Blog Archive

Tuesday, November 29, 2022

Democratic socialism is an unsustainable experiment.

 

THE COMING COLLAPSE OF DEMOCRATIC SOCIALISM

THE QUESTION IS NOT IF, BUT WHEN? 

 


The Biden administration has just proposed a 2022 budget of over $6 trillion, with current revenues of around $4 trillion that leaves a massive deficit. This is supposed to be filled with tax increases on the wealthy. If anyone believes that the federal government will be able to harvest $2 trillion from the so called wealthy, well think about it, taxes will need to be increased by 50% on taxpayers in general. If you only target the wealthy you will need a 100% tax increase. Does anyone really believe that the wealthy got wealthy by being stupid. We can expect massive shifting of assets, income and other lawful activity to avoid any such taxes. If that becomes impossible, we could even see many decide to opt out and take extended vacations overseas. Think about who will be holding the bag to pay for all the promised benefits. 

Of course the problem is that there has been an accumulation of extraordinary debt by all governments, corporations, and individuals. There is not a precedent for this situation in human history. While the housing bubble was the symptom that was burst, when gas rose to $4.00 a gallon, in the US the massive debts held by everyone was the real problem. After covid, the savings rate among the more well situated has actually reached an all time high. We can bet bureacrats see this largress as an opportnity to be pounced on as soon as possible. 

A far bigger problem is the debt of governments, particularly in Western Europe and the US.
These debts are a direct result of massive spending and the whole idea of democratic socialism where votes were bought by promising unsustainable benefits...to individuals, spending on projects, surveys, studies, ad nauseum... to the well connected. When fulfilling these promises could not be sustained by raising taxes they just borrowed the money to be consumed. The spending on projects, etc. is more easily addressed by just saying "NO"...BUT the spending on benefits is much more difficult to address. The real culprit in all this is that socialism has been a dismal failure whenever it has been tried. I should qualify that by distinguishing between voluntary and involuntary socialism.

Voluntary socialism is self limiting. An example is fire insurance. If the incidence of loss becomes
excessive, premiums go up and some people may refuse to buy insurance. If losses become excessive insurance companies may refuse to enter that market. There are natural limits for both parties.

The first instance of collectivist failure was recorded in the New Testament. The early Christians, thinking that the end was near, sold there possessions, dined together and shared with each other. It was not long till Paul, hearing complaints from the responsible members of the community, wrote to them saying, “He who does not work shall not eat.” Human nature and the voluntary basis of this experiment was a natural remedy.

Another example was the Puritans who landed in Plymouth in 1620. They formed the, "Mayflower Compact," an agreement to share all property and work in common. After 3 years of this experiment, they were barely able to survive. The Puritan's endeavor had been financed by investors in Europe who hoped they would reap a profit by the Puritans repaying their debts with furs and other goods. After 3 years of no return, investors refused to send any more support and the idea was scrapped. The Puritans then distributed land to each family and they were on their own - the result was the beginning of prosperity for all.  It was chronicled by William Bradford that while the number of people who were either too weak or incapable of work grew, and the young and motivated were increasingly unhappy with the communal arrangement, many who formally were unable to add much to the community instantly became more productive when they were able to keep the fruits of their labor.

Remember the 1960’s communes, where a few self motivated people bought a ranch and lived off the land? It was not long until they were supporting a larger and larger number of new disciples, who agreed it was wonderful, except for the motivation part. Again it ended in a natural turn of events and human nature.

Now to involuntary socialism. Of course the greatest example has to be the Union of Soviet Socialist
Republics. This experiment was immediate total government control that in the end was a dramatic failure. It may take Russia several generations to recover from the debacle. While touted by Socialists as the wonderful system of the future, (including Eleanor Roosevelt who visited the country many times in the 1930s when the worst atrocities were being committed), Solzhenitsyn and others saw and reported the true nature of the experiment. It's interesting to note that from the revolution in the USSR in 1917 to its collapse in 1989 was 72 years. If we take 1935 as the "embrace of socialism" in western Europe and the US, we end up at 2007. Does it take roughly this long for the failures of socialism to become unsustainable? While we have not had total control by the governments of western Europe or the US, we have been progressing in that direction for decades...hence the term progressivism. It has been a slow incremental movement that has taken control of most industries through regulation and has encouraged dependency by promising a safety net to those displaced by their policies. The part of the private sector that has not been effectively controlled by the government is the food and energy sector. They are in the process of taking over the energy sector and when they can control food they will have complete control of the economy and the people. Remember the winners of socialist economies are the ruling class who often live well off on what they skim off of the redistribution schemes. Even in the Soviet Union they lived well in their dachaus and had access to  travel and benefits that could only be dreamed of by the rest of the population.

While it all appears wonderful in theory, Unchangeable Human Nature has not been taken into account. Humans will help each other to some extent, but most will not jeopardize their or their families well-being for others. On a voluntary basis, many are willing to help those in need, in danger, etc. but as soon as it becomes involuntary, there will be resistance. This is just the nature of human survival instincts. While it may not measure up to the expectations of the idealogues of socialism, it is probably superior to all other organisms on earth. The Soviet experiment ended when there were no longer any incentives left. The Russians who have weathered some form of dictatorship for their whole existence were noted to remark to each other, "We pretend to work, and they pretend to pay us." In the end the only prospering part of the economy was the black market and flea markets.

So what has happened in every case of involuntary socialism?  Those who believe they are taxed too
much will resist by finding ways to pay less; those who believe they are restricted in some way will find ways around the restrictions. Too much tax will usually create less revenue, etc. At first this is accepted or minimally enforced, but as the deficits grow, enforcement must increase and we see a cycle of increased enforcement, then less activity, then less revenue and if left to follow a linear path to forced labor and slavery.

In the U.S. there was once a work ethic and pride of self reliance - many would not accept charity, but after decades of increasing regulation and taxation it seems all restraint has fallen off and everyone will take and pursue more benefits, even if liquidating assets and claiming poverty is necessary. The dam has broken. The tipping point has been reached. It will not likely be restored by government action, or by acts of Congress; the same applies to Western Europe.

So what is the solution? At this point there is no easy solution. All solutions will require much pain and suffering. It may be limited by economic suffering and the necessary austerity to liquidate the debt and begin a new start with liberty and self reliance the foundation...OR...it may be that more enforcement will be needed until we return to feudal type society where basic necessities will be provided to the productive and compliant and those that do not conform will be eliminated from society by the powers that be.

This is the question that will be answered when the coming collapse reaches its fulfillment.


originally published 6/8/21





Friday, November 25, 2022

Fear, major tool of politics. Who should you fear?

 FEAR AND GREED TWO MOST EFFECTIVE EMOTIONS USED BY POLITICIANS

WHO IS TO BE FEARED?


Fear and greed are the two most used emotions by political operatives ever since some humans have been ruling over other humans. While greed is continually used, either by promising some kind of financial benefit if you will elect them, special treatment of your way of making a living or some other angle, it seems fear is moving to be the top emotion in today's political world.

We see it escalating in the last 12 years particularly, first with the use of incidents involving black males and violence by police or white subjects, all in an attempt to motive black voters, that their life is continually in danger from white racism.  The Trayvon Martin incident was the first, followed by the Michael Brown, incidents, both piled on by the complicit media to edit 911 tapes, flood the air waves with false narratives, all part of a coordinated effort to sow race division for political purposes. The results were riots, destruction of property and a successful political campaign. Even though after due deliberation, both accused were exonerated, the damage and the political success was noted.

Then the scourge of White Supremacy, a vague sort of term, with little real organized or real threat in the problems in the country. It was made to look that there were conspiracy's all over the country to threaten Blacks, Jews and any other groups that could be used as a target. Words like "lynching" and "putting blacks back in chains" by Joe Biden were really way out of line with the realities of American life. The damage to race relations by these opportunist politicians may never be repaired in our lifetimes, and they will be happy to continue with the race baiting, as long as it effective.

The newest use of fear is now "Christian Nationalist", again I know of no such organization, but it is being used against anyone who opposes their political agenda, and these people, whoever they are, are now a threat to the country, the democrats and to democracy. This is the first time in this country that Christians have been targeted as threats to the country. So, if you have religious beliefs and are a believer in the sovereignty of this country as an independent country you are now a threat to other citizens of the country and democracy, as they define it. While these tactics are new to the United States, they have been repeatedly used by other authoritarian governments for centuries.

We will not go back any further than the 20th century to note that most SOCIALIST governments have been the perpetrators of the worst atrocities in their demonizing and dividing the electorate, even when they had no elections and were in effect dictatorships. 

The National SOCIALISTS, of the 1930's and 40's Germany, used the fear of Jews to divert attention and subjugate the country and engage in actual genocide, against not only Jews, by any group that was considered a threat to the state and their political power..The use of propaganda, censorship of opinions and national police that threatened, killed and imprisoned their political opponents.

Then of course, there was the ultimate experiment in Totalitarian SOCIALISM, in the former Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. They did not use race so much as political enemies, but ideology, anyone who even thought or spoke in private against the socialist state was considered a "Reactionary"and could be taken away to a work camp or just plain disappear. Socialism is always an ideology that needs to to protected from those that do not agree. The ideology is to be forced on everyone, from kindergarten to college and in the work place, those that resist are to be destroyed by any means possible and often cheered on by their neighbors as, "must have done something."

In the former Soviet Union, the Kulaks, were the small independent farmers, the state decided they wanted collective farmers and not private independent farmers. The Kulaks resisted and hid some of their produce for themselves and their community, the Socialist state then raided the farms of everything and the Kulaks mostly starved to death. I suspected other rejoiced in the death of these reactionaries.

So the point is, we as Americans do not need to fear our neighbors, whether they are White, Black Asian or whatever, nor do we need to fear free speech from those that disagree with government policy, no matter if it is about foreign relations, COVID or any social or economic policy. WE NEED TO FEAR, AUTHORITARIAN GOVERNMENT, that wants to control everything, including your thoughts and stop at nothing to silence anyone who they consider a threat to their power.

Historically, government and particularly socialist governments have been the greatest threat to individuals and groups in world history, from the Soviet Union, to Cambodia and NAZI Germany, only the government has the power to confiscate all that you own, take your freedom and your life. Beware, once the population allows them this unlimited power they will eliminate anyone who attempt to limit that power.



Tuesday, November 22, 2022

The extortion and money laundering just keeps happening.

 

BANK OF AMERICA FORCED TO FINANCE LIBERAL ACTIVIST GROUPS

EXTORTION USED TO BE ILLEGAL



This story begins in 1977 with the passage of the Community Reinvestment Act. This law was passed in an effort to make home ownership more easily accessible to low income citizens. The original law encouraged banks to lower lending standards so that more minority and low income people could qualify for mortgages.  Initially there was resistance by the banks, but as time went by the foreclosure rate was low and banks became accustomed to lowering standards in some neighborhoods. The real estate market at the time was stable with just normal growth in market values, but as time went on more pressure was exerted on banks to lower down payment requirements and to overlook poor credit ratings. The lowering of standards was encouraged by both the Clinton and Bush administrations. In 2000 HUD Secretary Andrew Cuomo promised to buy 2 trillion dollars worth of affordable mortgages through Fannie Mae and Freddie Mack. This led to competition between all lenders to lower standards till eventually there were no down payments required. It also lowered standards on all mortgages as real estate values were increasing and those that got in trouble could usually unload the properties with minimal losses. This led to the packaging of mortgages into collateralized mortgage obligations. These mortgage-backed securities were then traded and purchased by many pension funds and other entities who wanted to participate in the housing boom. When mortgages could be had for less interest than banks were paying on CD's, it became obvious to some that there was a growing problem. I also remember Alan Greenspan stating that all was well and he saw no problems on the horizon.  He stated he was shocked when all went bust, but keep in mind that he resigned in 2006 just before the market collapsed.

As home prices skyrocketed, and everyone was convinced that the best investment was real estate, many knew that the end was near. The hysteria over the real estate market came to an end when gas prices rose to $4.00 a gallon and crimped the already tight budgets of many over-mortgaged home owners. It started with the sub-prime mortgages and soon spread to many other mortgages. Investments in mortgage-backed securities plunged in value and the collapse of investment companies began.

 After Lehman Brothers went bankrupt, Countrywide and Merrill Lynch were the next in line to fail. Henry Paulson, Treasury Secretary, and Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke, pressured Bank of America to buy Countrywide and Merrill Lynch to stop the implosion. The executives at Bank of America looked at the financials and considered backing out of the deal. The Feds then pressured them so they could not back out and assured them they needed to do this to save the financial system; furthermore, the Fed guaranteed they would help Bank of America with this deal. Bank of America lost an estimated $40 billion on the Countrywide deal alone. But that was just the beginning of their problems. When Barack Obama was elected, he did not feel he owed anyone for deals made by the former administration. His Attorney General, Eric Holder, then indicted Bank of America for fraud in the investments of Countrywide. They threatened criminal charges against the executives if they would not agree to a settlement. Bank of America executives agreed to pay 16.6 billion in August 2014.

It has now been reported by several newspapers that part of this settlement was a side deal arranged by Holder that would allow the bank to make contributions to non profit organizations specified by the administration rather than pay the settlement to the Treasury Department as required by law. The deal would allow Bank of America to take a $2 credit for every $1 they contributed to the list of several hundred qualifying organizations. This required Bank of America to contribute a minimum of $50 million to community development organizations, $20 million to affordable housing groups, and $30 million to legal aid groups. This was the minimum; there is no limit to the amount they can give.  The administration claims this is all legal because they allowed Bank of America to choose who on the list that they contributed to. This arrangement is similar to the deals that have been given to CitiGroup and probably other banks.

Now some may say that the banks deserve this ill treatment and these non-profit groups are all good causes. In reality, this is an example of government corruption at its worst. This is the type of behavior seen in third world countries and dictatorships. You have coercion and the threat of government legal and/or criminal suits if you do not lower standards, then when it all goes bust you use coercion to buy the worst companies, and then extortion to take money and give it to the administration's political supporters. This is in effect exactly what has been done. Congress is supposedly investigating this, and those who have asked to see what groups have received these funds have been told it is confidential. These are the acts of lawless politicians who now believe they can do whatever they want and it seems they may be right.

This article was originally published 1/26/16

The above article was written during the Obama administration, the money was all funneled to non-profits that then could funnel the money to Democrat political organizations, since then, we have seen the money laundering done through Hunter Biden through Ukraine and now a connection to the collapsed Crypto exchange that funneled more money to Democrats from Ukraine. 

Of course, there was the Clinton foundation, that also received money from foreign countries often after receiving aid and grants from the U.S., this money was also after a few layers to be used for political purposes. It is classic money laundering and extortion that it seems is now more blatant than ever, no wonder, no one has ever been held accountable.

I suspect that we are only looking at the tip of enormous corruption in Washington that if left unchecked and without accountability will destroy this nation. 

Many of these deals had the approval and knowledge of our intelligence officials, they know what is going on, and obviously are making no effort to stop these transactions.


Monday, November 21, 2022

Twitter, and Musk's vision for the future.

 BANKRUPTCY, AND PREDICTED COLLAPSE OF TWITTER IS PREMATURE

IF ANYTHING, DON'T DOUBT MUSK'S ABILITY


Last week saw an exodus of many workers from twitter. Musk had made the announcement that they should prepare to work long hours or leave and many left. They believe that company will not survive without them. I expect that Musk is using several different means of eliminating the dead wood and the over-partisan workers at Twitter. First the out right firing of the top executives, the departure of some technicians just on the word that Musk bought the company. The process is just the first step into making the company into just a small part of Musk's vision of his media companies of the future.

Whether you like or dislike Musk, no one can deny he has a unique ability and vision in his enterprises. This coupled with he ability to hire people who can put that vision into reality. I doubt that Musk really knows the in and outs of social media, but we can expect after some time he will know what and how to use it to accomplish his goals.

One must take note, that his electric car company is the most successful and best of the lot. He has competed against GM, Ford and the foreign makers and excelled. His Space-x rockets are without a doubt a step into the future and continually maker advances. While some of his hopes seem to be on the front edge of science fiction he has been able to show many of his doubters what is possible.

Then there is STAR-Link satellite company that is without a doubt the future of internet access. By using Space-X he is able to put satellites up in  amazing time. He will indeed be able to provide internet access to every corner of the globe in the near future.

I expect that Twitter is just a means to enter into this social media network. It will allow him to find the best and brightest engineers and technicians to be used in implementing his broader vision of a technology, social media and entertainment company that will be a challenge to much of the existing cable media, telephone, internet, electronic payment and whatever the future can be using the infrastructure that he his building. 

It is now appearing his success has aroused the notice of the government, who may fear that Musk is a threat to their control of all these platforms. It would be a shame for the government 's fear of Musk's vision to attempt to squash someone who compares to the some of the greatest innovators in history.

Friday, November 18, 2022

Russia, oops, Ukraine strikes Poland

 SADLY, DESPERATION RESULTS IN ULTIMATE POWER PLAY

MANY BELIEVE NATO/RUSSIAN WAR WILL BE BIG STORY




The big story of the week was that Russia had struck Poland with a missile attack. The Media quickly ran with the story with the usual "Breaking News" report that Russia had struck Poland with a missile and killed Polish citizens. While it was true that Poland was struck by a missile and yes, Polish farmers were killed, it was made clear within an hour on the internet that the missile was S300 air defense missile. Even the U.S. quickly dismissed the idea that Russia had attacked Poland, but the story continued until finally saner heads prevailed and then claimed that the missile was intended to stop incoming Russian missiles but went astray.

Zelensky continued to claim it was a Russian missile for a few more days, until finally walking it back, probably due to a reprimand from his benefactor the U.S. 

Several things to consider about this missile. The S300 missile has around a 100 mile range. Poland to Russia is 714 miles. Then of course the missiles incoming into Ukraine are traveling from east to west. Air-defense missiles would be traveling west to east to intercept incoming missiles. It is very unlikely that any air-defense missile could go astray and travel in the opposite direction.

It seems that the U.S. is capable of tracking any missiles that are flying over, into and from Ukraine. It is very likely that Ukraine intentionally fired this missile into Poland to bring about an article 5 NATO response and possibly WW3.

No matter what, this was a very dangerous move, Poland is not happy, U.S. is not happy and Russia is going to use this as a political weapon against Zelensky. It is likely Ukraine believed that this missile would land in some empty farm field, but sadly some very unlucky farmers were in that field at the time. Many are now worried about the possibility of other such attempts in the future.

It is beginning to appear that all the NATO readiness is meant to intimidate Russia into backing down in this conflict. It may also be now clear that actual NATO entering this conflict is not as imminent as some may have thought, including Ukraine. While victory has been predicted by the WEST for near 10 months, it is becoming clear that will not be the case.

General Miley remarked this week, I am sure with White House approval, that Ukraine will not be able to recapture their lost territory. This message may just be the first that the U.S. and other NATO members are nearing the limit of their ability to change the direction of this conflict without considerable risk to themselves.

This will be a very serious political risk for Zelensky, because he has gone all in, at the direction of the Biden administration in his unwillingness to negotiate both before and after the start of this conflict. 

Any compromise will also have political risk for the U.S.,who has led the handling of this crisis and has insisted that Russia must be defeated. While the cost to the U.S. is immense and growing larger, it is mostly money and weapons, which can be replaced. The rest of NATO is most likely becoming increasingly skeptical about the direction of this conflict, their risk is now becoming critical as winter approaches.


Thursday, November 17, 2022

Now we can understand why Democrats had no fear of overreach.

 FUNDAMENTAL TRANSFORMATION IS NOW IN REACH

JUST NEED TO SQUASH REACTIONARIES


It should now be clear, why the Democrat leadership had little fear of implementing an overreaching agenda. I recall many old type Democrats voicing their opinion that they viewed the policies of the Biden administration a giant overreach and predicted heavy losses in the mid-terms. Of course, we now see that it did not happen. 

Were the more traditional Democrats wrong? Were all the polls in late October wrong? Were the exit polls even wrong? Well, that is the politically correct way that you are to view this election, because of course, the woke democrats would never commit fraud in an election. They are of course, of too high a moral caliber to stoop that low. 

The cause of the election losses for Republicans is that their candidates were of poor qualifications  compared to the democrat candidates. Their candidates were too radical in desiring to preserve America as they know it and most of all the Republican just don't support abortion on demand. The fact is, that to win any elections in the future, Republicans must adopt democrat policies.

This trend in elections has been underway for a long time. California was the trial campaign to make the country a one party country, it is now in fact in place in most so called swing states, including Pennsylvania. The effort to change elections was a dedicated effort from Obama and Holder to make elections fungible in the future. They started with redistricting, then moved to early voting and finally mail in voting. They have now made enough changes that their dream of a one party country is almost complete and likely irreversible.

If you can control the governorship's and keep mail in voting there will never be a move for honest elections. Pennsylvania is good example, I predict that a Republican will never win a state wide election in Pennsylvania again. That will also go for Arizona and any state were the urban centers are under Democrat control. They can and will manufacture enough votes to win any election, no matter the candidate. In fact, Fetterman was more of a statement that they proved to the doubters that they have this.

Florida is the opposite example, of course DeSantis has done a great job in Florida, but the real difference is that they have an honest election system in Florida and had their votes counted in hours, not weeks.

When Obama made the statement on his inauguration day that the "Fundamental Transformation has Begun" he was not prophetic, he just knew what they had planned. It was the division, the chaos and the rigging of elections for the future. They have now taken that control, and all that is left is to make examples of and squash the reactionaries who will not submit.

So what is the hope, if that is the case. No need to hope, the policies that this country is implementing, will bring down the whole experiment in limited government. There really are  real laws of economics and social make-up that are just as real as gravity. They can all be broken for a time, but eventually gravity will prevail. All we can do is teach are children and grandchildren the truth about what they are witnessing. 


Wednesday, November 16, 2022

Zelensky's victory celebration premature.

 RUSSIA WILL NOT GIVE UP THE ANNEXED TERRITORY

DNEIPER RIVER TO BE UKRAINE'S EASTERN BORDER


As reported earlier Russia's withdrawal from Kherson city to the eastern bank of the Dneiper river was just a strategic move to a more defensible position. Beginning this week, the Russian's advanced and captured several cities north of Kherson, It could be expected that they will continue to move west to the natural boundary of the Dneiper river. They will not give up the annexed territory unless they lose WW3. 

In the meantime, they will likely contuse to degrade the infrastructure of Ukraine until it it is willing to consider serious negotiations. It is looking like it will be a cold dark winter in Ukraine and possibly Western Europe. 

One has to wonder, does Zelensky believe that the end of the war is at hand? Is someone assuring him that they are going to win? Does he believe NATO is going to step in and save the day? Does the U.S. still believe that they can wear out the Russians in this proxy war with Ukraine? Or is becoming clear that others will be worn out before Russia.

The economic warfare that has been going on for years is failing. Russia is doing quite well with its new markets to its south. Much better that Europe without access to Russian energy. Its new markets are prospering due to a strong access to affordable energy.

There are some in the U.S. itching to go to war with Russia. They believe they can prevail as they did in Syria, Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya. Is it a fools dream and a threat to the world that is all unnecessary?
Russia considers NATO expansion an existential threat to its national security. It is willing to go all out to make sure that this expansion goes no further. 

Ukraine could have been the most prosperous country in Europe, neutral, non-aligned, able to trade with the EU, Russia and the world. Instead our genius foreign policy experts in Washington envision a world dominated by themselves and their cronies. They believe they can rule the world. A dream that has brought down every nation that have gone down that path. It did not have to happen.

Trump, Make America great again, again

 TRUMP ANNOUNCES RUN FOR PRESIDENCY

OTHER POSSIBLE CANDIDATES WILL WATCH WHAT HAPPENS 



While many are claiming, just as they did in 2016, that Trump has no chance of ever winning the White House again, it remains to be seen. Trump has been planning this for some time, and did the good party routine of waiting for the mid-terms to be over. He has taken the step to get ahead of all those who are considering a run. All the other possibilities will now sit back and watch, they have lots of time to decide if they want to take Trump on. They all realize that Trump still has strong support from the party's base.

While the establishment republicans, Bush/Cheny types would like to foment a war between Trump and DeSantis, both are a little bit wise to this gambit. They would love to watch both DeSantis and Trump destroy themselves so they could step in to save the day. It will not happen.

DeSantis is now 44 years old, has never voiced his desire to run for President this time. He has lots of time. It is rumored that Trump and DeSantis are on good terms and both enjoy the drama to some extent. If Trump looks viable after the nomination, DeSantis would be number 1 for Vice-President.

DeSantis has just won a large victory for his second term for governor, his reputation is strong, he is without a doubt a presidential contender in the future. A run in just a few months would earn the label of an opportunist who has used his being governor as a stepping stone to the presidency, while this may be true, why let it be used as weapon against him. On the other hand, an offer to be Vice-President, especially in almost 2 years, would allow him to be doing the patriotic thing.   

At present, there are not any other viable candidates to win the republican nomination and they know it.

At present it is doubtful that any Republican can win the presidency in 2024 with the current election chaos. John Fetterman would more likely have a better chance. So why not let Trump, who all have admit has the hard baked personalty, to possibly clear the path for a Republican candidate in the future.

A presidential campaign with Trump out there will be an all out assault on the opposition, possibly bring about the exposure of the Democrats money-laundering operations in Ukraine and in other countries who we give money. What do we have to lose, if Trump wants to go out there and stir things up, beat the bushes so to speak, who knows what trash will fall out of the weeds.






Monday, November 14, 2022

U.S. county election map show red/blue division.

 COUNTRY IS DIVIDED RURAL VS URBAN

URBAN POPULATIONS EMBRACE MORE GOVERNMENT



This map of the 2022 election results shows clearly the difference between urban populations and rural voters. Not surprising people who tend to live away from city centers do so by choice. Urban centers often have the political power to control the legislature in many states and attempt to force their view of the world on those who choose a more private life.  

To some extent that has always been true, that is why we have an electoral college, so that urban states could not force their view on the more agricultural or rural population. It seems it is becoming more of an issue since the politics are not just a little different, but more and more seem to have a diametrically opposite view of how things should be.

The difference has recently been exaggerated by the COVID shut down which damaged small business, while labeling corporate business essential. It is no secret that many on the left openly suggested that to gain ultimate power it would be a strategy to effect the incomes of those who support their opposition. Of course, all political operatives have such maps and are likely viewing how one side can be diminished and the other enhanced. 

While the blue parts have large dense populations and decades of entrenched Democratic bureaucracy they have the ability,since the new unaccountable election laws have been implemented, to fulfill their hoped for total one party control of the country.

It seems there is also a reddening of some states and a bluing of others, due to the economic environment in some red states.  Of course, migration form blue states may very well eventually weaken the majority in those states by not actually embracing the policies that have created the positive environment. Policy and results are connected.

Alaska is a glaring example, many off the grid types live in Alaska, many most likely have never voted. The Urban areas are all government workers who want more government and more benefits. At the same time the rural areas qualify for a lot of social benefits, due to having little in dollar incomes. So Alaska is surprisingly politically not near as conservative as one would expect.

The other dynamic that has never been taken into account is that while urban populations are increasingly dependent on the government, they are also entirely dependent on the other parts of their states for food, energy and many necessities of life.

It has been predicted for some time that as more Americans live from a government check, either facilitated by taxes or an ever increasing debt they will easily be bought by an increasingly authoritarian government. If you add up all the government workers, school teachers and their family's, those whose only sustenance is some government contract and those who receive government benefits, it could be they are now the majority in the country.

This reality will likely cause the government to be bold in their endeavor to take from those who have, to continue to pay-off their supporters, it is how they will be able to stay in power. It is interesting to note, that Biden's first words after this midterm is that he plans to go all out for more gun control.

It is a fact, that we no longer live in a UNITED States of America and sadly it is likely to become even more divided. While states rights and the 10th amendment offers some protection, it does not offer protection form urban vs rural. As the cities continue to decline the inclination to look to the assets and resources of the rural will be the ultimate government target of redistribution.






 


Friday, November 11, 2022

Three days and counting, and counting and counting

 THEY WILL KEEP COUNTING UNTIL THEY FIND ENOUGH VOTES TO WIN

IT IS BLATANTLY OBVIOUS WHAT THEY ARE DOING


So we see the two races that will be very important to who controls the Senate are still not confirmed. Nevada and Arizona, two actually small states just cant seem to be able to count the votes. When the counting lasts for days, the Democrats will win.

This whole pattern has been set years ago in California, when they began this charade with elections lasting for weeks after the actual election day. They then used this time to collect more votes by vote harvesting, until they got enough for the Democrats to win. This plan is now spreading to other states , then of course eventually they will have a sound democrat majority in the state, pass things like mail in voting and their majority is assured forever.

Now of course, it is now politically incorrect to question the motive of election officials, even if many of the officials are Republicans. California, a state that once elected many Republicans and even Republican Presidents, is now a one party state in perpetuity.

Now it reported that this election was influenced by 1st time voters, who are voting for the first time. I wonder if these voters know if they voted in their first election?

As for Pennsylvania, as long as this state has mail in voting, controlled by entrenched Democrats in major cities, Republicans will NEVER win a state wide election. 

One must also ask about the polling, before the election, and exit polls. Exit polls almost unanimously were negative, on the issues that most considered the major issue, yet they ended up with Democrats winning. Polls that in the last days indicated a Republican landslide, either were wrong, or were intentionally inflated to motive Democrat votes. Or maybe it indicates something else.

We do not have an election system, that I can trust, but I guess everyone believes it is sound and not corrupted. 

So, it seems the Democrats will now be able continue with their agenda, an agenda that will continue to degrade this country both economically an socially until it will be just shadow of it former glory. It may be true that the people get the leaders that they deserve.


Thursday, November 10, 2022

Preparing for the battle of Kherson

 BATTLE MAY BE DECISIVE EVENT OF UKRAINE CONFLICT

SOME PREDICT IT MAY RESEMBLE BATTLE OF STALINGRAD


While it was reported that the Russians have moved out of the city of Kherson, and declared it a major victory for the Ukrainians, it is just the prelude for the real battle that seems to be coming.

In the last few weeks the Russians have evacuated all the residents out of Kherson, a city with a population of 280,000, that is on the west bank of the Dnipro river.  This is very large river and Russia decided it would be vulnerable with the river at its troops back. It is the fourth largest river in Europe and has several Hydroelectric reservoirs on the river, including one just north of Kherson. There seems to be immense preparations for a large scale conflict in this area. Both sides have made accusations that the other side is planning on blowing up the reservoir and flooding the city.

The Russians have built cement plants in the area are are setting up Tank obstacles and are all types of defensive positions. 

The Ukrainians are massing tanks and supplies in the region. The United States and the UK have moved adviser troops into Ukraine and the U.S. has appointed a general in charge of the Ukraine operation. It is rumored that the U.S. has enlisted former Syrian rebels to fight in the area. The U.S. has also moved part of the 101st airborne units to the Ukraine border. It it appears all are preparing for a major confrontation.

It seems the Russians have avoided a major battle and often withdrawn when it appeared that one was forming, maybe they just wanted such a battle to be of their choosing. They have recently mobilized an additional 300,000 reservists and some believe more are in the works.The Ukrainians have voiced their concern that this withdrawal may be the setting of a trap for the Ukrainians to enter this deserted city. Up to now, the Russians have not used much of their advanced sophisticated weapons, that may soon change. Also some of the more experienced Russians have been complaining about not fighting in a more aggressive manner. 

Some European leaders have compared the evolving scenario to the battle of Stalingrad, the deadliest battle of WW2. The battle lasted form Aug.23, 1942, until Feb.2, 1943, it is estimated it resulted in 2 million casualties and forced the German army to retreat. It was some of the most brutal urban warfare of WW2..

While it appears this battle is imminent, there is also other developments including the U.S. conveying to Ukraine that they should make it appear they are willing to negotiate, but it does seem that it more of ploy to help with further support of Ukraine.

There are some signs that NATO members are becoming increasingly uneasy with the direction of events. The Germans seem more like they would like to not get further embroiled in this conflict. The French have stated that they would not respond with nuclear weapons unless their country was attacked. Biden keeps warning the Russian not to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine. 

It seems that he does not believe that the Russians, if in a situation that they believe would be a existential threat to their country, would not target the source of the threat, rather than the proxy Ukrainians. It appears that the coming winter will be a period of historical events in more ways than one.

Wednesday, November 9, 2022

No Red wave, maybe the days of waves are over.

 COULD BE THAT MUCH OF THE POLARIZATION IN THE COUNTRY IS NOW PERMANENT

RURAL VS URBAN, NORTH VS SOUTH


While many will be disappointed today, it maybe should have been expected, that large swings in the house and senate are now a thing of the past. The country has more or less dug into their positions, whether right or wrong and it will possibly take suffering and catastrophe to change the dynamic of this political system.

The country is divided as never before, both sides look at the other as the enemy, some of this is actually true. The divide is definitely rural vs urban, and may not change until things get much worse in the urban environment, which could be expected.

The problems of inflation and shortages are not going to go away and the quality of life in America is going to decline. The best that could have been hoped for was a restraint on the excesses of the Biden administration and there may be some of that, but not enough that the woke left will not declare victory and a doubling down on their policies. We can expect that the country will continue to decline into its high position of third world standards.

The election system is still a mess, a mess that can serve the interests of those who want to manipulate the system. Without election reform the country is doomed to chaos. Chaos may very well be the goal of some.

While the future political system is likely to be worse at home, the crisis developing in the rest of world, may change the future of the country more than elections at home. Much of the future is baked in, except for the details, which could go from bad to catastrophe in an instant. I expect this administration will also double down on their dangerous foreign policy. It could be that destiny is what awaits.

Tuesday, November 8, 2022

Election day, Peace, or accusations and lawsuits

 IT IS NOW ANTICIPATED THAT RESULTS WILL BE DELAYED

WE CAN HAVE AN ELECTION SYSTEM THAT ALL CAN TRUST



Just when we are anticipating an end to phone calls, emails, political mail and political ads defaming each other, we are being told to expect days and weeks until some of these elections are to be decided. It is obvious that some of the leaders in this country want chaos rather than stability, that they want inconclusive results, so they can manipulate the outcomes. It has been over 20 years of new machines, new ways to vote and the results have been a degrading of our election system.

Still resisting voter ID, still insisting on mail-in voting, still attempting to have non-citizens vote, this has to all stop. During elections, time is needed to tamper with the results, and as we see it is now commonplace for lots of time to be consumed until results are announced.

Then there is already the goal of pronouncing that questioning the results of an election, is tantamount to a federal offence and now forbidden. Questioning the results are considered an attack on democracy. NO, having an election system that is intentionally malfunctioning is a real attack on democracy.

Americans have not only a right, but an obligation to question any act by the government, if it is in fact destroying the basis of our political system. 

No matter the outcome of these elections, a number 1 priority is to demand a simple, auditable election system, that we can all have faith in.

Monday, November 7, 2022

Build Back Better, Lots of spending, no solutions.

 WHAT DOES IT SAY, WHEN REVERSING ALL OF TRUMP'S POLICY'S, LEADS TO DISASTER

SPIN DOES AFFECT PUBLIC OPINION, BUT IT DOES NOT PRODUCE ANY ACTUAL RESULTS


So, tomorrow is election day and in the end it appears some will be elated and some disappointed. I expect the so called wave election will be real, but not to the point of being able to remedy the disaster enfolding both here at home or on the world stage.
 
The series of decisions and policy's implemented by this administration and his supporters will have lasting effects, some possibly not reversible, particularly for the next two years.

Actually what was the policy of this administration? It was to reverse all the policy's implemented by Donald Trump. Actually, no positive policy of its own.

It's priority of enormous spending and its first priority to eliminate fossil fuels with no alternative, set off the worst inflation in 40 years. Not only here but worldwide.

Its policy's have result in chaos both here and abroad. Now the best than we can hope for is to take the baton away from the "conductor of chaos" until his term expires, but there will not be any power to reverse course. From past responses, we can expect a doubling down of executive orders and hateful language conducted toward Americans with opposing opinions.

It is still not certain the country will survive this presidency?

While here at home, we are focusing on inflation, disrupted supply chains, the collapse of the countries work ethic and an array of disastrous social policies, coupled with an out of control immigration problem, flooding of the country with deadly drugs and crime exploding all across the country, all with direct roots in this administration and his parties policies. The real nightmare is what has been done to Europe. 

Biden has been very effective at convincing the EU and NATO to unite in putting the final touches on the establishment's plan to destroy Russia as we know it. To overthrow the government and possibly dismember the country. 

This situation could have been avoided if only to recognize the legitimate concerns of Russia concerning NATO expansion, a problem that has been festering for at least 25 years. Our experts have been implementing this plan for some time to contain and wage economic and political war with Russia. It has now all come to fruition in Ukraine.

While the population here had been bombarded with anti-Russian propaganda for decades, the invasion of Ukraine was the culmination of this devious plan. It was hoped that Russia would invade and attempt to occupy the country. It would then be subjected to western world sanctions, forcing a Russian economic collapse and then retribution from the allies.

Things have not exactly gone as planned, while Russia did seem to be not sure of its course of action in Ukraine, it became evident that while they could have destroyed the entire infrastructure of Ukraine in a very short time, they did not. They fought hard in the eastern provinces which were actually at war since 2014, a fact little reported in the western media. They seemed to avoid any all out battles. Often withdrawing and holding. All this is reported as Ukraine' imminent victory. The Russian's are running out of supplies, the soldiers have no food, Russia will collapse if only we send more money and weapons.

Now winter is approaching, all of western Europe and possibly here at home, there will be disastrous shortages of energy. The maintenance of the Ukrainian government is costing the U.S. and Europe $5 billion a month. Over $100 billion in  assistance has been provided. The supply of weapons in NATO countries has been diminished.  With supply problems, we will not be able to replace our weapons for 5 years. The Russian economy has not collapsed, it has actually been damaged only moderately.

It is very likely that the UK with the help of the U.S. blew up the Nord stream pipeline to dissuade Germany from opening the pipeline. Attacks on Russian infrastructure has resulted in retaliation that has destroyed much of Ukraine's electric distribution. And there is no end in sight.

It interesting that Russia has not yet destroyed the transportation system in Ukraine, they have not shut down electric generation and they still supply energy to Ukraine and western Europe. 

More objective observers have noted that Russia is slowly grinding down the Ukrainian army, has actually destroyed most of their best units. They have still fought a limited war, and hardly touched much of the infrastructure. I expect that they believe that one day they will again be neighbors with Ukraine. 

So the question remains, what is the limit of Europe and U.S. assistance, Will we watch as Europe slips into economic ruin or will the plan escalate and attempt to settle this with an all out NATO response? A response that will have disastrous results for the world. Not maybe, but for sure.

We are now in a situation were neither side can back down without serious political damage. A serious situation, that real diplomats understand that is position you never want to get into. Opportunities early on to avoid this were dismissed, now the next move is going to be on the part of the U.S. and Europe. 

Experienced diplomats, which are now in short supply in Washington and London, have advised this dispute needed to be settled by negotiation before winter. Their advise has been rejected, now winter is approaching, serious decisions will need to be made soon. Can we have faith that this administration has the competence to make the right decisions?



Friday, November 4, 2022

Election integrity will still be a problem.

 NUMBER ONE ISSUE AFTER THE ELECTION SHOULD BE ELECTION INTEGRITY

WITHOUT TRUST THERE CAN BE NO HEALING



While it the general consensus that the republicans will have a strong showing this mid-term election, do not be surprised if there is not a lot of accusations of voter fraud. If you have a system that lends itself to be abused, it will be abused. Any system that is not trusted by a large percentage of Americans will be a thorn in the side of healing the country. 

Elections are not complicated, nor are they difficult to conduct. We have run elections for over 200 years and until recently we have a good record of trust in elections.

This all began with the hanging chad debacle in Florida in 2000 election. It was obvious that the cards that where being pierced, were being stacked up with more than 1 ballot. Many got greedy and stacked up more ballots than they could physically pierce, thereby leaving ballots not cleanly pierced or just dents in the ballots. After weeks of debating how to count these ballots, the court stepped in and declared enough and ended the debate.

Then came the nationwide push for better election  machines. Millions of dollars in spending on electronic machines that many doubted could be trusted. New machines every few years, still not trusted. Machines that could be connected to the internet, counting done in massive election centers, all more opportunity for distrust. 

Then came massive mail-in ballots, drop boxes and special envelopes etc. etc. etc. 

Voting is simple, a paper ballots dropped into a secure box. Many districts with around 2000 registered voters in each district.  Counting done on sight with representatives of all parties. Results in 24 hours or less. An auditable system that we can all trust. One vote for 1 citizen. A clean registration system that is updated every 2 years. We can do it, and if this country is to survive it is the first step in healing the nation.

Thursday, November 3, 2022

The nation needs a period of reevaluation.

 DEMOCRAT PLAYBOOK IS EXHAUSTED

IS IT BECAUSE THEY BELIEVE IN NOTHING REAL?


In the Last week the Democrats have revealed their desperation by falling back on their old standby. The Republicans are going to take away social security, medicare and god forbid, Obamacare. They have attempted to label all Republicans as white supremacists, about to overthrow the government, the worst threat to democracy in its history. They have attempted to make abortion the number 1 issue in the country, when in effect, the Supreme court has thankfully placed that issue in the hands of the people of the states, a true test of democracy. Now they are back home, claiming that the Republicans, who all will also receive Social Security benefits, want to eliminate it. How pathetic! 

It is an example how a person, a political party and even a nation can be overcome by a strong delusion about what is important, what is TRUE and  how far off the straight and narrow path of rationality they can become. It should be awake-up call to not only the democrat party, but to everyone. There needs to be a sound, tested, value system for success, for a person, a party and a nation. I suspect we have all strayed from that path. 

Do we have to repeat the lessons of history that will likely end in our destruction, if we do not take a period of self-evaluation.

After a devastating defeat in the 1980's former president Bill Clinton, helped to found the Democrat leadership conference. It was an effort to move his party in a more sound direction. He was successful for a time, but without regular maintenance and when a party puts obtaining power the goal, rather than serving the people, all the people, evil forces can take control. 

Traditional liberals, like Tulsi Gabbard, Alan Dershowitz, Jeffrey Sacks and others have had the courage to speak out, warning that the party has gone astray, fearful not only that the two party party system may be ending, but that destruction of the nation is at hand.

All political parties and the citizens need to slow down and take a real evaluation as to where we are going. Our foreign policy is as out of touch as the democrat party. It is a culmination of Republican, Democrat and entrenched bureaucracy that in some ways believes that they have godlike qualities. That they are like god and can fashion the world into their image. We see trends set, agendas pursued, and violent action taken, without any import from congress or the people. 

So, I hope that events next week, will start a new view of our domestic priorities, a new view of out foreign policy, one that is based on time tested values that seem to be in process of being rejected, a rejection that will leave us all on a very dangerous courses in the future. 




Wednesday, November 2, 2022

Threats and taxes will not solve the energy crisis

BIDEN STILL BELIEVES HIS THREATS ARE GOING TO SOLVE PROBLEMS 

IT REQUIRES POLICY AND COOPERATION



Yesterday, Biden proclaimed that the reason we have high energy prices, is because oil companies are making big profits. What is a big profit? Compared to what? As an example, Exon Mobile had a profit of over $5 billion, sounds like a lot, but they have assets or one could say investments of $340 billion. That is a return on investment of  1.5 % hardly an excess profit. It is all just a lot of bull shit political talk or are they intentionally demonizing oil companies to hope to gain public support to take control of the oil production.

Our current crop of political leaders have no qualms about blaming their shortcomings on others, this is just one example. From his first day in office Biden has intentionally targeted oil companies, both to diminish the use of fossil fuels and also to use his power to damage companies who represent some political opposition. Just another disgusting abuse of power.

No real effort to increase production. No reexamination of his policy or his advisers. Just threaten and bluster, both domestically and on the world stage. The most serious signs of his lack of understanding of economics. This president is doing damage to this country that will be difficult to reverse. 

It is just over 20 months since this administration took office. It is sad to watch as they campaign on their accomplishments, all of which have to do with spending enormous sums of money, without any hope of a return in the future. Literally squandering the economic future of the country.

In foreign policy we have seen in this short time going from a period of decreasing peril to a serious threat of nuclear war and increasing tension worldwide. Of course, it is the fault of others. 

While incompetence or lack of knowledge and thinking could be blamed on these failures, it is becoming more evident, it is actually all intentional. Just chance or a roll of the dice should result in at least a 50% rather than a zero.

Tuesday, November 1, 2022

Pelosi assault: Dripping with elite hypocrisy

 JUST ANOTHER EXAMPLE OF A TWO TIERED JUDICIAL SYSTEM

THOUSANDS ARE ASSAULTED EVERY DAY, BUT SOME ARE JUST SPECIAL


I suppose everyone has now heard of the break in and assault on the husband of Nancy Pelosi. A serious law breaking incident that should be punished as laid out in law and precedent. It is an example of the hypocrisy of the elite elected officials, who somehow believe that while crime is increasing and getting more deadly all across the nation, they should be immune form the results of their own policies.

Crime is increasing in San Francisco as it is in every major city. It is reported that 32 people have been pushed in front of subway cars in New York this past year. Property damage is now considered a non chargeable offense in many areas. Retail theft is condoned in many places including San Francisco. But an assault on Pelosi's husband is of course a political act, because she is one of the ruling elite and violence is only condoned for the common people.

They are already talking of 50 years in prison, is this the penalty for the assaults that take place in the inner city " knock out" game? I think not.

Rioting and looting when it damages and destroys private sector property in the cause of racial justice is very acceptable. Rioting for other causes not endorsed by the elite elected officials will intentionally be dealt with in a different way. Assault on Pelosi's husband is an assault on democracy, assault against innocent people, just is not so important. Your standing in society and your race will be a determining factor in the justice you receive or do not receive.

It is interesting when threats and violence were directed at Supreme Court Justices, it was considered free speech, but now all kinds of extra security will be provided to some elected officials. How important will they need to be? Will the same standard be applied to members of both parties? You can expect more hypocrisy, it is now the hallmark of the ruling elite, an elite who lives in a bubble, separate from the results of their policies endured by those who they are supposed to represent. 

Every assault against everyone should be dealt with severely, uniformly, and with the classic blind folded justice. America justice is now perverted, no blind fold here, all prosecutions have some political angle, either by their extreme prosecution or lack there of.