WITHOUT U.S., WAR BECOMES UNLIKLEY
TRUMP TRIES REVERSE PSYCOLOGY
Yesterday Trump told Ukraine they can win back all their territory with the help of the EU and NATO. In effect, he told them what they have been saying for years, refusing to admit the futility of further conflict. As for the EU they are willing to go to war, if the U.S. is the major combatant. Lets see if they are ready to mobilize for real war. My guess is they will not, cannot, and now they will have to try another strategy other than sucking the U.S. into war with Russia.
Trump has made it clear he is willing to sell them all the weapons they want, it would be good for the U.S. economy.
The speeches at the UN indicates that the majority of the world is in favor of intervention to end the GAZA crisis, again, the U.S. probably can make that happen, if Trump is willing to confront the Israeli leadership, so far he has not. Most watchers believe Israel has not given up on war with Iran, a war that will depend on U.S. assistance to be successful. Trump has given indications that he is unwilling to go to war with Iran. That may give Israel only one option and it is not good.
It is clear the resistance to Israel's policies in GAZA has solidified. The speeches by the Mideast countries indicate that they are near taking a unified military approach to his issue, without clear backup from the U.S., Israel may come to the conclusion that it time to send a message to the region that they will not be deterred.
One might expect that discussions are underway in Tele Aviv on the possibility of a all out devastating nuclear attack on Iran. They may conclude that no one will do much about it and it will conclude their goal of regime change in the region. The repercussions are not easily calculatable.
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