Day 63, Economic pressures rising.

 RESUME MILITARY ACTION SOON, OR GO HOME

TOLL ON ECONOMY, MIDTERM ELECTIONS 

All indications are that an attack on Iran is imminent. Today is May 1, and primary elections will be happening in the weeks ahead, it can be expected that this war will have some influence on even these elections, but with 7 months until the general election, time is running out to have some sort of conclusion to this conflict. That, coupled with the fact that economic pressure is building, particularly in other parts of the world, but it will also affect economic condition here at home.

It is very unlikely that a revolution is in the making in Iran. While sanctions and the blockade will damage the economy it will not happen in the immediate future. A major attack will assuredly be responded to by Iran and will further damage the global economy. A military operation to gain control of the strait of Hormuz is a real gamble, failure would be catastrophic to both Trump and the U.S. image. It seems the nuclear material is no longer at the top of the list of conditions. It is all about the global oil supply and Iran at present has control of the strait of Hormuz. This will only intensify with every passing day.

Possibly the best solution would be to back off, allow Iran to regulate traffic through the strait and hope that the global economy will recover quickly. it would be a humbling experience, but would at least be a predictable outcome that would not worsen the global economic system.

Trump could still claim victory that Iran's nuclear ability is devastated and that its economy has been seriously damaged. It would also allow revisiting this issue after the elections. In fact, if the elections go badly, Trump will only have foreign relations left for the rest of his presidency, his domestic policy already disrupted by this war will then be nonexistent. In fact, if the border wall is not completed by Jan. 2027, it will most likely never be completed.

It appears as though Trump has shifted from, "Make America Great" at home to have a large military and attempt to rule the world. It will end as all such endeavors in history have ended, with failure and further decline at home.