EU, NATO desperate, with no plan B.

 NATO TROOPS? MONEY FOR 5 YEARS? NO REAL SOLUTIONS

SALVAGING UKRAINE PROJECT DILEMMA

This week we hear that Romania and Poland may possibly be sending troops to western Ukraine. This adding to France also proposing sending troops is just another sign of the desperation in the EU community. What are these troops going to do? Are they going to prevent Russia from taking land west of the Dnieper or defending Odessa? No one has voiced what the plan is, because there is no plan. 

Yesterday they are proposing a NATO plan to guarantee Ukraine 108 billion Euros over the next 5 years. Again, 5 years, when Ukraine may not last 5 months. At the same time the head of NATO proclaimed that Ukraine will become a member of the EU and NATO. The same proposal that started all this and could have ended in the early months with Ukraine becoming a neutral, non military aligned country.

The troops to Ukraine may all be just a bluff, hoping Russia will now plead for peace and the 108 billion may be just a carrot to keep the Ukraine government from imploding in the near future. Neither proposal will change the outcome of this conflict, but it will most likely insure more deaths and a smaller and less intact Ukraine and a diminished bargaining position in the future.

If NATO wants to go to war with Russia, they will be doing it in eastern Ukraine, east of the Dnieper river. Russia has set up its defensive positions there for a reason. The do have a plan and likely a plan B. 

NATO's plan was to weaken Russia, bleed them from this conflict and possibly create a revolt at home. While Russia may have been weakened, the EU and NATO have been drained of its resources and have damaged their economies. Russia population has been hardened and is recruiting new volunteers daily. They are now stronger than they were 2 years ago.

To go to war with Russia, NATO will need to institute a draft in all their countries, they will need to put their economies on a war footing, dramatically increasing manufacturing of war resources and denying social programs. If that is what they want to do then they should be doing it, but they are just running around with proposals, lots of words and meetings, with no real preparation for war.

Then if they should manage to do all this and then defeat Russia they are looking at the likelihood of nuclear incineration. It is clear, and Russia has been making it clear since 2008, Ukraine will not become a member of NATO, without the defeat and destruction of Russia. Which is very unlikely to happen.

The realistic solution is to end this war and guarantee a neutral nonaligned Ukraine. If negotiated soon, they could possibly retain Kharkiv and Odessa and western Ukraine as a free independent neutral country.  If they continue on this path, the results will be bad or even worse. Sadly there is no good outcome for Ukraine or NATO. They need to be humble and admit their error in this project and move on.