Can Trump wiggle out of war with Iran.

 CHOICE BETWEEN APPEARING WEAK AND ECONOMIC CRISIS

WILL IRAN GIVE HIM AN EXIT?

As days go by it appears that Trump is looking for an off ramp concerning the so called imminent attack on Iran. One must wonder why he believed that Iran would cave on the Israeli demands that they give up all nuclear enrichment, even for peaceful electric generation and essentially disarm.

We can expect that he is being told by Mossad and U.S. intelligence that Iran is ready to collapse at any moment and a little shove is all that is needed. At the same time, Israel is claiming that they will not be a part of any attack on Iran, hoping that they will be spared in the expected retaliation by Iran. The same goes for all the gulf countries claiming they will not allow their bases and airspace to participate in any attack. Operatives in U.S. media claim that Iran is weak and has no ability to harm anyone with retaliation. Trump is now in a no win situation, exactly were several different factions want him. 

It seems Iran is ready to engage in a standoff, and there is little room for negotiations to satisfy the demands of the U.S. and Israel. It will either be a back down by Trump or regional war with all the consequences. A win, win, for Trump's domestic enemies. A back down will unleash many forces to remove him from office, both domestic and from Israel.

The other possibility is that Trump may believe he can use this Armada to embargo oil shipped out of Iran, this would further damage Iran's economy and also cause pain for China. It is unlikely such an attempt to blockade Iran will not result in military conflict, not only with Iran but those who buy Iranian oil. It would also cause escalation with economic reprisals from China. We should expect to see a further sell off of U.S. debt by most foreign holders of that debt. 

We have also watched as China inked a trade deal with Canada and the UK and some expect soon with Mexico that will allow Chinese autoes to soon be readily available in North America. These autos will take market share from U.S. auto's.

The attempt to enforce U.S. sanctions and economic threats will inevitably lead to war or an understanding that the world is changing and the U.S. needs to adapt and manage those changes  in a cooperative and peaceful manner.