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Monday, May 9, 2022

Polish President hopes to incorporate Ukraine into Poland

POST UKRAINE WAR MAY PROVE VERY PERILOUS

IS THIS AN ATTEMPT TO HAVE A NATO EXPANSION WITHOUT A VOTE


Last week the Polish President Duda gave a speech proposing that Ukraine and Poland could eliminate their borders and become one nation. I have yet to see a reaction from Ukraine, or is this just a trial balloon to gauge the public reaction? Is this an attempt to have Ukraine become part of NATO without a member vote?

At some time this conflict will at least come to some kind of a conclusion or at least become a low intensity conflict. It is very likely that the Russian federation is going to annex some parts of Ukraine. It will also be a challenge to the world on how to normalize a post Ukraine war. It seems many bridges have now been burned to a peaceful cooperation going forward.  

As for Ukraine, any attempt of some incorporation into Poland will certainly result in a negative reaction from the nationalist segments of the country. In fact, the nationalist faction is probably who is doing most of the fighting now and will expect to be in a strong political position in the future. 

While most of the parties that represented this faction have been banned by the current government, that will be a very strong dispute in the future. I would expect they will have strong public support in the future. In fact, they may expect to be the majority and controlling party in the future.

There have been reports of much of the massive arms being supplied to Ukraine being unaccounted for. Are they being stockpiled for the inevitable conflict for political power after cessation of hostilities with the Russians? It is not unusual for all the political animosities that are put on hold during a war to surface when the conflict is over.

Hopefully this conflict will soon be concluded and hopefully Ukraine can be rebuilt to some extent to live a normal life. It may be moving from one peril to another that could be just as catastrophic.

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