Blog Archive

Friday, August 12, 2016

Trump campaign, chaos or plan?

TRUMP'S UNCONVENTIONAL CAMPAIGN

ONLY POST ELECTION CAN TELL THE REAL STORY



The Donald Trump campaign has been a phenomenon in US election history since the beginning. There is no question that it has captured the attention of this country and also in other parts of the world. The emotions of this campaign have been extreme support and extreme opposition. In the primary with 17 candidates it was necessary to set oneself apart from the rest of the pack. While spending less money than his competitors Trump was able to do just that. He used unorthodox methods to raise his profile and diminish his opposition. While it was a mystery as to who was actually running the campaign, all anyone knew that his campaign was run by less than a dozen people. It was assumed Trump was the master of the campaign and just had a knack at knowing what issues to focus on and how to dispatch his opponents. I have my doubts that this was the case, Trump started out with a list of positions that was right on the mark, and he set the course of the primary that others would never have followed. If you think about Trump and his history, you don't build big buildings by the seat of your pants. It takes planning, hiring experts, architects, engineers, and managers. People to deal with regulators, zoners, and logistics. I am beginning to believe that this campaign is not as simple as it seems. Will it be successful? I don't really know, but I am beginning to think this campaign is more planned than most would want to believe.

How did Trump arrive at his platform, It has not changed since the first days. You often hear people say he will walk that back or he will moderate that. He has held to his platform from day one. That is hard to do, unless there is a plan. Who helped him come up with this approach, I believe there was several years of planning in this campaign and I also believe there are unknown professional people advising him. The Republican consultant class is possibly going to be bankrupt by Trump as he has not spent any money. It is no wonder that 70+ republicans, mostly consultants, signed a petition to the RNC to take money from Trump and move it to the Senate campaigns so that they can have a chance to survive. Trump, just shrugged his shoulders.The National defense experts who have run our National defense for the last 40 years for both democrats and republicans, have disavowed Trump mostly because he stated early on that he would go in a different direction. He seems unconcerned by the defection of establishment republicans. This also indicates that there may be a plan that has taken that into account. Will it work? He must think that it will.

This past week , we saw the uproar about the second amendment, Hillary and the court. After a few days I became aware that the media was playing the tape, that if Hillary was elected she would eliminate the second amendment as we know it,  This video and sound bite was replayed hundreds of times with great enthusiasm by the media. It was more than a 30 second ad. What was the value of that for targeting the second amendment people to dig in and get out to vote. Then we saw Trump exclaim that Obama and Hillary were the Founders of Isis, how many times was that played. Is the real goal to have the sound bite, " Hillary will eliminate the second amendment"  " Obama and Hillary were the founders of Isis" If this is the strategy, it has to be pretty risky or will it all be tied together later.

Trump has been working very hard at raising money, with reasonable success, but has not spent any money on advertising  in the general election. Hillary has reportedly spent $150 million. There must be a plan for this money to be used later. There is no question that Trump is not running an orthodox campaign and it may prove to be a dismal failure. But to assume that it is a chaotic and unplanned undertaking would not be born out by the history of Trump.


Monday, August 8, 2016

Voter suppression is the 2016 game

VOTER SUPPRESSION WARS HAVE JUST BEGUN

VOTERS TO BE SUBJECTED TO 3 MONTHS OF PSYCHOLOGICAL WARFARE



If Mitt Romney had earned the same number of votes as John McCain in 2012 he would have won that election. The portraying of Romney as a liberal, who not only introduced government healthcare in Massachusetts, but also as a destroyer of American companies was very effective in keeping conservative voters at home. Twisting the fact that he had a binder of women applicants to indicate he was anti-women. That he told a story of putting his dog on the roof of his car in a crate because the dog was stinking up the car, anything to show he was unacceptable.  While this idea of diminishing a candidate in the eyes of his or hers own supporters is nothing new, it was once just called negative advertising, it has now become an unrelenting psychological warfare against the opponent's voters.

One thing unique to this election is that Donald Trump is up against a 3 pronged attack, the democrats, the media, and the establishment republicans. A republican candidate usually has to withstand the attacks of the democrats and media, but not usually from the elite of his own party. Trump has been under fire from day one. When he announced, and stated he would stop illegal immigration, the firestorm began, it was spun that he hated immigrants, and he was racist. Univision pulled out of Miss Universe contest, Macy' stopped selling his clothing line, and so it began. The distortions, out of context reporting has continued unrelenting. Trump was able to overcome all this in the primary and still win.

The general election has saw the democratic machine, fine tuned under the Obama supporters get the jump on Trump. It was like a light switch was turned on June 1, as the media stepped up their scrutiny of every word or phrase to put the pressure on Trump. It has been very effective so far. While Trump is trailing Clinton now, it will be interesting how things work out when the Trump campaign gets going. Trump, of course has been cooperating, by getting into the weeds, by thinking he has to address every item of criticism, Hillary Clinton has mostly been hiding out, by speaking only in controlled settings and in environments under control of her campaign.

While Trump has had a lot of scrutiny till now, he like Obama have no political record. Hillary Clinton however has a political record, with a lot of controversy, it will be fertile ground for a unrelenting attack in the future. 90 days is an eternity in the political warfare of a presidential campaign. We are just beginning to see the suggestions that she is not physically well, that she suffering from some undisclosed ailments. There usually is some truth to all attacks, that will be exaggerated to create doubt in the minds of their supporters, that their candidate really is not worthy of their vote.

Trump's candidacy is unique  in modern politics, he is not a career politician, this of course is an affront to all career politicians. He is an unknown quantity, will they be able to control and will he compromise with them? The establishment republicans will never support Trump, he is probably not controllable and does not have the support of the usual big donors. He has questioned trade policies and foreign policy, both of which create trillions of dollars of income for the donors and their representatives.  They now say, that they are just too principled and of too high a moral character to support Trump. If they are so principled they would have sought the impeachment of Obama and Holder when they failed to faithfully execute the laws of the country. This is so much bull shit, why don't they just be honest and admit it is all about political power and money, which if  Trump were elected would place all that in doubt.

So, it will be a campaign to see whose supporters will be the strongest, most steadfast, most able to withstand psychological flogging for the next 3 months. Those with financial interests at stake, those making fortunes on trade and foreign policy, the government workers unions, federal, state and local, will be steadfast for Clinton, all those who are dependent on government, which is near a majority, will be mostly for Clinton. Its probably around 43% entrenched voters on each side. That leaves possibly only 10 percent of electorate undecided. The actual battle will be who can best discourage their opposition's voters to the point that they stay home.

Saturday, August 6, 2016

NWLehigh taxpayers income down again

AUGUST 3 NWLEHIGH SCHOOL BOARD WORKSHOP

DISTRICTS TAXPAYERS INCOME DOWN FOR 2 CONSECUTIVE YEARS.




Berkheimer & Associates reported on the 2015-2016 Earned Income tax receipts for the last fiscal year. Total receipts were $2,464,174, this is down $3,521.00 from last year and down $32,435.00 from 2 years ago. This is the truest gauge as to the financial ability of the districts taxpayers to absorb more taxes. While taxes have not been raised in the district for 5 years. The current spending plans of the new school district board will need to be paid for from somewhere. The combined incomes of the districts taxpayers is now down $3,243,500 in the last 2 years. This of course does not take into account the increase in health care costs. Local taxpayers disposable income is under assault on many fronts. The school board needs to take this into consideration when planning  new spending projects.

In other news it was discussed that the renewal of the Charter for Circle of Seasons Charter School is assured, but it may not be finalized as they are just beginning the negotiations for the new Charter. They expect this to be finalized by the September board meeting.

It was reported that so far 38 taxpayers have filed for a School tax rebate. There are over 370 eligible taxpayers in the district. They have till Dec. 31, 2016 to file for the rebate.

The monthly board meeting will be August 17 at 7 pm. It is open to the public. All residents are encouraged to attend.

Sunday, July 31, 2016

Democrats promise more of the same



DEMOCRATS CLAIM AMERICA AT ITS BEST

MANY CONTRADICTIONS

Image result for democratic convention 2016


While watching the Democratic Convention it was clear that their proposals are basically the same policies of the last 40 years. On one hand Hillary has promised to continue the policies of Barack Obama in actually stating that they are proposing an Obama 3rd term. On the other hand, Bill Clinton claims she will bring change to those issues that Americans are concerned about. It looks to me from the rhetoric that the former will be the case. As for the economy, they state how great everything is, but that they will get the economy growing by "INVESTING IN INFRASTRUCTURE,"  which sounds much more like another stimulus package. It is going to be paid for by raising taxes? Does anyone really believe that they will be able to raise enough taxes from the 1% to pay for all this? This is another transfer of wealth from the private sector to the public sector. There is no talk of tax reform, no talk of regulatory relief, no talk of encouraging manufacturing in the United States. Under pressure from Bernie's supporters and Trump, Hillary now says she is against TTP, which has set aside funds to assist workers displaced by this treaty. She will pass this trade bill in a minute if elected, as her best friend Terry McCauliffe let it be known in order ease the concerns of supporters of TTP. In last few days it has been reported that home ownership is now at the lowest point in 50 years. Employment is now at 63% of eligible workers and nearly 50% of households are getting food stamps. New jobs are mostly in the retail sector or food services where the prospects of advancement are limited. ALl this and they are talking about free college education for all; again where will this money come from and will there be good  jobs available when these people graduate? The whole plan is government control of all aspects of the economy. If these policies are continued, we will one day look like Venezuela. The democrats seem to only have one track when it comes to economics: transfer all wealth to the state and they will distribute to whom they think is deserving or who will best serve their political purposes.


Image result for bill clinton sleeping at convention 
Poor Bill, he's heard it all before


As for foreign policy, it is all more of the same, I did not hear any proposals to change or even reevaluate our foreign policy. I guess they believe all is well and stay the present course.

As for immigration, again all is well, we need to open the borders and let in anyone that should want to come, something like the EU immigration policy. This in itself has hurt the most vulnerable in this country, by depressing wages of the lower and middle class. Is it the plan to have a large poverty class dependent on government, who feel they need to vote for democrats to insure their basic necessities rather than opportunity to become self sufficient and prosper? 

This convention could have been called the,"Convention of Malcontents", who believe that their problems can all be solved by some government intervention. It was focused on emotional appeals to gain votes, without any real logical solutions. While government is necessary for common defense, enforcing contracts, and public safety, it now has become the god of the new age. Those that put their trust in government will be sorely disappointed.

We did not see anyone praise the results of total democratic control in cities like Detroit, Baltimore, St. Louis, Chicago or most all big cities, with unsustainable debt, violence and declining private sector opportunities.

Thursday, July 21, 2016

Report from Convention

HAS TED CRUZ BROUGHT HIS NATIONAL POLITICAL CAREER TO AN END?

 

MIKE SNOVER IN CLEVELAND

 
Cruz could not bring himself to be a man last night to his own destruction. A shame. I was speaking to people who put in countless hours on his campaign in Texas who said they are furious he didn't endorse and that he was supposed to. These two volunteers said they were done with him for this. What a sniveling selfish person who would want to put us under the control of Hillary Clinton so that he would have another chance in 4 years. As far as I am concerned at this point, Ted Cruz's manners shows himself to be far below the New York values of party loyalty and how about just being a man about it. Look how Trump is surrounding himself with good people like Reagan did. Mike Pence is everything a Christian could want. Who chose him? Donald Trump. Look at the list of Supreme Court nominations Trump put out. Look at how Trump has grown our party. Stop being so damned selfish Cruz, this isn't about you, it's about the movement. It's about America. You had the chance to bring us together, but instead you chose the selfish route. How is anyone going to be able to forget that? What were you and Heidi thinking? Forget green eggs and ham, you're toast.


Sunday, July 17, 2016

Report from Cleveland

CLEVELAND AT MAXIMUM SECURITY

MIKE AND LEE SNOVER IN CLEVELAND

Mike and Lee Snover from Northampton County have agreed to send the Observer a daily report of what's happening in Cleveland. Lee is a delegate to the Republican Convention from the 17th Congressional District. They arrived there today and are amazed at the security. Authorities are stopping cars as they take the exits to Cleveland and checking both occupants and cars. Everything around the convention site is shut down, including parking garages, etc. There seems to be one policeman for every 20 people, and many heavily armed police, Coast Guard and Secret Service. The delegates are shuttled by bus, with each bus having armed security on board.  There are helicopters circling over the area. The Snovers seemed to be somewhat relieved, as I know they were concerned as to what might happen there. Some are concerned the protesters may attempt to shut down the convention, but it sounds as though they have provided overwhelming force up to now. They will be providing the Observer with daily reports about what takes place this week from Cleveland.  Let's wish them well and look forward to their reports. 

Wednesday, July 6, 2016

Obama commences third term campaign

OBAMA NOW IN CHARGE OF CLINTON CAMPAIGN

MANY FACETED DEAL NOW OBVIOUS

Image result for clinton Obama in North carolina

 
 The political deal of the century is now being revealed piece by piece. In the coming days it may very well be obvious to all except those who love to live in complete denial. We have watched as the orchestrated event of the year unfolded, go back to April when you hear Obama on national television explain how Hillary's transgressions were not intentional and that she has done an outstanding job. If you look at Comey's explanation yesterday it matches Obamas prophetic words so well that it could have been written by Obama, and probably was.  This long drawn out investigation was nothing more than a negotiation between Obama and the Clinton campaign. It climaxed last week when Bill Clinton met Loretta Lynch in Phoenix and agreed to the final details of the deal. Obama has stated recently that if he could run for a third term he would win hands down, he has repeated this several times. No sooner had the deal been agreed to that Lynch stated she would follow the FBI's recommendation. It was also reported by the New York Times, that Hillary expected to keep Lynch on as Attorney General if elected.  Then on Saturday Comey commences the  FBI interview with Clinton. Tuesday he proceeds to state that while Hillary is guilty of all the complaints against her, she will not be charged because it was unintentional. While Comey is making his statement, Obama and Clinton are about to board Air force 1 for a rally in North Carolina, of course they had no way of knowing what Comey's conclusion was to be.
 
When this rally starts it is soon obvious that Obama is in charge, Hillary is a figurehead that he will direct as a continuation of his term as President. It is openly stated by Obama and Hillary that if elected this will be the third Obama term and a continuation of his policies. Is this the price that the Clintons had to accept to possibly be the next president? Do the Clintons think that if elected they will be able to get rid of Obama? I expect that Obama will demand that the Clinton administration will be staffed with people acceptable to Obama, and if it is the Attorney general and Court members, he will hold the hammer on the Clinton  Presidency. 
 
While no documented proof of this deal will ever be revealed, just watch and listen as it all unfolds.