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Blog Archive
Monday, February 28, 2022
Ukraine conflict escalates.
Friday, February 25, 2022
Gas and Oil flow increased out of Russia.
MUCH TALK ABOUT SANCTIONS, BUT OIL AND GAS FLOW UNINTERRUPTED
GAS STILL TRAVELLING ACROSS UKRAINE PIPELINES
Thursday, February 24, 2022
Partition of Ukraine underway.
PIVOTAL TIME FOR WEST TO RETHINK POLICY
NO ONE WILL ESCAPE LASTING REPERCUSSIONS
Tuesday, February 22, 2022
Yesterday's events set in motion decades ago.
FAILURE TO ACKNOWLEDGE FOREIGN POLICY MISTAKE BY SEVERAL ADMINISTRATIONS
WHO ARE THE REAL ARCHITECTS OF OUR FOREIGN POLICY?
Below is excerpt from an article Sept. 21. 2017
As the Soviet Union was being replaced by independence of the former Warsaw Pact countries and Russia, many negotiations were being engaged in to create a stable transition. The Russian Federation and NATO agreed that the unified Germany could be a member of NATO, but that all of the former Warsaw Pact countries would be independent entities. These agreements have been verified by former west German diplomats and former negotiators for the United States.
Russia still had a memory of the fact that their survival was secured in the wars with Napoleon, WW1 and WW2 by the large distances from their possible enemies. Their large terrain was similar to our security of the Atlantic and Pacific ocean. This agreement was broken on July 8, 1997 when NATO agreed to the inclusion of Hungary, the Czech Republic and Poland into NATO. This was accomplished in 1999. In 2004 Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Slovenia, Slovakia, Bulgaria, and Romania were also included. According to George F. Kennan, an American diplomat and an advocate of the containment policy, stated that this decision "may be expected to have an adverse effect on the development of Russian democracy, to restore the atmosphere of the cold war to East-West relations, to impel Russian foreign policy in directions decidedly not to our liking. This decision was criticized by many military, political and academic leaders as a " policy error of historic proportions." It seemed to be more than a policy error, but an intentional attempt to abort the democratization of Russia. This could be compared to Stalin's refusal to abide by his commitments at the end of WW2.
Monday, February 21, 2022
Is Ukraine about to be partitioned?
RUSSIAN TROOPS GATHER ON UKRAINE'S EASTERN BORDER
ZELINSKY HAS VOWED TO LIBERATE CRIMEA AND SEVASTOPOL
It was followed by the Russian federation moving armor and troops to Crimea and the eastern border of Ukraine. There is little doubt that Russia will not allow Crimea or the city and port of Sevastopol to be reunited with Ukraine.
Tuesday, February 15, 2022
Are rolling protests the model for the future?
CAN ROLLING PROTESTS BE EFFECTIVE WITHOUT MUCH RISK
AS GOVERNMENTS GET MORE AUTHORITARIAN, PROTESTERS MUST BE CREATIVE
Monday, February 14, 2022
Roots of Russia, U.S. distrust 7
U.S., RUSSIA RELATIONS POST WW2 PART 7
COLD WAR INTENSIFIES
The Ukrainian, Crimean, Russian conflict is a complicated situation. It seems the West is determined to push Russia farther away from the community of nations. The fact that the U.S. and the West has intervened to control the events in Ukraine's politics and pushed to allow Ukraine into NATO are issues that will not be resolved easily. Russia has now upped the anti by supporting opposition groups in the EU and attempted to disrupt the U.S. election. If Russia would attempt to have bases in Mexico or Canada or Cuba it would be a international crisis. The attempt to encircle and move NATO membership closer and closer to the borders of Russia have most likely come to their limit, unless the West is ready to go to war. It seems the goal may be to encourage regime change in Russia. This is not likely to happen as Putin has a high approval rating in his country and the Russian people understand the situation.
Both Russia and the Ukraine have much to lose in this crisis. There is much interdependence and history between the two countries. It is possible with a new look and a willingness of all parties to co-operate to come to a satisfactory agreement. It is possible that the anti will now be raised much higher, to get the attention of the West and the Ukraine to be more willing for a re-evaluation of their policy of Russian containment. The West, rather than attempting to punish Putin and Russia, should assist in negotiating a reasonable solution.
While, of course this is a brief summary of the history of U.S. relations with the Soviet Union and the Russian Federation. There is much I could not cover in this brief summary. There are more details found in Wikipedia, U.S. state department. and many article by the Kissinger group and others. While some may disagree as to who is at fault for this situation, it cannot be denied that there is a serious crisis at hand. This summary may be useful in understanding this relationship as it will most likely be in the news in the coming months.
originally published 2/8/17 part 7 of 7