Democrats do not offer credible alternatives.

 POSSIBLE TEMPORARY WINS ARE NOT SUSTAINABLE

CONSERVATIVE TRENDS WILL NOT BE DERAILED

 

The predictions in this election season are that the Democrats will have substantial comeback from their 2024 losses. While it may be true, it will be caused by a lack of enthusiasm and disarray presently on the more conservative side. It will not be from an actual embracing of the democrats agenda. The trends in politics seem to be a two steps forward 1 step backward kind of pattern and this year may be a step backward, but the trend will not be deterred in the long run. 

 

We saw the 1994 massive move to the Republicans followed by moves back until 2010 with the tea party movement. The pressure against a real conservative movement is present in both parties and new movements are quickly misdirected and corrupted by the deep seated powers in the parties. Often the actual movements are reincorporated into the existing power base and real change is slowed, but it has not been destroyed.

 

While Democrats seem to be now in a position for renewal of power, it is not likely to have much sustenance. Social Democracy is dying not only in the US but in western Europe, not because people don't want more benefits, but because the well is dry the debt too big and just as the reality of the Soviet Union, it will become a relic of the past. The transition as to what will replace the present system is not yet clear, but it is not possible to continue on the present path. 

 

The US faces the same kind of dilemma as the Soviet System faced in 1990, it was a decade of disaster followed by a rebuilding, the same may be true for the US. Real communism is dead everywhere except North Korea and Democratic socialism is dying as well. 

 

While it seems that Trump has been reincorporated by the US war machine and the Israel lobby, his former followers will need to chalk it up to political experience and the acknowledgment of the realty of deep seated forces against change.  Just as we have witnessed the end of the massive deep power in the Soviet Union much of it having to do with the death of the original revolutionaries and the slow transitions in China from communism to some sort of hybrid capitalism the same can happen here. 

 

The transitions are safest if they are slow but steady, as we witnessed the nonviolent transition in Russia and even in China, the reality of the unsustainable path of the present situation, will hopefully  change grounded in our sound constitution and renewal of moral foundations.

 

The Social Democratic movement that prevailed in Western Europe and the US has reached its end because it is unsustainable due to debt, demographics and economic reality. An orderly transition is possible if we are willing to acknowledge that a transition is inevitable.