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Wednesday, March 23, 2022

Goodbye hot war, Hello cold war or maybe not.

 

DEEP STATE SHIFT FROM MIDDLE EAST TO RUSSIA, CHINA

MONEY AND MEDDLING REDEPLOYED TO NEW COLD WAR


Have the architects of our foreign policy decided that Americans are tired of the last 30 years of middle east war and it is time to refocus on a new money sucking endeavor? While many have been demonizing and poking at Russia for some time, they have now added China, at least in a half hearted way, as our new adversary. 

Donald Trump viewed China as an economic threat, mostly by creating an environment of lost American jobs and dependence on China for many of our necessities. There was much push-back by the corporate world who was making trillions on cheaply produced goods being sold for high prices in the western world. Trump also proposed bettering relations with Russia.

China's prosperity is a creation of American diplomacy. We were willing to allow them to sell us the proverbial rope to hang ourselves. The Chinese now feel that they have come very close to fulfilling this goal. China could be dealt with by restraining our dependence on Chinese products and encouraging home grown competition to Chinese goods. A new cold war will add a new dimension of profit alongside continuing to import Chines products.

Russia on the other hand was not destined to be our enemy. Russia is an easy target since many were still living in the cold war days and no one was making any money on Russian goods or investment. When the Soviet Union disbanded, much of it in the hope of incorporating into the world economy, the United States was not viewed as an enemy by the Russian people nor much of their leadership. They welcomed advice on transforming their economy into a free market. They negotiated dozens of arms reduction treaties. They no longer supported the expansion of communism around the world. They allowed the reunification of Germany.

Even when we reneged on our promise that we would not expand Nato, they hoped to become part of and accepted into the world community.

We then expanded Nato from 15 countries to 30, including many former Warsaw pact countries. In effect we have literally surrounded Russia with Nato members. While Russia complained about this expansion, it did little to push back until we engineered the Ukrainian revolution with the goal of including Ukraine, on the border of Russia, as a Nato member and taking their only warm water port, Sevastopol, and making it a NATO naval base. This is was the end of Russian passivity and has now ushered in an era of becoming our enemy.

Our genius foreign policy specialists squandered the opportunity to actually have Russia as an ally, as they actually were in the fight against terrorism and have cooperated in other areas. Now we actually forced Russia to do business with China, Iran and other adversaries. Since the continuous and false allegations against Russian interference in our internal affairs, which we have engaged in their part of world, Russia is now likely to take an active role in making the world more difficult for the U.S.

Russia does not have to match us weapon for weapon, but can use its cyber capabilities to in effect neutralize many of our expensive and sophisticated weapons. It can also just make our lives more difficult without making any overt hostile acts. Russia is a creation of our own foreign policy.

At the same time we see this administration withdrawing missile defense assets from Saudi Arabia and kissing up to Iran, a country that continues to chant death to America, and they mean it. 

It appears we are setting the stage for a new global cold war that we most likely lack the resources to engage in. Are we going to actually increase our military budget for new high tech weapons and provide trillions of dollars to our perceived allies?

As we watch the incompetence and delsional view of the world from this current administration, it is likely that they will blunder into a predicament that they will not be able to spin themselves out of.

Originally published 9/17/21

 

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