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Wednesday, February 19, 2020

Syrian, Russian and Turkish relations heating up.

TURKEY THREATENING TO MAKE MILITARY MOVE IN SYRIA

SYRIAN CONFLICT READY TO REIGNITE


Image result for idlib syria and the safe zone.


Just when things in Syria appeared to be moving to a conclusion. Turkey is threatening to use military force to save their proxies in Syria. If this happens it could begin a confrontation between Syria and Russia against Turkey.

The plans that had been put into place were to allow Turkey to establish a 20 mile wide safe zone in northern Syria. This was to provide a safe place for Syrian refugees without them moving into Turkey and then possibly north into Europe.

The revolution in Syria has mostly been put down except for Idlib province. It has or had a population of about 3 million with an estimated 10,000 to 30,000 collection of anti-Assad military, ISIS remnants, Al-Qaeda and other radical Islamic groups. 

Turkey has supported both militarily and financially the Syrian National army which is made up of near 40 factions. There is also the National liberation front  which is composed of many Al-Qaeda militant groups and other jihadists. 90% of Idlib is controlled by  Hayat-Tahrir-al-Sham a radical Islamic group who wants a strictly Sharia law regime.

The Syrian army with the air power of Russia has been in the process of bringing Idlib Province under the control of Syria. It has been fighting since Dec. 2019. This elimination of the last bastion of resistance has been interrupted several times by protests of Turkey, EU and the United States. Their excuse has always been the threat of civilian casualties, but the fact is these groups have been supported by Turkey and the United States in their quest to overthrow the government of Syria.

It seems their solution is to let Idlib province be a haven for all assorted jihadists as long as they are opposing Assad. Possibly, they view these groups as possible assets in some other proxy enterprise in the middle east. The United states was willing to go into Idlib to take out the leader of ISIS but is unwilling to support the elimination of the others. The United States has supported some of these groups during the Obama administration. 

The plan that has been proposed by Russia, Syria and other countries in the region is to end the war in Syria, guarantee the borders of Syria and have all foreign forces leave Syria, that includes Turkey, Iran and the U.S

It is then proposed that Syria will adopt a new constitution and move to a more democratic government. This is all part of the ongoing talks initiated in a conference originally held in Astana, Kazakhstan and supported by the majority of nations in the region.

It seems that Turkey, who is being supported by the United States is unwilling to give up on the overthrow of the Assad regime. It is no secret that many in the U.S. State department also are unwilling to accept peace in Syria without the removal of Assad.

It appears this conflict is about to come to a conclusion or escalate in the near future.








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