Will Ukraine soon overshadow Iran?

 NEGOTIATIONS MOVING FORWARD WITH IRAN

AS EUROPE PREPARES FOR WAR RUSSIA CONTEMPLATES RESPONSE

 

Contrary to the bluster out of Washington, the talks in Switzerland seem to moving forward steadily. We can assume that half of the frozen assets of Iran have been returned. It is reported that the IAEA  representatives are joining the discussions which indicates that the framework for nuclear inspections is now being negotiated, this was considered to not happen until much further along.  Sanctions on Iranian oil sales have been lifted. All this indicates that these negotiations are moving forward and may be concluded well before 60 days. Of course, one can never predict exactly what will happen tomorrow.

 

The Ukraine conflict is now in the process of hot escalation, while Russia continues to incrementally advance on the battlefield, Ukraine, with use of drones, has been increasing attacks on Russian infrastructure. It is having an effect that Russia can no longer ignore. The supply of western supplied drones has increased dramatically in numbers and quality. It seems they have been supplied by the UK, Germany and the U.S. The sentiment in Russia is growing for some sort of attacks on NATO manufacturing to send a message that Russia understands this is a NATO/Russian conflict. It could be a conventional attack which many suspect will require a conventional response in retaliation, this will then set the stage for nuclear retaliation. 

 

One has to wonder if the expedited deal with Iran is influenced by the expected critical escalation in Ukraine. While the Iran conflict created a major economic crisis, the conflict in Ukraine could become far more dangerous, very quickly. The major NATO members have been increasingly talking of war with Russia and now they are considering converting  their manufacturing assets to war production. This is also being considered in the U.S. 

 

Whether it is real or an attempt at intimidation, the net result could be the same. Russia will not submit to this intimidation and the outcome could be a quick escalation to all out European war.  This, of course, would soon engulf the entire globe. 

 

It does appear that a pivotal point is approaching in Europe and, so far, little real diplomacy is to be seen.