CDC and others predict fall virus rebound

WHAT ARE THE OPTIONS FOR THE FALL VIRUS SEASON?

COMPLETE SHUTDOWN OR WORK WHILE DISTANCING?

The talking points today are that we will likely  have a worse virus situation in the fall, particularly if we open up the economy. While it is likely that both the Flu and Covid-19 can reemerge in the fall season, can we continue to shut down the economy for the next 18 months like some suggest?

We must reopen commerce and business. There is no question that is what must happen. Those who talk about 18 month shutdowns are being naive as to the consequences. The government cannot support the economy for 18 months. All those retired and possibly government workers can expect to see their 401K,s and pensions collapse. We can expect to see massive lay-offs including government workers. We can expect to see food shortages and serious civil unrest. It would bring on a world economic collapse worse than any experienced in history.

I hear environmentalists who claim this is an opportunity to end the use of fossil fuels and switch to renewable energy. Quietly they also can foresee such a move to eliminate half the worlds population. If that is their agenda, then why conceal it, lets have a vote.  If people are willing to return to the economic conditions of the 1850's let them propose that agenda. At this time, without a viable replacement, the elimination of fossil fuels we will set back our economic condition 100 years.

The other option is what we are most likely to do, which is to steadily move to resuming economic activity, continue with the distancing guidelines, possibly for the next 6 or 8 months. By then we will have developed a vaccine, found effective ways of treating this new virus and will be far more prepared for something like this in the future. While it will entail some health risks. This is the only realistic option. 

If we risk a complete economic collapse, there will be no distancing, likely there will not be a system left to deal scientifically with the virus. We could descend into tribal warfare and survival of the fittest. 

One thing we should all realize is that we live in a fragile, codependent, economic system that supports us all. If we want to play Russian roulette with out economy, it would likely end in far more death and damage that any virus could produce. It would also take decades to recover, rather than months.