WILL ISRAEL/TURKEY BECOME THE NEW CONFLICT?
NO REAL FRIENDS, JUST HOPING TO EXPAND
It seems that Turkey and Israel cooperated in the replacing of the Assad government. At present, the new government is disorganized and has not consolidated and actually exerted political power. It seems both Israel and Turkey now believe it is their time to take as much of Syria as they can. Turkey is moving across northern Syria and it is expected that they may attempt to drive the Kurds out of eastern Syria. Israel has taken more of the Golan heights and is now only 15 miles from Damascus.
Israel may be in process of overreaching and bringing forces in the region out against them. An occupation of Israel of Damascus would be a red flag in the Muslim world. At present recent events have been in Israel's favor but it can change very quickly. While Turkey has cooperated, it is no friend to Israel and if Israel goes too far it will come into direct conflict with Turkey, which Erdogan could use to bolster his standing in the region.
At present this may be a period of calm until a much greater storm as the new government consolidates and friendly assets move into the country. The political and diplomatic moves will be critical is determining the direction in this volatile region. If only raw power is the policy it will be eventually be returned in kind. While Israel is feeling invincible at the moment, it is only invincible with unlimited backup by the U.S., a backup that one day maybe limited due to economic and political developments in other parts of the world.
True peace and security cannot be maintained with only raw power, the saying that "he who lives by the sword will die by the sword" can eventually apply to any nation.
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