THINGS WILL NEVER BE THE SAME
THE INEVITABLE IS BEING ACCELERATED
I am sure there will be many opinions about the first 100 days of the new Trump administration. The Trump haters are still hating and will pile on with every possible catastrophic result of Trump's politics. While 100 days may have been very important in the past, I suspect we will all have to wait a little longer to judge the results of many of these novel policies.
What is coming in the next 4 years is going to be momentous history making period for the world with or without Trump. It is the end of an era, and what comes next will be either managed or we will be the victim of the changes. One good thing about Trump is that he is able change directions, and in an era that has no guidelines, some things may have to go to option B or C or whatever will work the best. The reality is that we need to be hopeful that we end on our feet with the least bad result.
So, First, Trump, as he promised, did focus on regulating the border and deporting criminal elements that are in the country illegally. While deporting them all will take time, it does appear that the border is now much tighter than in the past.
Trump's attempt to end the war in Ukraine, while there are discussion that did not happen in the past 3 years, no solution has been accepted by those involved. If you face the positions of Russia, compared to Europe and Ukraine, only military defeat will end this conflict. Of course, it will all end in negotiations, but not until defeat is staring someone in the face. Trump is best to end U.S. military involvement, it can not have any positive result for the U.S.
Same goes for the Iran/Israel situation, Many realize that a U.S. assisted attack on Iran will be the end of Trump's presidency and some believe that is preferable to any negotiated peace with Iran. Iran does not have nuclear weapons and it seems that they can defend their country very well with conventional weapons, a reality that many want to dismiss. War with Iran will usher in a global economic crises and may be so devastating to Israel that they will consider using nuclear weapons.
Tariffs, Trump said he was going to use tariff's to bring about balance in trade. The long term result is till out, but it looks like it will be a very painful result one way or another. Would a one by one negotiation have been better, maybe, but this approach has indeed captured everyone's attention. I suspect we will know if this is working in the next 100 days.
The biggest threat to the future of the United States seems to be not the focus of much of the country and that is the debt bomb, ready to explode at any moment. The dollar reserve currency status is ending, with the need for major financial, budgetary restraint by the U.S.. The period of overspending, overbuying and under producing resulting in massive debt is coming to an end. This would be happening, no matter who would be running the country and can no longer be kicked down the road.
The world is awash in crisis, It would be best if the country was united in admitting its failures of foreign policy, fiscal irresponsibility and work to manage the severe changes coming. These changes are coming and will be very painful. Buckle up, and don't make the mistake of partisan politics and believe these problems are the result of Trump. We all better hope that we can get the best result in a difficult no win situation.
No comments:
Post a Comment
comments and opinions published at discretion of editor