Sanctions, ineffective, collateral damage.

 SANCTIONS HAVE NOT WORKED AND DAMAGE THE INNOCENT

HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO THE GLOBAL DIVIDE

Yesterday the UN's attempt to levy sanctions on Niger was thwarted by a Russian veto. It is just the latest in long list of attempts to change a nations policy by imposing sanctions. These sanctions were concerning a travel ban and asset freezes. They would not have made much impact and would have further hardened those sanctioned. 

Sanctions often hurt the citizens of these countries, while having little effect on the leadership. The idea is to squeeze the citizenry so they will rise up and oust their leadership. While this may have been a little effective decades ago, that strategy is now so well known that it actually hardens the attitude of populace and helps the leadership portray themselves as a victim. 

We have seen over 40 years of severe sanctions on Iran and they are still ruled by the same government. The citizens of Iran, who once  held the United States in a favorable light now view the U.S. as a determined enemy.  The same could be said of Russia, who in the 1990's viewed the United States as a friend and mentor, now view the country as an enemy. The same could be said for the citizenry of Pakistan, Iraq, Afghanistan, much of the middle east and soon maybe China, Germany and France. Sanctions have disrupted many lives and imposed economic hardship due to unintended consequences.

As for Niger, the excuse that France and the EU needs their Uranium requires control of their government. This same excuse was used for intervention in oil producing countries. These are commodities, they need to sell them and hostile actions and chaos will actually increase the chances of supply disruptions.from the country. While business is till being conducted, there is opportunity for diplomacy. Alienating these counties has led to a division when these countries seek alterative markets in retaliation to sanctions and a viscous cycle is then created where what they sought to avoid has become reality. 

At the root is the inability of powerful nations to not accept and respect the cultural, religious and security concerns of others. The insistence that they have the right to intervene in the domestic affairs of other countries.

We see the increasing resistance to sanctions of all sorts, it is time to relearn the art of diplomacy,  an art that has been replaced by threats, intimidation, economic warfare and death and destruction. It has resulted in a very dangerous situation that if not reversed will inevitably result in a global war that will make WW2 look a schoolyard skirmish. 

Republican federal candidates should refrain from any federal abortion legislation.

DO THEY BELIEVE IN LESS FEDERAL GOVERNMENT ?

THESE DECISIONS BELONG WITH THE STATES

The Supreme court made the correct decision by ruling that there is no constitutional right concerning abortion. This ruling did not ban abortion, it just allowed these decisions to be made at the state level, where it can be more responsive to the citizens of that state.

The fourth amendment concerned the right to privacy, particularly in your home and property and was to insure against an overbearing government searching, monitoring, infringing on your privacy,particularly  political opinions and the right to private property, something that the federal government has been infringing on at every opportunity. The federal candidates should focus on the true intent of the fourth amendment and not get baited into positions without any positive results, not for themselves, nor for the country. 

It is a stupid strategy that it seems they feel they need to have a position, and they cannot please anyone, no matter their position. There position should be," it is not a federal government matter". The federal government has so many immediate problems that maybe they could find some common ground, abortion is not one of them.

The Supreme court has contributed to the severe division in the country, by making rulings that are not based on the intent of the constitution. After all, the constitution is the law for the federal government, they should acknowledge and defend that the states are the best place to decide these controversial issues. This defense should also be made by candidates for federal office. Voters should beware of candidates who would expand the power of the federal government. The constitution clearly lays out their responsibilities, they should be taken literally and everything else should be decided by the states. It is the great relief valve of a constitutional republic.It promotes unity in the long run, not division by the majority oppressing the minority.

In election season we often hear state candidates propose laws that they have no legal authority to deal with and the same goes for federal candidates. Voters should reject all candidates who do not understand the duties, responsibilities and  limitations of the office they are intent on filling.

Attrition, Ukraine army, NATO members. Who will blink first?

 NO SERIOUS PROGRESS ON BATTLEFIELD, SERIOUS ECONOMIC ISSUES IN NATO 

PROLONGED WAR, ECONOMIC CRISIS

It seems no one anticipated the direction of this conflict in Ukraine, Russia, the U.S., NATO nor Ukraine.

The U.S. is undoubtedly the orchestrater of this drama and assured NATO and Ukraine that the combination of western weapons, economic sanctions and a trained Ukrainian military would trap Russia into capitulation in a matter of months. Russia believed a show of force and determination against NATO expansion would bring Ukraine to the negotiating table and insure a neutral Ukraine.

All these assumptions have been false and now the situation is no longer going to be a negotiated settlement that the west can call a victory. It is a war of attrition, both in Ukraine and in the economies of Western and Eastern Europe. Will this crisis end in a military victory or defeat or the reality that it needs to end if the economies of Europe are to survive?

Germany, the manufacturing center of Europe is on its way to be decimated economically. High energy prices, the loss of business in Russia and now China will mean that Germany, if it is to be a major economy, is running out of time to change the direction of events. So far, the government is locked into a track to just die without any hope. It seems most western politicians cannot adapt to the change  coming to their future. This situation is the same for all the western countries, even if not on the same level of Germany.

Eastern Europe, Poland, Romania, Bulgaria, Hungary, and Slovakia have told the EU that the ban on the import of Ukrainian grain must be extended past the September 15, expiration, or they will do it individually. The farmers in these counties will be devastated if they are compelled to compete with low priced grain competition. 

Poland and these counties are also overwhelmed with refugees from Ukraine that are now appearing to be permanent residents that they cannot afford to accommodate. 

Macron of France has been voicing his alarm at the shift in global trade and alliances that is going to have negative effects on France, both at home and in Africa. 

The credibility of the United States and its role as the leader of the western world has been seriously diminished. With no sign of a change of direction, it will spell a negative future for the U.S. and NATO. While the situation is dire, it can become significantly worse.  

This conflict in Ukraine, a conflict that could have been easily avoided, has now become a pivotal moment in the future of Europe and to some degree the entire world. While it is devastating the economies of Europe directly, it is also propelling a division of the global economic system that now is unlikely to be reversed. It is indeed the beginning of new world order, that as yet has not been fully defined, but is now inevitable.

Push back on sanctions, Trade war, Global recession.

CHINA HAS BEEN CANCELLING PURCHASES FROM WEST

PREFERING TO TRADE WITH THOSE NOT ENGAGED IN SANCTIONS 

China has recently shocked several nations with cancellations of huge orders. There has been a concerted effort by the United States to encourage its allies to deny China certain materials and supplies that the United States feels would slow the Chinese economy. This has been Silicon chips from the United States and machine tools from Japan and Germany. This follows the total sanctions on all Russian products.

It seems that this policy is now having repercussions for the United States and much of the world. China has so far cancelled near 15 million metric tons of corn purchase from the United States, it seems they can buy these products for less in Brazil, a country that has refused to use sanctions against trade partners.

This past week saw China cancel $100 billion in auto orders from Germany, a country reeling from losing its entire auto business in Russia due to self imposed sanctions. It also has had their energy prices quadruple and is making much of their manufacturing business uncompetitive. Germany is officially in recession with no end in sight.

China has also canceled $150 billion in machine purchases from Japan. Japan's machine tool order are down near 40%. This followed Japan's slowing the delivery of certain strategic products. 

China has also responded to U.S. refusal to sell certain silicon chips. They have now produced the everyday chips at prices that will result in layoffs in Texas instruments and Intel. It can be expected that they can buy machine tools from Russia and Brazil and they will soon produce their own chips.

The sanctions that have eliminated the purchase of high tolerance machined parts from Russia have forced U.S. manufacturers to purchase from China, but all products shipped to the U.S. have a 40% tariff. Products shipped to subsidiaries in other countries have no tariffs.

The Trump administration engaged China in tariff reciprocity. The goal was to remove tariffs on U.S. products. It was done with respect and diplomacy. It also hoped to reduce taxes and regulation to make production in the U.S.. possible. This administration has portrayed China as an enemy, talked of war and is in engaged in encircling China with new military bases. This policy will indeed make China an enemy. 

This growing economic war of sanctions is having detrimental effects and no positive results. It is unlikely that it can be reversed in the near future. It can only lead to recession, lay-offs and economic decline by everyone, but particularly in the west, which is now dependent on products from China and Russian products and resources.

It is a delusional idea that these products will soon return to being produced in the United States. The foundries, steel plants and machine shops have all been dismantled. Regulation will not be conducive for these plants to be rebuilt. Then it will take generations of proper child rearing and a value placed on making things rather than paper shuffling. Things that make smoke, dirt and sweat. If a serious effort was begun now it would take 20-30 years to become reality. There is no serious effort and not likely in the near future.

BRICS now 37% of global GDP, 46% of global population.

 BRICS EXPANDS FROM 5 TO 11

EGYPT,  SAUDI ARABIA,  ARGENTINA,  UAE,  IRAN,  ETHIOPIA

Yesterday was the conclusion of the 15th BRICS meeting in Johannesburg, South Africa. It was announced that 6 new members were invited to join on Jan. 1, 2024. It was the first expansion of this group since its inception 15 years ago. It will add credibility, wealth and strategic positions to this BRICS group.

Argentina is the second South American nation to join this group, the second largest nation in South America. Together with Brazil it will be the vast majority of land mass on the continent. Argentina has had severe economic problems and is slated for elections in the near future. Maybe a fresh approach with this economic union will set them on a better course.

Egypt, with a population of 109 million, sits strategically in Africa and the middle east. It has the largest population in the middle east and will be a major asset to this group.

Iran, the second largest nation in the middle east and a large oil producer will add another major oil producer to the BRICS. Its position is strategic to connect Russia to the south with its proposed rail lines to the gulf. It will give Iran the ability to trade, bypassing western sanctions. Hopefully the ability to prosper economically will soften its policy of islamic expansion.

Saudi Arabia, the worlds premier oil producer and financial hub in the middle east will be a huge addition to this group. It has been ready to free their oil trade from the dollar for some time and escape the possibility of sanctions and declining value of the dollar as the worlds petro exchange vehicle. It has responded to negative comments and attempts to intimidate them by this present U.S. administration.

United Arab Emirates, a large financial hub for the middle east, coupled with Saudi Arabia and Iran they will find this association to be important to the financial transactions of this group.

Finally Ethiopia, the third African nation, it will be watched by many of the other African nations to see if this union will benefit this nation.

The meeting also has begun forming a criteria for addition nations joining, at present there are over 40 nations interested in joining. One could expect a large number to be added by the next meeting. Countries from Mexico in North America, Algeria in northern Africa, central Asia. and the far east are expected to be considered in the future.

It was also announced that work is continuing on the process of trading in these countries currencies. Argentina will be special case and it can be expected that they will not all be integrated at once. It seems they do not want a world reserve currency dominated by one country. They are looking for an alternative method with currencies pegged to their weight in gold.

While many view this group as a threat to western power, it does not have to be so. They do not want to not trade with the west, they just want the freedom to trade with whoever they feel is in their best interest. They want to escape the economic intimidation of sanctions and the pressures for social revolution that are often contrary to their religious and cultural traditions.

The policy of choosing sides without the alternative of neutrality in world affairs is at the root of this new alternative. The failures of the west to consider the culture and interests of others has created the desire for this alternative. Hopefully the west can adjust without risking more chaos and war. 

An increased hostility from the west will only likely result in the worst outcome, a truly duel trading block, rich in workers, resources and desire for self determination.

Is Wagner group now in Niger?

CAN NATO RESIST THE OPPORTUNITY TO CHALLENGE WAGNER OUTSIDE OF UKRAINE

WAGNER MAY BE MORE POPULAR IN AFRICA THAN NATO

The first videos by Yevgeny Prigozhin since his time in Ukraine have surfaced and appear to be from Niger in Africa.  It has been rumored that the coup leaders in Niger have requested aid for the Wagner group to help with their security. This video will undoubtedly be of serious interest to the French, who have almost no credibility by the people in Africa, and have been given a deadline to leave Niger. 

The ESCWA group of west African counties have pledged to return the deposed leader of Niger to power even by military force. They have threatened and oked troops assembling, but have not as yet made any assault on Niger. This group is publicly being encouraged by France, which still has around 1500 troops in Niger. While the U.S. will likely also support this, they as yet seem to be undecided as to how much support to offer. The U.S. has  a major air force base with around 1100 personnel in Niger. Both neighboring countries Burkina Faso and Mali have promised to ally with Niger in any military conflict, these counties also host Wagner forces.

The U.S. sent Victoria Nuland to Niger and was not received by the leaders of the coup, but she seemed to convey that they should not seek assistance from Wagner. France has complained that the U.S. have not supported them in this crisis. It could be that the U.S. values its new base in Niger more than its allegiance to France's economic interests in Africa.

The presence of foreign troops in Africa is supposed to be to fight and suppress the inroads of Islamic fundamentalists like Al Qaeda and ISIS. The U.S. is not hated with the same intensity as France and may be intent on focusing on the bigger picture of power in Africa.

Wagner group has a strong approval by the countries they are based in because they have been very effective in keeping terrorist's out of those countries. They have focused on helping increase security for these countries and not on perpetuating neo-colonial policies.

The question is, will the U.S. be able to co-exist with Wagner forces in these same countries, without being tempted to confront them? Did Wagner make its presence known to bait the U.S. into a confrontation that could be viewed negatively by the African populance? It is complicated situation that has the possibilities of serious consequences for Africa. The last thing Africa needs is a geopolitical struggle to break out in the continent.

 

Our ongoing live reality show, exposing government corruption.

 EIGHT YEAR SERIES FEATURING DONALD TRUMP CONTINUES

WE SEE THE PLOT, HAVE WE UNDERSTOOD THE MESSAGE?

Sometimes one has to wonder if Donald Trump is an actor in this ongoing drama or just a prop and a fictitious character in an ongoing live documentary.  In the fashion of a Shakespearian play that stimulates all the basest human emotions to produce a plot and a message that is often an extreme exaggeration of all the frailties of human psychology and interaction.

If one would set out to write a book or produce a documentary in an effort to expose the corrupt political world we live in, whether it was about domestic affairs or the international arena it would pale in the impact and effectiveness to this present reality production. It is ever present, never ending and it seems inescapable. Will it continue until none of the messages can be denied and must be addressed.

Most novels and plays have a hero and at least one villain, this play may not have a hero, but the villains seem to be a cast of thousands. While many would consider Trump a hero and he often gains sympathy, due to the constant unending predicaments he is faced with. Like some farfetched drama where the hero is always near his doom, but always manages to extricate himself, often at the last minute, and then survives.until the next attack. Is Trump in this part because of his unrelenting ability to take punishment, embarrassment and continue? What possible life experience has prepared him for this part? One sometimes must wonder if he is a conscious actor or is he just programmed to keep going, fight every battle, until the ultimate conclusion, which like all good stories, no one can predict.

Without a doubt, Trump's very existence on the political scene has motivated all the corrupt politicians, bureaucrats and government agencies and their servants, the media, to come out of the closet to do battle against Trump and his followers. They also seem to be programmed to cross every rubicon, every legal red line, every moral limit to destroy Trump. It seems they cannot contain themselves and must do everything possible to destroy Trump and his policies. The whole process seems to be an exaggeration of outrageous human behaviour, without restraint.

One must wonder why, like opponents in the past, they could have just killed him years ago, blamed it on Muslim extremists or some abortion activist. They certainly have not shown any restraint in their efforts to silence those who would challenge them, to cover up corruption,very transparently, in high places. Why is there this restraint or do they believe this play also works to deaden and weaken the publics view of any standards that restrain power in a government supposedly, by the people. Will all this exaggerated hate become the acceptable norm.

Whatever, maybe one day we will know it all. Without a doubt, this play has been playing worldwide, it has revealed the dark side of politics in a country that has always portrayed itself as an example to the world. It has damaged faith in this county by its revelations. It appears that it must go on until all the corruption and excesses can no longer be denied, that even the most cynical will be repulsed by these evil machinations. 

F-16's, more symbolism as NATO members look past Ukraine.

 NATO MEMBERS ARE LOOKING FOR LIFE AFTER UKRAINE DISASTER

TURKEY AND HUNGARY ADMIT, NO WIN FOR UKRAINE

It is now becoming clear to European NATO members that they need to begin planning for what the world will be like after the Ukraine conflict is concluded. Turkey and Hungary met this weekend and admitted they need to seek to repair relations with Russia to insure their economic future. Both countries have large economic relationships with Russia, for energy and also Turkey shares a common border. They have been trying to not burn any bridges and they now seem to understand that this conflict will never end in Ukraine's favor. They are the first to publicly admit this situation, but you can bet the Germans and French are thinking what these two are verbally saying.

At the same time the U.S. is allowing f-16's to be transferred to Ukraine. 61 f-16's with newly trained Ukrainian pilots will be just so much a target to test Russian air defenses and well trained Russian pilots in their advanced aircraft. All conflicts are used by militaries to test their equipment, but this war has been just so much advanced training for the Russian military, that has not been in a real conflict since WW2. At the start of this conflict they were somewhat disorganized and lacked focus on their mission, that has all changed and they have now become a well honed machine, all at the expense of 100's of thousands of Ukrainian lives and western military equipment as targets.

The Russians have lost many thousands of their soldiers and have resigned themselves to a future without serious relations with Western  Europe. They seem to have done a much better job of relations with the rest of the world and it appears we will now have a multi-polar economic and political world. One day history will write what a disaster this U.S. inspired Ukrainian conflict has been. It has been indeed a pivotal moment in world history.

Now the next question is, will the U.S. foreign policy experts admit their miscalculations and arrogant  and delusional polices or will they again double down to save their political image. After all, they have indeed destroyed any future that their was for Ukraine. Would Ukraine have been better off as a neutral non-aligned country rather than a member of NATO? Would western Europe have been better off with cheap Russian energy to maintain their industrial capacity? I bet the citizens of Germany and others are asking that question. Does anyone believe that Russia posed a military threat to Europe or to the United States for that matter? Only if you are one of the U.S. policy makers bent on world domination and control.

While the Ukraine conflict may continue for some time, it is clear the Ukrainian's will not prevail. Further escalation can only destroy more of the country and kill more of its diminishing population. Russia considers this conflict an existential threat to their nation, and it is. They have actually been restrained in their approach and hoped to avoid war and hoped to negotiate an acceptable security plan. The U.S. has staked NATO and its international standing on this conflict and has little chance of saving face. Will they now believe that a pre-emptive nuclear strike on Russia is their only hope? Will they tell the world they had to do it as their intelligence forsaw a Russian pre-emptive strike? No one should doubt the hubris and delusional mentality of this administration.

Much anticipated 15th BRICS meeting August 22-24.

 AGENDA DEALS WITH NEW MEMBERS AND CURRENCY

MAY DEFINE THE FUTURE OF GLOBAL TRADE

The 15th meeting of the BRICS group will convene in South Africa on August 22. It is a much anticipated meeting and will be hosted by the leaders of China, Brazil, India, South AFrica and Putin of Russia will attend virtually. There are 67 leaders of other countries planning on attending. It is expected that the BRICS group will be expanded and the official applicants so far are  Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Iran, Algeria, Argentina, Bangladesh and Ethiopia. There are at least 40 other countries considering joining the group.

It is planned that solid rules for meeting the requirements for joining are to be designed at this meeting. China wants anyone who is willing to be able to join. India has had reservations about countries that are not considered democratic, joining. We can expect that there has been pressure being placed on some members to assist in dividing this group at the insistence of the U.S. and G7, but it is likely this group will strengthen and expand.

The other big item on the agenda is the development of a new trading currency or the ability to trade in each nations currency. It is an attempt to replace the Dollar as the world's trading currency or at least provide an alternative. Actually it is an attempt to provide an alternative duel trading method. Much of this has become iminent due to the huge debt and deficits of the United States and the use of sanctions by the U.S. to interfere with the economies of other countries. 

While many have speculated that it is an attempt to use the Quan as a new reserve currency, actually that is not the case. One idea is to allow nations to trade in their own currencies and then every quarter settle their deficit with an actual transfer of gold. The other idea is to peg all the currencies of the member countries to a weight of gold and then accept those currencies at that rate between members, this seems to be the favored method so far, as all member nations could trade with each other in any members currency. The rate to gold could be set at the time of settlement. India could sell rice to members in their currency and Russia or China would accept those currencies received for oil or other goods.

The present population of the members is approaching half the worlds population, it can grow to be a huge trading group that will not be asking to eliminate or sanction others for political or social issues. It will be focused on business without prejudice or bias. A tall order in todays political climate.

While many feel that it is an attack on the U.S. and dollar hegemony, it is in reality the effects of fiscal mismanagement and the abuse of the worlds reserve currency by the Unite States for political purposes. It is more of providing an alternative rather than a complete replacement method. In actuality it may be just what is needed to force fiscal restraint and an end to the policy hat they can force political and social change by threats of economic destruction.

Is the end for Ukraine approaching?

 NATO PROPOSES DIVISION OF UKRIANE FOR NATO MEMBERSHIP

NO ONE ASKS THE RUSSIANS

As the Ukrainian counter offensive fizzles it is becoming apparent this conflict can no longer be sustained by Ukraine or its backers..While an estimated 43,000 Ukrainian soldiers have died since the beginning of the new counteroffensive and much of its military hardware and supplies are becoming scarce, a plan B has yet to be determined.

Zelensky is now in an increasingly perilous situation as some in the Ukrainian leadership are advocating an end to the offensive and a focus on developing a defensive approach to the conflict. The military realizes that once Russia determines that the Ukrainian forces are depleted enough they will begin an offensive to take Kharkiv and Odessa. Then Russia would then most likely try to move to the Dnieper river before beginning negotiations. This would place Kiev in a position that they would then be very weak in any negotiation.

NATO is now floating an idea of a negotiation that would cede the occupied territory in exchange for NATO membership for western Ukraine. Only problem, no one wants to ask Russia's opinion, because this conflict has never been about territory, but about security and the rejection of NATO expansion into Ukraine. Russia is not going to accept Ukraine NATO membership, short of military defeat with a potential nuclear war. Russia has always wanted a neutral Ukraine by being the borderland or buffer between Russia and NATO. After the cost of lives and treasure, NATO membership is even more of a no go.

The clock is actually running out, The Ukrainian military option to go on the defense is their best option other than capitulation. The offensive is faltering, recruitment is becoming very difficult, surrender to the Russians is increasing, as the Russian's have been smart in giving captives medical care and fairly good treatment. Medical care has deteriorated for wounded Ukrainians, many die before they can receive any care and there are reports of drone footage of many bodies that are still littering the battlefield weeks after engagements. There is a real possibility that a collapse of the Ukrainian military is on the horizon. They have fought harder under poor conditions than anyone could have expected, in fact, they really never had a chance to succeed without air cover and a strong supply of munitions. 

While the destruction of Ukraine as a viable country has been the result of this misadventure into NATO expansion, Ukraine can no longer sustain this fight. The West is now all about face saving and looking for a way to declare a victory, even if it is just another false narrative. They have proposed enticing Poland and Latvia to intervene, but such a expansion would be a very dangerous escalation, considering that the Poles and Latvians are not viewed by the Russian's as brothers and there would be no restraint. Many Russian's still feel compassion for the many of the Ukrainians, even while they have to fight.

Zelensky, his leadership, and NATO will have to decide on a realistic plan B, quickly, or it will just become beyond their ultimate control.

Obviously, Democrats believe they can rule forever.

 NO RESTRAINT IN THEIR ABUSE OF POWER AND CORRUPTION

THEY WILL RULE OVER A COLLAPSING AMERICA

Every action by the ruling party or the ruling coalition indicates that they now believe they will retain power in perpetuity. While the Democrats now control most of the levers of power we can only assume the direction of the country would be the same if the titles were reversed but manned by other submissive figureheads. 

We see this abuse both domestically and in foreign relations. We will do as we please and if you resist, we will destroy you. While it seems that it is all under control on the domestic scene the real test is going to come from those on the global scene that are willing to just say, NO.

We see these continuous political indictments of Donald Trump, not only in an attempt to damage him politically, but a real desire to make him an example to any political candidate to not buck the ruling elite. We see the effects on the growing republican field that have all fallen in lockstep with advocating the continuation of forever war. They are required to approve of the war in Ukraine, to approve of the military threats to China, and advocate for the overthrow of any government not supporting U.S. policy, no matter how disgusting. Yes, it is obvious that the ruling elite of both mythical political parties do believe they have their power sowed up in perpetuity and it may be true. 

Unfortunately they will be ruling over a fast declining America, an America looked at with disgust and suspicion by much of the world and also by a growing number of its own citizens. A rule that will only be positible by force and intimidation, not by a good reputation, credibility and confidence. A victory of rule that is destined to self destruct and take down the country and possibly the world with it.

Sadly it is just a repeat of former powerful empires that eventually fall into the cycle of depravity and decline. It is the fate of every individual or nation that believes it can ignore the basic laws of Human civilization and succeed. Absolute power does indeed corrupt absolutely.

So as the nation watches the soap opera of Trump indictments, the nations leaders are fixated on the  destruction and possible incineration of Ukraine,  a continuous invasion of the borders, a potential war with China, the expansion of the national debt, the end of the dollar as the world reserve currency and the growing loss of confidence and credibility in this government and this country.

As for Trump, It could be a blessing for him to be able to watch as this administration wins another term and has to rule over the end of this country, it is a just reward for this establishment and all its corrupt supporters.

While they may have engineered the perpetual lock on power in the end it will be a hollow victory when there is little left to rule over.

 

New Proxy war, now in Africa.

 SIDES ARE BEING TAKEN IN A WAR THAT WILL HAVE GLOBAL CONSEQUENCES

WILL THIS NOW BE A NATO OPERATION?

The crisis in Africa is now on the point of violence as the ECOWAS group has signaled they are preparing for war. The U.S. and France is signaling they will support their efforts to overthrow the coup government in Niger. Mali and Burkina Faso have signaled they will support Niger. Russia has warned ECOWAS not to invade Niger and supports a non-violent resolution. 

It seems only 2 nations of ECOWAS group have actually begun preparations for war. It may be that many are having second thoughts about engaging in this war. In fact, the proposed meeting to finalize details has been postponed.

It is also rumored that Niger has sought support form the Wagner Group to help with their security. The Wagner group is actually popular in some of these African countries because of their efforts to suppress islamic terrorists and rebels. They are also feared by some of these governments as well. 

No matter what, France does not seem to have any support by anyone in the general population. Without assistance, France is going to lose its influence in Africa. Even with military force, their standing is destined to become lessened in the future.

While this war may now be on hold for now, we can expect that it will not just go away, we will likely see more areas of change in Africa.

More cover-up by DOJ, independent special counsel needed.

 CONGRESS NEEDS TO DEMAND UNBIASED SPECIAL COUNCIL

JUST AN ATTEMPT TO SHUT DOWN CONGRESSIONAL INVESTIGATION

Friday saw the latest amateur attempt by the Biden Department of Justice to stop and bury the investigation into Joe Biden's corruption. After their attempt to give Hunter Biden immunity failed, they have now appointed the same prosecutor who OK'd a sweetheart deal in the first place. It is a remarkably feeble attempt to bury and end this investigation. 

Knowing that congress was soon to issue subpoenas for Hunter Biden and maybe even Joe Biden they hope to disable any further investigation by congress. You can expect that due to the special council, no one can investigate but him. Congress needs to take a stand. They should demand and independent special council and if they need to stop all congressional business, including new funding they should do so.

If they consent to this further obstruction of justice, they are as much consenting collaborators to this injustice. 

They should also move to impeach Merrick Garland for an obvious obstruction of Justice, and they should now move for the impeachment of Joe Biden for obstruction of justice, abuse of power and taking of money from foreign powers. They should also begin investigating the connection between the Biden corruption in Ukraine with this ongoing war.

The corruption of the departments of this federal government can no longer be ignored, it is worse than many third world countries, obvious corruption in an attempt to hide their pervasive previous corruption.

It is true, "Oh what a tangled web we weave when first we practice to deceive." No better description of the present Federal government.

Leaked documents reveal U.S. orchestrated removal of Pakistani leader.

 U.S. STATE DEPARTMENT TOLD PAKISTANI OPPOSITION THAT A NO CONFIDENCE VOTE WAS NEEDED TO REMOVE IMRAN KHAN

OUSTED FOR DESIRING TO STAY NEUTRAL IN UKRAINE

Documents surfaced this week that verified what most already knew, that the United States was instrumental in having Imran Kahn removed from office. He made the mistake of deciding to stay neutral in the current geopolitical war.

It was revealed that current undersecretary of state Donald Lu told the Pakistan ambassador that failure to side with the U.S. and Ukraine was unexceptable and that all would be forgiven if Khan was removed by a no-confidence vote. He also said, if not, there would be difficulties for Pakistan.This meeting was on March7, 2022. One month later Kahn, the most popular politician in Pakistan, was removed by a no confidence vote.

Kahn proceeded to begin his campaign for the upcoming election in April, 2023. He spoke before large crowds and has the overwhelming support of the people of Pakistan. He was wounded in an assassination attempt and recovered and continued to campaign.

He was then arrested and charged with corruption. He was then convicted and sentenced to 3 years in prison on August 5, 2023.

This intervention is now the norm of the current U.S. government. Yesterday there was a no confidence vote in India, that failed, Prime minister Modi is under pressure by the U.S. and internal division is being used to bring his government down. Modi is also popular with the people of India. 

There is widespread use of U.S. non-government agencies, funded by the U.S. to create dissent and instability in Hungry, Turkey and any other countries that do not take a lock step position with the United States

One can only believe that this policy of regime change and intervention is now becoming old and the populations of these counties, like Pakistan, realize what has happened and support for the U.S. will decline. Does anyone believe that the German populace is looking at the U.S. in a new light after the destruction of the Nord stream pipeline.

It seems there is no backing down by this administration, we now see that war is coming to Africa, threats of war with China and Iran are being discussed and escalation of the war in Ukraine continues. Biden has now asked for another $13 billion for Ukraine, it is now like a monthly cost to sustain this losing policy. 

This administration and its supporters are delusional if they really believe they can manage war all over the globe and orchestrate regime change in every country that does not support them. 

Another observation, it is becoming clear that the tactics used all over the world are now being used against the political opposition here at home. You can expect that Donald Trump will be convicted and jailed before the next election.

U.S. chip makers experiencing blow back of China Chip embargo.

 CHINA DESTROYING PROFIT OF WESTERN ANALOG CHIP MAKERS

SOPHISTICATED CHIPS MAY BE NEXT

U.S. chip makers, Intel, Texas instruments. and others  have recently informed the Biden administration that China has set about to retaliate to the U.S. embargo on silicon chips and equipment. While the embargo has been effective at slowing sales to China, China has been in the process in ramping up its production of Analog Chips, those used in most products, like automobiles, refrigerators and other products. It is in fact the bread and butter of chip makers. 

China now has the ability to produce chips of comparable quality as those produced in the U.S. but at a drastic discount to western producers. It has been reported that a similar chip that had cost $70 to $80 is now being marketed by China for as little as $1. This has deeply impacted the profit margins of these companies and while they have been forced to reduce prices, they will never be able to compete with China's manufacturers. 

It seems this is a new pattern emerging around the world, as sanctions and embargos are used to intimidate or force compliance those affected have been able to substitute in short order at moving to domestic manufacturers, that then replace the existing suppliers. This has been the case with Russia and other countries that soon find alternatives to former suppliers that may never have access to those markets again.

While the U.S. and western countries have relied on High Tech products to keep their share of markets, it is now possible that other countries can soon match the quality and often the quantity of producing these products. 

Sanctions historically have never really been effective, the embargo of U.S. oil to Japan is often blamed on the attack on Pearl Harbor. 40 years of sanctions on Iran may have caused discomfort, but not submission.Today, retaliation is often just replacing and finding other products to use as leverage. China has already slowed the availability of rare earth minerals in retaliation for sanctions. Russia has replaced western products with domestic production or production from other countries. European autos have almost all been replaced either by Chinese or other autos, Mc Donalds still functions but with Russian owners and a new name. 

Years were spent on pushing the benefits of global trade. Many domestic products were replaced by foreign competition, in the hope that it would be offset with hi-tech sales to these countries. To some extent that worked out, many countries were satisfied to engage in that bargain, but when essential items are used as weapons it is soon apparent that no product is now exclusive for long. It can soon be produced by others and that market may disappear forever.

That is were we are today, a policy of power politics and economic intimidation is no longer a one way street and it is likely no one will be a winner.

Looks like war coming to Africa.

 NULAND'S VISIT TO NIGER INDICATES WAR IS ON MENU

BOTH FRANCE AND U.S. HAVE TROOPS IN NIGER

Much is made of Victoria Nuland's trip to Niger. It seems she was only met by lower ranking members of the new leadership. You can bet they were warned that if they don't submit to western terms quickly, there will be war. The U.S. has a large base with over 1000 personnel. the French have around 1500 troops in Niger. It seems that Niger is going to be the tipping point to counter African nationalism and African unity. 

Niger is one of the poorest counties in the world with over 40% of the population living below the poverty line. While it is rich in resources namely Uranium and Gold, most of these resources are controlled by France, the former colonial ruler. France also controls the currency and all transaction in Niger go through French banks. France has a lot of say about the future of this country. It seems the citizens of Niger, who approve of the latest change in government by near 80%, are unified in their desire to send France back to Europe. It seems the west is unifying in keeping France in their present position. It looks this will mean another front on the global war for control.

So far, the new government has given France 30 days to exit, including their troops. France has so far refused. It seems the U.S. is going to support France in their hope of keeping economic control of the country. 

All this coincides with coming BRICS summit in South Africa, Aug. 20 to 22. It is rumored that over 40 countries, many in Africa, want to become affiliated with the BRICS group and are interested in developing a new currency backed by Gold. I suspect that the west will delay any military intervention in Africa until after this meeting, as it would likely inflame passions in Africa and will be a very dangerous move that may spread to many parts of Africa.

The trend in Africa seems to be a movement to further distance these countries from their former colonial masters. While they have gained independence in the last 50 years, many feel they are still controlled by financial dependence and interventionist politics.

It seems that the resources of Africa have now become again a prize sought by competing interests. For Africans, competition for their products can be a good opportunity to get more of the value from their resources. It will require shrewd judgment and some unity from them as the divide and conquer tactics will be used to keep control of these assets.

Growing global resentment toward U.S. is well earned.

 OVER 30 YEARS OF DEATH AND DESTRUCTION FOREIGN POLICY

MANY JUST WANT TO JUST STAY CLEAR, IF THEY CAN

While the western media is still trying to convince their populations and the world that they are the great benefactors to the world and without U.S. influence and power the world would collapse into chaos, much of the rest of the world does not share that view, even if they fear expressing that opinion.

Much of the real chaos in the world started with the first Iraq war, when the U.S. allowed and encouraged Saddam Hussein to believe that a reincorporation of the Kuwait oil fields, that were formally part of Iraq, but became part of Kuwait due to western nation building after WW2. The U.S according to congressional testimony conveyed to Saddam through its ambassador April Glaspie that it would not get involved in any border disputes in the region. It seems there was a plan to bring about the destruction of Iraq's military power and was in fact baited into believing he could succeed in this endeavor. It seems this strategy has often been repeated numerous time in the last few decades. It was the first lesson learned by others who understood what had happened and it was the just the beginning of similar regime change operations.

The operation that was put into motion to expel Saddam from Kuwait required the stationing of troops in Saudi Arabia. Whether this was originally intended to be permanent or not is not clear, but it set in motion resentment by many Sunni Muslims in the region. They perceived this a threat and a violation of their religious beliefs. One of those was Osama Bin Laden, a former ally of the U.S. in their war with Russia in Afghanistan. Bin Laden spent several years warning the U.S. that his followers did not want foreign troops stationed in their country. He was expelled from Saudi Arabia, which was an ally of the U.S. and settled in Afghanistan were he was able to grow his resistance among those who did not want foreign troops in their muslim countries neither Russian or other western nations.

Bin Laden's warnings were ignored and eventually he claimed that he and his followers would begin a campaign that would BLEED the United States in resources that would lead to their demise. This began a campaign of terrorism in the western world. It culminated in the attack on the world trade center in New York that indeed did change the world forever. It is indeed a prophetic outcome of Bin Laden that a small group of dedicated followers were able to set the stage and in fact bait the U.S. into an aggressive reprisal against most every nation in the middle east that lasted for over 20 years, resulted in the death of possibly 1 million, the destruction of nations, the destabilization of Europe and it continues to today. The cost in money, human lives and the good standing of the United States has been permanently diminished. 

This terrorist attack gave those in positions of power in the U.S. the opportunity to exert the power of the United States to set the course of world events, to in fact, "Rule the World". It was sold as the beginning of a "New World Order", orchestrated by the United States and its subservient allies in western Europe, most of which have been bought and paid for by U.S. borrowed money.

Then began regime change operations around the world usually with a fake reason of necessity of some sort, Iraq again, Afghanistan, Syria, Lybya,Tunisia, Egypt and Ukraine. Then interference in the internal elections and other subversion in Russia, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Chechnya and even Israel. Also Brazil, Venezuela, Chile and it seemed anyplace that was vulnerable or naive enough to allow U.S. money and influence to be accepted into their country.  Of course, this was all done in the name of making a better world. 

The biggest prize is and has been Russia, a concerted effort of propaganda began to demonize everything Russia and to expand NATO to its very borders in an effort to surround and encourage its dissolution in the hope of diving up its assets and resources with its subservient allies. It is turning out to be a gross miscalculation and it is now the dilemma that if this adventure does not result in their ultimate victory, the whole house of cards is going to fold. NATO, the Dollar as the reserve currency, global financial and military hegemony will begin to evaporate. 

And now, Russia and China have not submitted to their threats of financial ruin and war and other nations are watching, wondering where they are best served in the future. The stick of U.S. destruction or the possible carrot of trying something new. The world in fact is sitting on the fence.

They have seen what cooperation with the U.S. can lead to and many would just like to distance themselves from what has proved to be possible disastrous results. They do not want to be forced to submit to the financial, military and social revolution being sold by this once great country.

This great and disastrous episode in human history is soon to be concluded. It is clear that the powers that be in Washington wanted enemies and now they have them. Do they also want war? Do they in their delusion believe that they can fight a proxy war with Russia or a limited NATO war on foreign soil without suffering in the homeland?  Are the American people naive enough to believe this war can be won in some distant land and they will not be effected?   War with Russia and or China will result in the first casualties in the homeland and they will be extensive.

Our diplomats have told China and Russia to expect war and they are preparing for war. I actually don't see much actual preparation by the U.S. for war, just bluster and threats and false narratives. They may be able to win elections in the west this way, but it will not win a war they are not prepared to fight.

Now, the only way ro avoid war is to admit, that we no longer can control the world, that we have to recognize the concerns of others and accommodate a world that has changed, much of it due to our own extreme actions. It will take humility, empathy and a desire for a better world for all, so far, there is no sign of those virtues, but time is running out.

Looks like another increase in inflation coming.

 ENERGY AND FOOD MOVING HIGHER

SELF SUFFICIENCY IS BEST REMEDY

In the last few weeks we have seen heating oil rise by 50 cents a gallon, gas is now up by at least 30 cents and it is probably just the beginning. It is likely we will see near $5. fuel prices again in the coming winter. This is due to production cuts by OPEC and a strong demand everywhere. That and the fact the strategic oil reserve has already been mostly emptied and will not be able to be used to moderate prices. In fact, Opec protested the manipulation of oil prices for political purposes by using this reserve and consequently has had some effect in their failure to cooperate with western appeals to produce more supply. Of course the sanctions on Russian oil is also affecting supply.

As for food, it is also affected by the lake of supply from Ukraine, it is unlikely that a new grain deal will be enacted as the west refused to hold up their part of the bargain. This grain shortage will have an effect on European food prices which will increase demand for everyone. It is also expected that sanctions on Russian fertilizer will have negative effects on food production in the coming years. It may become very severe in the next harvest season.

While we can all lament the troubles affecting food and energy in other parts of the world, we could have the ability to be self sufficient in energy and food in this country. The policies that have stifled production and the regulations that have prohibited refining have allowed this country to become dependent on the rest of the world. It does not have to be the case, but is the result of political decisions in Washington.

Food prices will also be effected by the growing meddling from Washington in areas of food production and distribution. High energy prices alone will dramatically increase food prices and coupled with policies that try to curtail meat production will soon make common diet products luxury items. High energy prices will raise the price of fertilizer, transportation and food preservation, it will all translate to much higher food prices. 

Inflation will not be controlled by higher interest rates. It is a question of supply, more than demand. Much of these problems could be alleviated with sound decisions in Washington, a rare thing today.

Lies and abuse of power will lead to long term consequences.

 REPERCUSSIONS WILL BE NEGATIVE DRAG ON COUNTRY FOR YEARS

DIVISION WILL NOT BE HEALED UNTIL GUILTY ARE PROSECUTED

Much is made of the new indictments against Donald Trump. Indictments that are just as much a farce as the Russian hoax, the impeachment for inquiring about the Biden corruption in Ukraine, the lying by the FBI, including former directors, the portrayal of a protest as an insurrection against the government, the 51 former intelligence leaders who lied to the American people about the Biden corruption being Russian disinformation, the lying on Fisa documents to spy on the Trump campaign. 

The real and unaddressed problems with the abuse of the election system that a majority no longer believes it to be trustworthy.

Then there is the ongoing lies about the war in Ukraine. The lies and misinformation about the vaccine that is not, the effectiveness of the vaccine and the authoritarian approach in combatting the virus. The long list of discrepancies and uninvestigated problems in the last 2 elections, I could go on and on, it is an accumulation that one has to consider if anything they say is the truth.

Then there is the collaboration with the media that will swear that it is all true, when one must believe they know they are all lying.

We can only assume that the ruling elite believe they have the control of power in the bag for perpetuity. This may very well be a fact. If there is massive election fraud who will investigate it? Who will be able to change it? We can be assured it will not be the corrupt FBI or the corrupt Justice department. The future for this country is dire indeed.

They may be able to insure power for the foreseeable future, but the consequences will soon be apparent. We will very likely not see enlistment in the military and reserves. Many no longer feel this is a government that they will want to go overseas to die for their political opportunities. When we no longer have an honest press or an unbiased judicial system, we are not any better than other totalitarian governments. There are many ways were citizens can opt out of supporting the government, not by direct confrontation, but just plain non-support and alienation.

It can only end when there are consequences for the lying and abuse of power. It seems it in now unlikely that will happen by the election process. That may very well only end with the collapse of this great experiment in self government. What happens after that is anyone's guess.

Africa, the next courtship or next conflict.

 AFRICA HAS BEEN TOLD THEY MUST TAKE SIDES

MOST AFRICANS NOW WANT TO DECIDE FOR THEMSELVES

The political situation in Africa has now taken a turn with the coup of the government in Niger. This coup is led by U.S. trained general Abdourahamane Tchiani, who has promised elections in the future. This is the 5th coup since the nations independence in 1960. It seems this is now considered some pivotal moment in the struggle for Africa's allegiance. 

France, the former ruler of Niger has evacuated all French nationals form the country. The U.S. has evacuated some of its embassy staff. The U.S. has just spent $100 million on a new Air force base staffed with 1000 American troops that is supposed to be a drone center for the fight against Islamic radicals.

African organizations have threatened to bring military action if the leader Mohamed Bazoom is not returned to power by August 6. The neighboring countries of Mali and Burkina Faso have pledged to support Niger in any military intervention. Someone now will lose face.

Much is made by the overthrow of an elected leader, but it is with some hypocrisy since this has been going on, often with the help of western powers, for decades.

There is a growing resentment against former colonial powers and also a growing option of trade and aid with China and Russia. Many Africans would like to be able to make choices that are in the best interest of their nation. Alignment with western nations has been clouded with strings that are not in their best interest. Often political and social pressure that does not align with their religious and cultural traditions. 

Then there was the murder and overthrow of  Muammar Gaddafi of Libya, who actually agreed to all the demands of the west and was still overthrown with NATO assistance. Gaddafi was popular in Africa because he provided much financial aid to other countries and also sought to organize some kind of African union. The other symbol of independent African union was Patrice Lumumba, who was assassinated with help by the West. These issues have been festering and Russia and China offer alternatives that allow, at least for now, free political, economic, and social decisions.

This is all taking place when a BRICS meeting is going to take place in several weeks in South Africa. It will add another scene of drama to the already much anticipated meeting.

It will remain to be seen, if the EU, NATO and the U.S. are willing to intervene in these countries or are they now preoccupied with Ukraine, Russia and China and the accompanying economic and social issues at home.

It seems this is just one more area of approaching change that may not be able to be controlled by foreign powers.

Time for Biden to resign.

 REPUBLICANS MUST NOW START IMPEACHMENT

ANYTHING LESS WILL BE DERELICTION OF DUTY

There is now overwhelming evidence that Joe Biden has conspired with his son Hunter Biden to use his elected positions to obtain money from foreign countries and business's. It is also clear, having been admitted on national television, that Biden threatened to withhold funds for Ukraine unless they fired the prosecutor investigating his son and his collaborator in Ukraine.  There is sufficient evidence to begin impeachment in the House of Representatives.

Biden should do the honorable thing and step down and save the country from more chaos, division and the destruction of this country.

While the charges of corruption are now very strong, there is also the using of his position and his administration to use the judicial branch for political revenge and election tampering.

Representatives and Senators better consider that this administration may very well push the Ukraine war to WW3 if they believe it will be enough distraction to save this presidency.

There is now far more important things to consider than the partisan political lust for power, privilege and money.

We will see if there any Democrats who actually believe in saving this country or are they all unanimous in risking taking the country down rather than admit their corruption and failings.

Biden affair demonstrates media and Washington corruption

BIDEN 'S ARE PERFECT EXAMPLE OF WASHINGTON CORRUPTION

MEDIA ELITE PROFIT FROM ACCESS TO THIS CORRUPTION

It is interesting how the media has covered for the Biden corruption. We hear it stated that there is no wrong doing.  That this has been looked into and all is well. Lets look at some facts about the Bidens.

Hunter Biden career:

Department of commerce     1998-2001

Lobbyist                                2001-?

Board of directors Amtrak    2006-2008

Rosemont Capital                  2008-

Shortly after his father became Vice President, Hunter Biden, Christopher Heinz, step son of soon to be Secretary of state, John Kerry founded Rosemont Capital an international investment co. managed  by Devin Archer, former campaign manager for John Kerry. It formed separate branches, Rosemont Seneca partners, Rosemont seneca technology partners and Rosemont realty.

Devon Archer and Hunter Biden were appointed to the board of directors of a Ukrainian gas co and received over 3 Million in payments from April 2014 to March 2016. I will not rehash the whole story but in the end Joe Biden forced the firing of the Ukrainian prosecutor who was investigating this arrangement.

BHR Partners                         2013-

Hunter Biden, Devon Archer form partnership with Jonathon Li a Chinese national to invest Chinese money outside China. In 2014 this partnership received $1.5 billion from the Chinese government, much of it to be invested in duel use manufacturing co.s in the U.S. and military metals in Africa.

In May 2013 Biden Joins the Naval reserve, obtains a waiver as he is over the enlistment age. He receives a second waiver concerning a past drug incident.

He is commissioned as an Ensign and assigned to a public affairs office in Norfolk, Va.

Feb. 2014 he is discharged for testing positive for cocaine.

One must wonder why he wanted to become a Navy officer.

The point is, could just anyone's son have the above career. It reeks of elite privilege and influence pedaling. It also reeks of down right corruption. 

This is the type of corruption that is endemic in our political system today. We see the relatives of news people moving back and forth from political campaigns, political appointments, boards of directors and other positions were there is the ability to siphon off money and trade influence.

This is also prevalent with the family and friends of politicians who are willing to be part of the elite club. There are jobs and positions on non-profits and corporate boards of directors if you are part of the club. This applies to both political parties. It is often continued for generations.

If you are not part of the club they have the power, influence and ability to crush anyone who is unwilling to cooperate.

This system is the worst in Washington D.C. as it has the most power and money, but it lives everywhere in our political system from school boards to local and state government. 

Many seem to want to deny that this is the case. Just ignore it if it does not directly affect them, or they would like to know how to get in on the government corruption. In the end it will bring down everything.

Originally published 1/31/20

Update, Bidens partner Devon Archer has been convicted for investment fraud concerning the investments of an Native American tribe to the tune of $50 million. He is due to be sentenced soon. It is interesting that it never made it into the media. 

Update 7/31/2023. Devon Archer testifies before congress, tries to cover for the Biden's, but he has been involved for years in corrupt practices with Hunter Biden. He is expected to serve time in jail sooner or later, so I expect they will keep this hanging over his head as  leverage.