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Thursday, November 14, 2024

Trump's can dos and probably nots.

 BORDER SECURITY SHOULD BE NUMBER 1 PRIORITY

ENERGY PRODUCTION WILL LOWER PRICES


As the Trump administration takes shape at a quick pace we can expect that this will allow Trump to get going very quickly. While some of his picks are questionable, and if they are willing to administer administration policies, we will have to wait and see. I suspect that Trump will have little patience with foot dragging.

While everyone has great expectations, what are the realistic expectations of this administration.

It does seem that Trump has a mandate to secure the border, so it should be his number 1 priority as it will be difficult for congress to oppose this agenda. This is a real possibility for success.

Increased energy production and lowering of energy prices will begin to lower the prices of most everything we buy, he should be able to implement policies to do just that.

As for tax reform that will be another issue, he will be able to get some of his ideas through, like tax on tips, which is basically unenforceable and very unequally enforced depending on where people work.  No tax on social security is a possibility.

Reform of the Justice department, Pentagon and Intelligence agencies will be another issue, hopefully some progress can be made, but there will be very hard resistance from the entrenched bureaucracy.

In foreign affairs, while many still believe in prolonging the Ukraine conflict, it is going to resolve itself in due time, as Russia is advancing everywhere and no amount of aid is going to change this outcome. The natural course of the conflict will provide the end of this, the question is can they all work out a lasting peace.

The middle east is the toughest problem, it is now near total war, a war that Israel can't win without U.S. intervention that will bring in many other players. It is the worst situation at the moment. It is on the verge of becoming WW3. An end to the Ukraine conflict would free up Russia and China to be positive players in a solution, they now have strong influence on Iran. This coupled with strong restraint from the U.S. on Israel could be, yes could be, a possible end to this situation. I suspect it will require a unified partnership from allies on both sides to bring that about. So far we have seen little diplomacy from the west, just threats and sanctions. I am not sure that I see any diplomats on the horizon yet, we can only hope. None of the major countries want war, it seems the leadership of Israel believes if they can destroy Iran they will have no enemies in the future, a very dangerous and unrealistic idea.

Much of the Trump presidency will be out of his control due to the complicated foreign situation, something that is out of his control. Hopefully he will focus on reform and making the country united and strong and put it in a better position for the future.





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