Two wars in Ukraine?

 INTENSITY INCREASES ON LAND AND IN THE AIR

IT WILL LIKELY INCREASE 

 

While most of the focus has been on the conflict in the Persian gulf, the war in Ukraine has increased in intensity and violence.  For several months Russia has increased the air assaults on Ukraine and Ukraine has responded by hitting Russian oil infrastructure. The Ukrainians have been able to disrupt supplies in Crimea and in the eastern portions of Ukraine as well as hit targets far into Russia. Much has been made of these attacks and some even suggest Ukraine is winning this conflict. 

 

While it has been effective against Russia, the other war, the war on the ground has not changed direction. Russia has been advancing even though Ukraine makes attempts to counter attack and sometimes moves forward the fighting has been intense, but Russia is still moving and taking village after village and has in effect cut off Karkiv from its supply routes, it has steadily moved south in the Sumy region and has advanced all along the battle line.

 

While air attacks on Russia have been damaging, Ukraine cannot follow up with any ground operations. The attacks only hope to weaken Russian morale and keep NATO nations support from diminishing. Ukraine's manpower shortage worsens by the day and as Russia opens new fronts, their ability to fill the holes is becoming unsustainable. Ukraine continues to offer formidable resistance, but their is not really any change in their favor for the long term.