Day 56. No win for Israel or U.S. in Iran war.

 ALL OPTIONS HAVE BAD RESULTS

IRAN WANT CONCLUSIVE END, NOT POSTPONEMENT

Now 7 weeks and no end in sight for the Iran, Israel, U.S. war. All options will lead to negative results, some will lead to catastrophic economic and political results. some will lead to diminished U.S. credibility, all will end with negative results for Israel. 

Option 1, is the threat of destroying Iran's infrastructure in a massive escalation of the war. This will trigger a response by Iran in destroying the infrastructure of the gulf countries and Israel. It seems everyone has concluded that they can effectivity do just that. This will lead to the political disintegration of the gulf countries and a global economic crisis. Can Israel survive more war?

Option 2, declare victory and end the conflict, without any real peace agreement. Iran will then control the Strait and reap financial benefits by it's tolls, the U.S. will lose credibility and Israel will be very disappointed. 

Option3, keep up the blockade, without resuming military action and hope Iran will be forced to capitulate. The question is will the global economy and the political prospects in the Gulf implode before Iran.

Option 4, end the conflict by negotiation, a negotiation that can only be accomplished with Iran gaining many positive benefits, like an end to sanctions, ability to engage in nuclear activity for at least peaceful purposes and guarantees of no future military action. A deal similar to the one, that the U.S. withdrew from, but done by treaty with more guarantees that it will not be ripped up by some future president..

Option 5, destroy Iran with Nuclear weapons, all bets are off were that would end. 

The problem is Israel wants Iran destroyed as a viable country, it wants it to look like Gaza or Syria. It can not accomplish that without U.S. assistance. If it tried, it would be destroyed by Iran and its other enemies. Israel understands that it has lost its public support all around the world and this will be its last opportunity to destroy Iran.

The Neocons have embarked on a decades long policy of controlling all mideast oil, they will resist any permanent change in that hope. 

Trump most likely cannot come out a winner in any option, he may be the lamest duck president in history, if this conflict drags on, and under the best conditions this conflict is many months from any real conclusion. Trump has allowed himself to be trapped by listening to both his real enemies and those who are only interested in what they perceive to be in their best interest. Iran was not really as weak as many claimed, and its population does not view the U.S. and Israel ever acting in the best interest of the Iranian people. They understand that Israel wants them destroyed and the U.S. covets their oil. There is no going back to pre-February 28, the future for all will be very different, no matter how this concludes.