Gaza peace? Iran war part 2, imminent. Escalation in Ukraine.

 PEACE, PEACE, WHEN THERE IS NO PEACE

WORLD OPINION HAS FORCED TALK OF PEACE

Yesterday we saw the unveiling of Trumps 21 point peace plan for Gaza. It seems there is some sort of agreement between Netanyahu and Trump, but only time will tell, if any of this will come to reality. One may suspect that world opinion and U.S. public opinion in particular forced at least a public acceptance, with the hope that it will cool off the opposition to Netanyahu's plans. It contradicts much of Netanyahu's speech at the UN. 

At the same time we hear U.S. aircraft refueling tankers are heading to the region an indication that the next strikes of Iran are imminent. U.S. personnel in Iraq are set to be withdrawn by the end of September. It is reported that Iran fully expects and is doing all that it can to prepare for this attack. One wonders if this was the priority that was talked about in Washington.

A war with Iran will most likely be far more intense this time and may have an increased assistance from the U.S.. It is doubtful that any ground operations will be involved other than possible sabotage efforts. Some believe the attack on Venezuela will be coordinated to replace oil supplies lost from the region in case of a closing of the Hormuz straits.  All of this is of course speculation based on the movements of resources, but it is generally assumed that war with Iran is a priority for Israel. This has the possibility to bring in many players in the region particularly in the gulf where there are U.S. bases. 

Then there is talk of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine, if it should  happen it would be the biggest escalation in this conflict. These missiles are strategic  nuclear capable missiles and  these missiles which would be manned by U.S. personnel and U.S. targeting assets, it would be very close to a declaration of war by the U.S. against Russia. Most believe this is another bluff particularly since the sanctions against China and India have died a quiet death. If this should happen the whole situation in Ukraine will become much more violent.

Russia has called this operation a Special military action, it has not declared war on Ukraine. Russian policy is very much guided by descriptions of actions and pre ordained polices.  Contrary to western narrative, this has not been an all out war by Russia, it had one call up of reserves and has grown and maintained its troop strength by voluntary enlistment. It has not placed the Russian economy and assets in a total war footing. It has refrained from attacking government buildings in Kiev or the vital bridges over the Dnieper river. It has been a war of attrition hoping to degrade the Ukrainian military and the ability of NATO keep up the supplies. It has been generally successful. Russia has more devastating conventional assets it has not used,  and of course huge nuclear assets. U.S. strategic missile attacks will undoubtedly cause Putin to give in to the internal forces that have been calling for the decisive end to this conflict by all out total war. If that happens, no one can predict where it will end.

This can only bring to mind the bible verse in Jerimiah, " Peace, Peace, when there is no peace"  talking about the insincerity of those who talk about peace but want war.