WILL 2025 BE THE YEAR OF CONCLUSIONS?
CAN THE PRESENT CHAOS BE SUSTAINED FOR ANOTHER YEAR?
2025 is a big number, especially when you have witnessed 79 much smaller numbers. I suspect that many will agree the world has become much more chaotic and unpredictable. Maybe 2025 will witness some resolutions or conclusions to problems underway.
The Ukraine fiasco appears to be on its way to some sort of conclusion, maybe not from some actual willingness of the combatants, but by the exhaustion of the whole affair. The Ukrainians are running out of manpower, NATO is running out of equipment and wherewithal and the Russians want to move on to other long range endeavours. The time is soon ripe for a settlement, but it must be a permanent sustainable settlement, not a band aid to be ripped off later. It will require humility and real objective diplomacy, maybe necessity will make that happen.
Things are dire in the middle east, but again there are signs of exhaustion, which may lead to some sort of resolution, but I doubt that any of it will be concluded in 2025, it is too deep, too severe, too much hate and animosity, very little good will.
The other pressing question is the emergence of the multipolar world that wants to break free from control of the existing order. Again, that existing order has been powered by unlimited amounts of dollar creation that has fueled this quest for global control. It is also exhausted, whether apparent as yet or not, it is unsustainable. The question is, can the transition to a multipolar world be accomplished peacefully, with mutual respect and co-existanstance or must it be settled in the age old fashion of mutual destruction. I doubt if this transition will be completely accomplished in 2025.
As always, we must hope for the best, but prepare for the worst. There are some signs of hope, at present that is all we have, a hope for a better year.
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