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Tuesday, August 25, 2020

Latest Covid-19 statistics, U.S. vs Europe.

DEVELOPED WORLD HAS SIMILAR CASUALTIES

NO MAGIC FORMULA DISCOVERED YET



As of today it seems the virus death toll has mostly subsided in western Europe, leveled off in the USA and is still rising in South and Central America.

The United States reports 181,117 deaths, 547 deaths per million, with a population of 331,million.

The developed counties of Western Europe report a total of 155,606, with combined population of 335 million.

Spain has   617 deaths per million
UK             610
Italy           586
France        468
Germany    111
Belgium     862
The average death rate for these 6 countries is 542 per million.


The United States has conducted the most tests at 76 million with a rate of 232,078 per million.
Russia 238,448 test per million
UK tested 223,394 per million.

Much of the statistics from less developed countries is likely not as accurate. 

Again, in the western world, this virus started in Italy and Spain, moved to the rest of western Europe. It seems the worst increases run a 60 day cycle. 
It then increased in Northeastern United States, then subsided and moved to the southeast and then toward western USA. It now seems to be leveling off and subsiding in most areas. Again it seems that it reaches a critical point, then increases rapidly for around 60 days and then levels off and declines.

Whether there is really any proven way of eliminating the effects of this virus is questionable, although Germany seems to have had the best results.

Sweden which never engaged in shutdown has had a death rate of 575 per million.

Brazil which also did not shutdown has a death rate of 543 per million, although they are still reporting large numbers of cases

So it seems that this virus has a death rate for most areas around 550 deaths per million, no matter what steps are taken. A study of Germany's response may reveal the best way of responding. A lot may have to do with a small country with a compliant population which likely had the whole population affected simultaneously, rather in spreading incrementally over a large geographical area.

It also may be that it levels off after affecting the most vulnerable populations. It is likely this will be studied for years. Hopefully it will become an objective analysis after it is no longer a political issue.

Statistics from WORLDOMETER


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