Democrats Primary Plot thickens

WILL BLOOMBERG GUARANTEE A SANDERS NOMINATION?

DEMOCRATS STILL NOT UNIFIED ON DIRECTION

The biggest losers after the New Hampshire primary are Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren. By coming in 5th with only 8%, Biden will need to have strong showings in South Carolina and Nevada or he will be done. Same goes for Warren who came in 4th in her home area. Both may be done in the next few weeks. 

The interesting thing is Warren's decline should have been a boom for Sanders who has a similar platform or lane. It appears her loss was not Bernie's gain. It seems her votes went to Klobuchar and Buttigieg. 

Big winner was of course, Amy Klobuchar who now survived to move on. Problem is she does not, at least for now, have the resources to mount a serious campaign in the next 2 states. Maybe she can talk Bloomberg into loaning her some money.

Buttigieg showed he, at least for now, has some staying power. We will see how he will do in the south with large numbers of African-american voters and Nevada with Spanish speaking voters. I doubt he will do well. He does have the resources to keep going.

That leaves Sanders, who was the winner, but a much closer finish than expected. He should have walked away with this primary. His electibility in a national race is still suspect.

The big shadow hanging over this race is Mike Bloomberg. When he gets into the race he will most likely not take votes from the Sanders/Warren wing of the party. There is a possibility that Bloomberg is going to siphon off votes from Buttigieg, Klobuchar and Biden.  

This leaves Sanders alone in the far left base which is the most loyal and motivated. You could see Biden and Klobuchar  dropping out soon after super Tuesday. This would leave Buttigieg, Sanders and Bloomberg. Bloomberg and Buttigieg would split the more moderate votes and insure a Sanders victory. This would at least keep the party intact.

A Bloomberg victory would cause an explosion in the democratic party that would likely lead to split in the party. The Sanders, AOC wing of the party will not support Bloomberg.