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Thursday, November 9, 2023

Ukraine and Georgia EU membership: Cynical desperation.

 NOT LIKELY ANYTIME SOON

RUSSIA WILL FIND THIS HUMOROUS


The EU's latest attempt at relevancy is there attempt to signal that they are considering allowing Ukraine and Georgia to become EU members. One must wonder what the motive is behind such an unlikely possibility.

There several reasons why this is not a serious declaration. One is Ukraine is in the middle of a war, I believe that immediately disqualifies them from membership.  Then it is hardly believable that the nationalist government in Ukraine will accept the immigration policies of the EU. They already have resistance from current members Hungary and Poland.  Finally, Ukraine is an economic basket case and will remain so for decades, even after any conclusion of his conflict.  It is doubtful EU members want to take over the support of the government of Ukraine for an undefined future.

Georgia has similar problems, they will not qualify for EU membership for decades.

So, why this offer now? Maybe the U.S. prompted this hoping it could shift support for Ukraine to the EU. Maybe they believe this is a bargaining chip with Russia over ending this conflict. Why no mention of NATO membership?  Russia was not opposed to Ukraine membership in the EU as long as it did not forbid trade with Russia, now they may no longer even care about trade with Ukraine or the EU and will be glad to let the burden be placed on the EU.

Of course, any future for Ukraine will be a substantially smaller nation and the tendency of these eastern European nations has been for their brightest to immediately immigrate to other western nations. This reality will be another obstacle to EU membership.

Then of course there is always the possibility of replacing this lost talent with several million Palestinian refugees and thereby solve 2 problems at once.


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