW2 under the mad dictatorship of Stalin indicates that they do view their country as their motherland. That is still the case.

Russian and Putin will not be ejected from Ukraine by force, even if it escalates into WW3, which is still a distinct possibility. The situation has long past when a diplomatic resolution will forstall the permanent partition of Ukraine. A series of bad decisions by the west has led to this situation and now there will be no turning back. The question is just what will be left of Ukraine when this conflict comes to a conclusion.

Originally published 4/20/22