Spin will not save Ukraine.

 NO OBJECTIVE WESTERN REPORTING ON UKRAINE

ONE THING IS TRUE, WEST IS WILLING TO CONTINUE UNTIL LAST UKRAINIAN

We witnessed the celebrity show in Washington praising Zelenzky and promising another $44 billion in aid. This will bring U.S. aid to $100 billion and I would expect more in the near future. We are still being told that Ukraine is winning and that the Russian offense has stalled. It is true that Russia has not taken much ground in months, but that is not the whole story of this conflict.

Early in this conflict Russia seemed to probe several objectives and eventually seemed to settle on a strategy of degradation of the Ukrainian military and infrastructure. While they have accumulated large supplies and reserves in perpetration for a further escalation they have mostly just continued to destroy the Ukrainian military without taking new ground. It now appears that has been the strategy and not a result necessarily of Ukrainian resistance, which up to now has been quite impressive.

The Ukrainian military is being supplied from 750 miles across Ukraine through Poland and Romania. The Russian army is sitting very close to the Russian border and actually has very little resupply problems. This is a great advantage to the Russian military.

Russia could have taken out all of the infrastructure, including all the bridges early on in this war, it did not. One has to wonder why? Unless Russia also does not want this war to end quickly, a very similar objective as that of the U.S.. While there is pressure inside Russia to increase this effort, it has mostly been more of a slow patient degradation of the manpower of Ukraine but also of the ability of the west to keep up with the supply of arms and ammunition. $100 billion in aid is nearly double the Russian annual military budget.

Only recently has Russia taken out the electrical distribution system of Ukraine, it cannot be restored for a long time. It has not taken out the electrical generation system, the bridges or the railways. Taking out that infrastructure could have mostly eliminated resupply from the west.

So is the Russian army now just creating a massive junk yard, with a massive shredder, shredding western equipment and Ukrainian lives. 

Ukraine cannot recapture the land that it has lost, but as time goes on its ability to resist is being degraded by the day and so is the west's ability to resupply. 

Ukraine in the meantime is solely dependent on the United States for everything including making payroll for its bureaucrats and even their pensions. Ukraine has very little capability to produce income, has outlawed opposition political parties, there is no free press, and I would expect no elections in the future. It is actually attacking the church as an ally of Putin. It has also been reported that citizens are now confined to their homes and freedom of travel is restricted to forestall a mass exodus from the country. Many who do not have electric or heat. How long can this disaster continue?

Western Europe is in the process of collapsing economically and politically. How long can they contain the protests about food and energy prices? There are hints that they want to end this soon.

We have been sold a narrative for 10 months that Russia is going to collapse at any moment, that Putin is sick and will be overthrown. That the people of Russia are suffering and will soon revolt. There is no real evidence for any of that. If  Putin would not be the leader of Russia it is unlikely that the policy would change.

The west will soon have two choices, both very bad ones. One is to admit defeat and negotiate a security arrangement with Russia, similar to what Putin proposed before the conflict. Russia will not agree to give up those areas it has incorporated into Russia. Both Germany and France have indicated they are ready for such a deal.

The second is far worse, that is to finally admit that this is a war between the U.S. and Russia and western Europe and Ukraine are just going to be so much collateral damage. It seems the U.S. population has, after 2 decades of anti-Russian propaganda, been readied to go to war with Russia, to save the world. This will likely be facilitated by Poland or some other NATO country acting as the Agent Provocateur to illicit an attack from Russia or Belarus.

If our policy makers choose number two we can expect that the U.S. homeland will not go unscathed and that the concerns about overpopulation and overuse of natural resources will no longer be a problem. It will just boil down to basic survival for the foreseeable future.