Pivotal point in Ukraine war.

 THERE IS A IRREVERSIBLE CHANGE OF DIRECTION

REALITY WILL OVERCOME WISHFUL THINKING

It is clear that things are changing concerning the Ukraine war. The Trump administration is exercising leadership by having the courage to lay out the reality of this conflict. The war cannot be won by Ukraine. Ukraine cannot regain the Crimea and the territory it has lost. The much hoped for advance by the Ukraine army during its counteroffensive and other campaigns has not put it in a better negotiating position.

The choices are to end it in the best way for Ukraine now, introduce western troops to the conflict line or let the conflict drag on until Ukraine loses Odessa, Kharkov and needs to engage in unconditional surrender.

Of the 3 choices, negotiating a peace plan now is the best option. The reality is Russia is in the dominating position. The U.S. is not going to put boots on the ground in Ukraine, that has been the policy of the U.S. forever. Without U.S participation there is no military victory for Ukraine. At the point of unconditional surrender, Ukraine will never be a prosperous country in the future, it will have lost all its resources and ports on the black sea. 

France and Uk hope to put troops into western Ukraine in an effort to free up Ukraine troops to go to the front line. This will not happen in a vacuum, they will become belligerents and be subject to attack. The U.S. is not going to commit to backing them up and get sucked into WW3.  

It seems that many look at this conflict as the only thing on the world plate of bag choices. It is only one and may be the easiest to come to a conclusion.

Much is made about the amount of money spent by the U.S..  Congress has appropriated $183 billion in aid to Ukraine. Then there is tens of billions spent by the CIA and the state department including $5 billion to aid in the 2014 Ukraine revolution. Then there was the agreement by the Biden administration to encourage the eastern European nations to gift all their T-72 tanks, Mig 29's and other soviet era equipment to Ukraine with the promise to replace it with U.S. equipment at a later date. Who knows how much that will come to, if those nations can convince Trump to honor that deal. So, Trump may be right with his $350 billion number, but no one actually knows the total.

Then there is the big picture of U.S. financial insecurity with massive debts and deficits that will not be dealt with without a lot of pain, this cannot be complicated with a bottomless pit of endless war. It seems many still believe that the U.S. can keep funding the world, it cannot. 

The reality is that financial crisis is on the immediate horizon and when it blows up Ukraine will most likely be the last thing on anyones mind. Surely the Democrats will use this as an opportunity to blame Trump. DOGE, tariffs and other tactics to stave off this likely financial crisis needs more unity and cooperation rather than hoping to continue in this path of endless war and irresponsible fiscal policy.