Trump only has one more war to avoid.

 ONLY VENEZUELA IS STILL IMMINENT

PRESSURE TO PULL TRIGGER WILL BE MASSIVE

The pressure to go to war has been intense for the last 10 months, so far, Trump has avoided getting the U.S. into a major war. While we all witnessed the strike on Iran, many still believe it was a way to end the pressure by declaring victory. At present, the possibility of war with Iran by the United States or even Israel is much less. The ceasefire in Gaza, no matter how meaningless, is still a political reason to avoid war with Iran and Iran is now prepared in such a way that such a conflict could be disaster for Israel.

It is clear, that the United States is disengaging from the Ukraine conflict. While the EU countries still talk of entering the war, they will not, without the support of the U.S.. The latest peace plan, while a step to satisficing many of Russia's conditions, will not be, or can be, supported by Zelensky, as long the the hard right has the power to stop any peace plan. With the government is in disarray due to corruption revelations, Zelensky will most likely need to be replaced for any serious effort to stop this war. While Russia has not offered a position on the plan, they understand that Ukraine will  not accept any plan that gives up territory and saves them from rejecting the plan. Russia wants an end that will result in long term peace and security and that requires a WW2 type of ending.

Then there is Venezuela, this may be, at least for now, a situation that Trump needs an exit opportunity. One can speculate that his advisers have assured him that the threat of military force will pressure Maduro to flee or for the internal opposition to stage a coup. While there is opposition to Maduro, and many claims of voter fraud, it is still a 50/50 situation with the population, much like the United States. An attack will most likely rally support, giving Maduro a plurality and could be a disaster for Trump. Just what Trump's opposition dream of. 

Venezuela has rallied its military and other supporters, possibly enhanced it's air defenses with Russian anti-aircraft equipment and if started, will cost the lives of many on both sides. While ultimately the U.S. would  prevail, it would be a political disaster for Trump and the U.S..

We must all admit, Trump can be very slippery, either subtlety or even outrageously transparent. One can expect he can find a reason to declare victory one way or another, without going to war. It will be interesting to see if he can wiggle out of this without appearing weak or indecisive.