NO FREEZE, NO CEASEFIRE, NO HONEST BROKERS
ONLY LASTING RESULT WILL DO
We hear talk of ceasefires for Christmas, frozen conflicts with peacekeepers, land for NATO and other arrangements, all in the hope to regroup and fight another day. This war will only end when there is no longer any will to fight by one side or the other. A similar end that would compare to the end of WW2, unconditional surrender.
Russia is on its way to bringing about that reality and the west will need to decide, and soon, if it is willing to send in NATO troops, or do a preemptive nuclear attack on Russia. You can bet those discussions are actually going on in Washington and NATO. Of course the citizens of Europe or the U.S. will have no say in the matter, it is their responsibility to just pay up and maybe die.
The opportunity to avoid this catastrophe was before it happened and then very early in the conflict, that time has passed. There are now 100's of thousands of dead and many billions of wealth destroyed, it is too late for some face saving solution for the west. The western players have lied and reneged on every possible deal and it has no credibility to stand by any agreement.
Money is still being sent to Ukraine today and more on the way, the only thing it will do is keep the government in Kiev from collapsing and providing a golden parachute when it all goes down, or maybe more tanks, F16's long range missiles or nuclear weapons will save the day.
The reality is that Russia is moving steadily west, every day, they are slowly and methodically overcoming all the reinforcements built in the last 10 years and are now at the gates of Pokrovsk which seems to be the center of Ukraines defense. It is assumed that battle will commence within a week and when it falls, Ukraine's defense will be severed and it will become near impossible to continue. While they may be able to fight on for months, it will only end one way, without intervention with troops or very escalated firepower.
It may be one of Trump's very first major decisions after the inauguration. No matter the decision, he will be blamed for the ensuing result.
No comments:
Post a Comment
comments and opinions published at discretion of editor