There will not be a ceasefire in Ukraine.

 CEASEFIRE ONLY AFTER PEACE AGREEMENT

ONLY CAPITULATION WILL END THIS CONFLICT

Much was made about a 2 hour phone call between Putin and Trump, but nothing new has been revealed. Russia's terms for ending this are the same as they were in 2022 before the beginning of the conflict. They are they same as they were in 2022 in negotiations in Turkey. The reality is Ukraine in NATO is considered an existential threat to their security and they are willing to continue until some sort of lasting agreement is concluded.

We still here about 30 day ceasefires and western troops in western Ukraine, just NATO expansion by another name, Russia will not consider either.

Somehow the west still believes that Russia will become tired or exhausted and give up and allow a frozen conflict or some other indecisive end to this conflict. It will not happen. While Russia is willing to talk about possibilities and possible trade agreements in the future, they will not back down from their goals in Ukraine. It seems that Trump believes that a relief of sanctions and the carrot of trade with the U.S. will be an incentive to compromise, it is not going to happen. 

Russia has already made the decision that they are on the road to a permanent divorce from economic and political ties to the west. They are looking to the rest of the world for their future business and cooperation. All they want from the west is a security zone to their west and that is Ukraine.

The nonsense that Russia has eyes on Poland or the Baltic states is just nonsense, Russia needs nothing from the west and attempting to be concerned about Russia occupying anything other than a security zone is just foolish talk.

The EU and NATO still want to expand into Romania and Moldova and are still hoping to defeat Russia, yet we see no conscription or serious preparations, still hoping to rope the U.S. into getting involved in a war with Russia. 

This conflict could end very quickly, if the west and Ukraine come to the conclusion that Ukraine will be a neutral country maybe even a member of the EU, but never a member of NATO and no western troops or bases in Ukraine. Until that happens, Ukraine will continue to become smaller, bit by bit, and only when the west decides to give up on NATO expansion will the dying and destruction end.