DOES HE HAVE AN END GOAL?
OR IS IT A DAY TO DAY NAVIGATING MINEFIELDS?
One has to have a certain bewilderment as to what Trump is up to in Gaza, Ukraine, and then there is Iran. The reality and narrative is often contradictory.
In Gaza, which this ceasefire is a result of Israel's attack on Qatar and the implosion of Israel's political support in the U.S. This seemed to give impetus to bringing together enough forces to at least start a process to some semblance of a better place in Gaza. Only time will tell if this is going to be a reality. The amazing part that we have, or will be witnessing, in the coming days is the outrageous attempt to support the image of Netanyahu.
First there was envoy Witcoff, Gerald Kushner and Ivanka in a speech to the relatives of the hostages, touting the efforts of Netanyahu in getting the hostages released. They were were met with boos and other negative remarks from the crowd. It was obvious that their presence there was to support the policies of Netanyahu to the Israeli population. This may have been planned as an effort for the domestic consumption, but today, everything is streamed around the world in minutes. I suspect that in the rest of the world it will not get a positive reaction, not for Netanyahu or the Trump team. Kushner also praised Israel for its taking to the high ground by not responding to Hamas in kind, but by its humanitarian focus.
Then there was the address to the Knesset by Trump, where he touted Netanyahu as the greatest wartime leader in history. Acknowledged Miriam Adelson, who was present, as being instrumental in his policies with Israel, with their constant communication, and that she supported Israel over the United States. He also lobbied for a pardon for Netanyahu, one has to wonder if the whole media operation was orchestrated by Netanyahu himself. Trump knows well that this will be played around the world and also knows that this will be counter productive in raising the image of Israel. Some will say he is just stupid, but it raises doubts about his motives.
Then there is Ukraine, where the huge tariff's demanded by the U.S. senate, on India and China, to discourage purchases of Russian oil, are a disaster and made the situation worse. Now we hear calls for Trump to Ok Tomahawk missiles for Ukraine, after similar calls, for Abrams tanks, Hi-Mars, Atacms missiles and F-16's, all that made no difference in the direction of the war. It seems Trump will go along and promise these, so that he can claim he has done all that he could to save Ukraine.
The suspicion is that Trump attempted a negotiated settlement, rejected by Ukraine and the EU and now is going to give lots of lip service, but is not going to go to war with Russia. If we recall, Trump criticized Russia as a paper tiger and not a real military force, while many believe this, I suspect he was telling Putin to get this over with on an accelerated rate.
While many are pushing for war with Iran, a potential disaster for the worlds fragile economy, I suspect that Trump is going to try to sidestep that in any way that he can, while giving lip service and even appearances of readying for war.
While, of course much of this speculation, there is no definitive plan by Trump, at least not in public, this leads to speculation. What is obvious, don't listen to what he says, but watch what is happening.
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