EU AND UKRAINE NOT READY FOR LASTING AGREEMENT
RUSSIA OWNS THE CLOCK
While we see Trump and the U.S. hoping to negotiate an imminent end to the Ukraine conflict, others are still not ready for a lasting settlement. We should expect this conflict to continue far into 2026.
Trump is till battling the naysayers in the U.S. who still can't comprehend that Ukraine has lost and that as time goes by they will have little leverage for negotiation.
We still have those in the EU, with military forces that cannot in reality come to the aid of Ukraine and economies declining by the day. still talking of war, preparation for war and even pre-emptive strikes on Russia.
In Ukraine, Zelensky is becoming a lame duck that may not have the ability to negotiate an end to this conflict, there still ae many who want to fight on. Ukraine should be in the process of preparing for elections, it would give any possible negotiation more credibility. The problem is that most opposition have been exiled, imprisoned or worse and it would take many months to actually have an election.
Russia has been clear as to what is needed for lasting peace and the opposition is still not ready to accept defeat or any compromise. The EU and Ukraine have hopes of winning the peace by preparing for more war in the future. This reality will prevent any end to this conflict in the near future.
I suspect that Trump understands that an end to the Ukraine conflict would open up may possibilities for peace in other areas. It would allow Russia and China to cooperate in exerting strong influence on Iran to begin the process of lasting peace in that area. Again there are forces who do not want peace in that region.
The reality is the western European countries are moving into a period of volatile economic, and social uncertainty, which will make them less likely to be able to wage war on Russia. Ukraine is physically exhausted and its supporters are near exhaustion, economically and in there ability to supply weaponry, They all have serious domestic political problems at home. Again, Russia owns the clock and the longer it keeps ticking the less likely of war against Russia. While Russia has suffered greatly from this conflict, it is in their best interest for its opponents to to decline until they are ready for a lasting peace agreement.
In my view, nations like France, Great Britain, Germany, and others are all in in escalating the conflict. They WANT a full scale war with Russia so long as WE (United States) do all the heavy lifting. So long as WE (United States) suffer the most damage, destruction, and loss of lives.
ReplyDeleteFrance, Great Britain, Germany, and others are paper tigers in a conflict of that scale. They want to be the "big heavy" so long as America does most if the work.
If I were Trump I'd say "No thanks, but we'll provide SOME assistance to YOUR attack on Russia. Like helping to rebuild the infrastructure in YOUR country."
Yes, war with Russia or Iran will not happen without U.S. backup. Trump does seem to be maneuvering in that direction.
Delete10:42 here.
DeleteYou do an outstanding job with your blog here, Ray. Very intelligent insights.
As you know, President Trump gets kicked in the ass no matter what he decides to do. I blame this mostly on poorly informed people. On this issue, however, Trump has been consistent all along.
Trump states he only wants to stop all the senseless killing around the world. Unlike others, he does not encourage war for HIS personal financial benefit. As you are well aware, war can be a big money-maker for those in position to make money over lethal combat between nations. These are the people who do not see themself or any family member on the battlefield.
America has dozens of corrupt Members of Congress who would tolerate a war mostly for their own financial benefit. Same ugly motive is found in other nations, too.
I truly am registered Independent, but find the absolutely best, well-documented and trustworthy political knowledge from the site, Conservative Treehouse. If you can get past the moderate religious inclusions there, Conservative Treehouse, with roughly 500 higher quality comments per day, is well worth your time. Real proof, and then some, using actual unedited documents, unedited video of statements from newsmakers, etc. I've yet to find a more trustworthy website for my political education. It's NOT only Conservative stuff.
Hope you already visit there!