Back to Iran, High tech vs countermeasures and mass.

 ANY WINNERS OR ONLY LOSERS

WILL TRUMP PULL THE TRIGGER THIS TIME?

We hear about the massive buildup of military assets for an expected attack on Iran, Again, it is only 1 week since the last aborted attack, is this another threat to demand submission or the real thing? It appears this time it is going to be a real conflagration and we will see who is standing, will there be a clear winner or just losers all.

The Israeli and U.S. demand that Iran not engage in any nuclear enrichment, even of electric generation or desalination, this demand was upped after Iran essentially agreed to end all higher enrichment. It is pretty clear that there really is no real effort at any negotiated settlement. The other major demand is that Iran essentially disarms its missile program, in effect, Iran agreeing to disarmament. This is the same tactics used in Libya and after Libya agreed, the country was destroyed and remains a failed state today. This is the hope, and it seems that Iran is not going to agree to these terms, and now it is going to be total military destruction. The remaining question is at what cost to those involved and the world economy.

The whole nuclear weapons narrative by Israel against Iran was as much a fake as the weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. If Iran wanted nuclear weapons they would have had them long ago. Instead, they focused on a conventional weapons defense and that is also not acceptable.

So, it seems we are going to finally see a real life test of the U.S. technological superiority against the electronic counter measures to neutralize their effectiveness, that and a massive amount of missiles flying in all directions. Is it possible for all to not suffer major casualties? Will an attack end with regime change or will it just rally support from the Iranian citizens? Can Israel survive politically and economically? Will Egypt and Turkey and the many other groups in the region decide it is time for a final showdown? 

It seems that the gulf countries did refuse to let the U.S. use their airspace for the planned previous attack. That is why more aircraft carriers are now soon in position to launch this attack. I suspect they will also now be a major target for reprisals. The odds are high that his attack will draw in combatants from all around and lead to a major reginal conflict. Once the blood starts flowing it may not be easy to stop.