MAYBE LOTS OF POSTRUING, BUT NO ACTION
IS THIS TRUMP'S STRATEGY?
For months, there have been reports of war being imminent, Israel/Iran, long range missiles to Ukraine and now Venezuela. Lots of logistics, lots of assets moving into position, but so far, no action. Is the hope that threats of military action, will cause surrender by Iran, Russia or now Venezuela. If that was the plan it is obviously not working.
In Iran, since the last action in June, Iran has reinforced and strengthened is defenses, its offensive capacity has also been reinforced. Israel is in a far less positive political. economic and military position and the devastation from the last encounter with Iran is now finally being revealed. The window to attack Iran may be closing, is this Triumphs strategy in these conflicts, procrastinate until the possibility of an attack is far more risky.
While we still hear reports from Ukraine and the U.S. media how Russia is losing and Ukraine is winning, it is clear that Ukraine is about to lose its last pivotal defense hub in Pokrovsk and is losing ground everywhere. While Ukraine still makes valiant attempts to resist they are usually resulting in more loses. While EU continues to talk of escalating, it is clear they do not have the political, economic or military to actually enter this conflict. I suspect Trump and Putin have agreed that they will not risk going to war over Ukraine.
The latest imminent conflict is Venezuela, where the U.S. has moved large numbers of assets into the region, indicating that war with Venezuela is in the works. Trash talk, encouraging Maduro to leave while he can and other threats have resulted in Venezuela taking action, including new defensive weapons from Russia and China to prepare. While the air power and naval power is massive, it would require at least 50,000 troops to invade. I do not expect that Trump wants to get mired in a ground war in South America, it would be magnet for all kinds of anti-American factions to get involved. What would an air campaign accomplish, except alienate most of South America from the U.S..
One must wonder if Trump, really is reluctant to get involved in any wars, but is stalling the neocons in Washington, who seem willing to go to war everywhere, Netanyahu who has been desiring destruction of Iran for decades and the same neocons in the EU who would love to rope the U.S. into war with Russia.
If this Trump's strategy, it will soon become clear, then those in favor of war will either escalate the pressure with false flag attacks or direct pressure on Trump. It is a high stakes game that is costing money, but not as much as war.
Wondering about Trump's "Strategy" is giving him way too much credit. He is nothing more than an egotist, who reacts to the last insult or compliment. That's the good news, bad is that he has no adult advisors. The Republicans partisans were hoping for no more "forever wars", now they have forever threats of war.
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