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Tuesday, December 10, 2024

Complications just beginning in Syria.

 WILL ISRAEL OVERREACH?

PRESSURE FOR U.S. TROOPS WILL GROW


Just days after the end of Assad regime Israel is advancing toward Damascus destroying any military assets that it can find. Some have already suggested that the rapid fall of Syria is suspicious and Israel is vulnerable to overextending itself into Syria and being the victim of a trap. The Israeli army is tired and overstretched, with problems of morale and a growing political division in the country. Prudence would be a better virtue than unrestrained adventure into Syria.

It is reported that Turkey supplied the training and logistics and the U.S. supplied the money, paying the jihadists around $2000. a month compared to $30 for Syrian army members. Will the money continue to flow as the jihadist army grows with all the Syrian prisons emptied, an influx of volunteers from the muslim world and the possibility of the Kurds opening the prisons with 50,000 ISIS prisoners? It is possible that the jihadists could grow to a 150,000 army in months. If the money ceases so will the control of these new Democrats.

The U.S. is already considering sanctions on Turkey if it continues to take control of northern Syria which it is in the process of doing. They are also concerned that Turkey will attempt to annihilate the U.S. supported Kurds in eastern Syria that now believe it is time for them to have a homeland in region.

Russia and Iran came in to support the Assad regime after 4 years of the regime change operation in an attempt to stabilise the region, with of course their own agendas, they no longer have a dog in this fight, and it appears they will let the local players have their day. 

It is no secret that Netanyahu still wants a U.S. backed war with Iran. It is the last on his decades old list of enemies that he considers must be eliminated for the expansion of and safety of Israel. This coupled with the deep state actors in Washington who would like to tie up Trump in foreign wars so that they would be safe from domestic reform. A trapped and desperate situation for the Israeli army would be just one of those situations.

It is way too soon to anticipate where all this will end, it would be a bad bet to anticipate any good outcome.


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