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Tuesday, April 2, 2024

Kharkov evacuates, no electric, aerial bombing.

 RUSSIA MAKES INCREMENTAL ADVANCE EVERYWHERE

MAJOR NEW OFFENSIVE LIKELY SOON



In the last weeks Russia has began focusing on the electric generation plants in eastern Ukraine. While distribution was formerly the focus, by hitting the generation plants it is now obvious that the civilian population will not be able to stay for much longer. No light, refrigeration or heat has already seen over 100,000 leave Kharkov and more will follow if they have the means to exit. It seems that there is little air defense left in these areas and now it is possible to use bombers with conventional bombs, something that Russia may have immense stockpiles.

Many are predicting that as soon as the ground dries up Russia will begin a major offensive on Kharkov, the largest city in eastern Ukraine. 

It is also being reported that Russia is bombing all the airfields and will soon eliminate the already decimated air support.  

It is also reported that Russia has started taking out bridges in the east making it hard for Ukraine to resupply their troops. They have not yet taken out the bridges over the Dnieper river, even though they have that ability. They must either want to allow the Ukrainians to be able to evacuate west or they want to preserve these bridges for their own use in the future.

The reality is that the future for Ukraine now looks dim indeed. They have reportedly lost near 80,000 troops just this year and they are finding resistance to any further conscription. Some are predicting that while the fighting is still often intense a possible collapse of Ukraines ability to hold up may be just a few months away.

While more funds may allow the government to function for more time, it will have little effect on the military ability to resist the Russian offensive. Sadly, the time for a meaningful negotiation is probably past and now it will be a peace dictated by Russia.






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