Both Russia and Iran understand the plan.

 NO CEASEFIRE AND NO OPEN STRAIT 

ONLY LONG TERM RESOLUTION ACCEPTABLE 

 

It is clear that it is increasingly difficult for the US to be engaged in 2 simultaneous wars. While many would like to see an end to both wars, there are of course those who want to win both wars. We see Trump offering concessions to Russia, much of it in a hope to bring about a ceasefire. Russia also understands that Ukraine is in a very vulnerable position and he also understands by experience that any ceasefire will be used to enhance Ukraine ability to continue. There will continue to be glad handing and offers to help the US domestic situation and Trump hopes to win over Russia and peel away its support for Iran and China. Putin also understands that the war will continue until a comprehensive settlement is reached that will end the war permanently, not just another pause until next round. 

 

Iran is in a similar situation, all the propositions attempt to encourage Iran to open up the strait for talks, but also understands that economic sanctions and a goal for its destruction is still the plan of both Trump and Netanyahu.  Netanyahu wants Iran reduced to a failed state that it can periodically feel free to mow the grass and dominate with military power. Trump hopes to gain control of all the oil in the gulf and use it as leverage to maintain US supremacy.  

 

While these schemes have worked in the past, it has been replayed too often to be effective.  Peace is possible, but only long term comprehensive deals that ensure peace for the long term future. Ukraine, the EU, and many in the US are still not ready to admit that is possible. 

 

As for Iran, they understand that their existence is at stake and they are willing to fight on, if necessary. The consequences will very badly damage all involved and the global economic system.  

 

I suspect the war with Ukraine will continue until Ukraine cannot physically continue. The Iran war will also continue and may very well change the global power structure permanently. 

 

Both could have been avoided, both could have been settled, but it is just another sad example of the lust for power and what belongs to others.