Blog Archive

Monday, November 30, 2020

Is Iran being baited into war?

MANY HAVE MOTIVE TO DAMAGE IRAN'S NUCLEAR PROGRAM 

ASSASSINATION NOT POSSIBLE WITHOUT INSIDE HELP


With the assassination of Iran's top nuclear scientist, tensions in the middle east are now at a high point. Iran has vowed retaliation, but has not yet found proof of who is responsible. They first condemned Israel, their number one target of all that goes bad. Most of the gulf counties along with Israel have denied responsibility. 

Most everyone in the middle east would like to see Iran's nuclear program ended. Much of this has to do with religious leaders of Iran openly claiming that they will be responsible for initiating an end time apocalypse. Some in Iran believe it is their destiny and nuclear weapons would give them the means.

Many fear that the new Biden administration will be soft on Iran, that they and many in Europe would hope to appease Iran and allow them to successfully build nuclear weapons in the future. The problem often is that people just can not understand that some people, for whatever reason, do not make the same political calculations as modern western leaders. It is not always about more business and more control of others. They don't believe that Iran or anyone else would actually use nuclear weapons. They make the mistake to judge others by their own persona of empty talk. The Iranian leaders are most likely not prevaricating when they call for death to Israel or death to America.

As far as who is responsible for this assassination, it could be anybody or likely a co-conspiracy. One thing for sure it had to have inside assistance to track the whereabouts of this scientist, who likely had strong security. It has likely created some uneasiness of many of Iran's leaders, who are now vulnerable. It is amazing that, so far, no one has been apprehended or identified.

If there is a concerted effort to bait Iran into some retaliation against Israel, Saudi Arabia or U.S. assets, it is likely just the beginning of an escalating plan. The hope is to give the U.S. and Israel an excuse to destroy Iran's nuclear capability before the end of the Trump administration.

If it is just an attack by Iranian dissidents, who also fear the nuclear retaliation that would ensue if Iran would actually use a nuclear weapon, then it may be just a one time event.

Iran had an opportunity with the Iran deal to become part of the world community, but they instead upped their financial and military assistance to Shia terrorists and revolutionaries around the middle east and Africa. They still believe in and want an islamic caliphate ruled from Tehran.

With many of the Muslim countries of the middle east tired of the struggle with Israel and in the process of making peace, Iran may feel this is the time to increase its aggression in an effort to destroy any co-operative alliances with Israel and the other Arab countries. And those in this new alliance may feel this is their opportunity to end Iran's nuclear ambitions, before they are fulfilled by a new American administration. The next few months will likely increase the possibility of a miscalculation on someones part.

No comments:

Post a Comment

comments and opinions published at discretion of editor