NOT WHAT HE SAYS, WHAT HE DOES
IN THE END, A MULTIPOLAR WORLD IS INEVITABLE
It is true,Trump's words are often contradictory and often cloud his intentions or indicate that there is no plan. For a better indication, one must stop looking with a magnifying glass and step back and look at a bigger picture, there are many examples.
The big meeting in Alaska with Putin is often characterized as meaningless and unproductive. While the Ukraine conflict continues, we can assume that decisions where in fact made. One, we stepped back from the edge of WW3 and there is at least some communication with Russia. We witnessed the coming to Washington of the EU and Zelensky and they immediately rejected the framework put forth by Putin and Trump. While we may hear talk of Washington escalation, it is unlikely, and I suspect Trump is going to focus on other priorities rather the Ukraine. The EU and Zelensky will not be ready until collapse is underway. Russia is prepared to continue for years if necessary and neither the EU or Ukraine is in that position.
In the middle east, everyone was outraged when Trump called for Israel to evacuate Gaza and then make Gaza into the Riviera of the region. This is exactly Netanyahu's plan and sadly for the residents, it is sort of giving Netanyahu more rope to meet his end. Israel has been at this for 2 years and there is no end in sight. Trump cannot politically confront Netanyahu, due to his base support by Israel supporters and Christians who hope for an end time conflict. A real tightrope of political maneuvering.
As for Iran, it is clear that Trump let Israel feel the effects of the 12 day war and then declared victory and attempted to move on. While it is all still brewing, how long can Israel keep this up, economically, politically and even militarily?
Then there is the latest fiasco, the implementing of large tariffs on the buyers of Russian oil. This was a plan put forth by Lindsey Graham and the Senate that threatened to put this into law. It forced India to choose Russian trade or U.S. trade and they clearly chose to continue and even increase trade with Russia. I suspect that Graham and the Senate can only end this idea.
This weekend we witnessed the meeting in China, a real lovefest of leaders who are moving into an alternative economic cooperation agreement that is most likely unstoppable. Maybe more will realize that the world has changed and the U.S. and western Europe can no longer force acceptance and a continuation of the current order.
After listening to speeches by even Rubio and also Vance it is clear that they understand that the world has changed and sticks no longer work as well as carrots, the sooner that this reality becomes the consensus, the better off we all will be. We are not there yet, but any objective viewer should be able to conclude that cooperation and respect are needed to adapt to the changing world environment.
Ray, in regard to Russia, you give Trump much more credit for comprehension and planning than I do. As for Israel, only out of respect for democracy is the military still acting upon the government directives.
ReplyDeleteI understand, but we need to admit, the risk of WW3 with Russia has been lessened. I agree about israel, Netanyahu is experiencing lots of push back within the country. So far, Trump has kept the U.S. out of war.
ReplyDeleteSorry, again I disagree. He's only been in office 8 months, and has pushed India into an alliance with Russia and N. Korea. He has bombed Iran. He has thrown Ukraine under the bus, if that is the war you're referring to?
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