STILL HOPING TO SAVE FACE AND WIN
PROSPECTS FOR BOTH FUTURES DIM
It is clear that both Ukraine and the EU, and of course most of all the UK, are not ready for peace in Ukraine. They still envision a ceasefire or frozen conflict were it will be used as an opportunity to rearm and retrain Ukraines youth to fight some more. They are not ready, but as the talks with the U.S. go on and a move by the U.S. to normalize relations with Russia continue, the future for Ukraine and Europe will all be downhill.
Many claim that only Trump can end this war and that is true, not because of his brilliance as a negotiator, but because he still has a window of credibility as an honest broker in dealings with Russia. All of the present European leaders have torched their credibility with their past behaviour of duplicity and outright lies. He has opportunity, until he is viewed otherwise by the sophisticated and leary Putin and Lavrov.
So, while the talks with the U.S. go on, we will see changes in leadership all across Europe, more economic decline and social unrest. Ukraine will be smaller day by day and will soon become politically chaotic. Zelinsky's days are now numbered, declining support and dismal results on the battlefield will just be too much. It will either be elections or a violent change of leadership.
Trump's attempt to force a quick end to this dispute is now unlikely as more death and destruction, economic crisis and political upheaval may be necessary to convince the rest that it is time to give it up.
Then there are those in the U.S. who hope to embrace Russia in a hope of separating them from China and derailing the movement of the BRICS economic union. If that should be successful, then they could have another go a Russia in the future. They are still delusional and immature in their assessment of the direction of world events. The world is wise to game and it is over.
The only hope is mutual respect, cooperation and co-existance, any other approach will end in dire consequences for all.
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