U.S. has 11 carriers, only 3 ready for deployment.

 HUGE DEFENSE BUDGET, NEVER QUESTIONED

HALF ARE SUPPOSED TO BE OPERATIONAL

As the U.S. is anticipating going to war with Iran in an operation that is very complicated and now is also of vital interest to all the major nuclear powers, it seems there is no real backup available for the those forces deployed in the region. While the forces deployed are massive, if it become prolonged, those force may be quickly placed in a catastrophic situation. 

It should be noted that in 1991 desert storm conflict the U.S. had 6 carriers deployed in the region. In 2003 it had 5 carriers in the region. Both those conflicts were for a situation in a country that was only 1/4 the size, a flat desert and an enemy with limited air defense, no satellite surveillance and not assisted by Russia and China. Iran understands that its country survival is threatened and is expected to use every available resource in retaliation.

Of the 11 major carriers in the fleet, we have the 2 in the region, we have 1, the George Bush, that has just left maintenance and in not yet considered ready. The JFK which is seaworthy, but not yet commissioned. 1 other, Nimitz being decommissioned and 6 in port for maintenance. Possibly in a desperate situation several could be deployed and arrive in several weeks. All would need to have planes put on board and supplied, no easy task.

Again, one must ask with a defense budget that dwarfs the next 10 countries in the world combined, how is this happening. Still no audit of the defense budget and no one even questioning why it is not happening.

I am no military expert by far, but is this adventure becoming a gamble, a gamble with the lives and resources of our country. Where is the risk assessment? Where is the anticipated casualty count? Is there a backup plan? What is the objective exactly? What is the exit plan?

I suspect it is mostly provided by Israeli intelligence, which claims, Iran is weak, ready to fall at any minute, it's population hates their government and is ready to fall like a house of cards. The same bullshit that applied to Russia.  We see the same players, John Bolton,  psychopath Lindsey Graham, and of course Bibi Netanyahu who has urged 4 previous presidents to go to war with Iran and all of them abstained, even when the country was in much better shape, militarily, and economically and Iran far less prepared.

I do believe Trump is searching for a way out, it may now already be too late, the momentum for war is moving and any hint of Trump not pulling the trigger will likely result in a false flag action by Israel or intelligence to make war impossible to resist. Even if Trump should mange to resist this war, the consequences will still be very serious for him. He is in a position that would take a political Houdini to escape.