Ukraine offensive over, Russia readies offensive.

 STRATEGY SEEMS TO BE ABOUT TO BE SWAPPED

UKRAINIANS SURRENDERING INCREASES

Reports from Ukraine indicate that the 4 month long Ukrainian offensive is just about over. While there may be some last ditch attempts to break the Russian defense, it appears there is no credible ability to make any serious advances.

At the same time, Russia is setting the stage for a return to the offensive by preparing the plans in the northern area. They have been systematically destroying supply routes and infrastructure of the Ukrainian army in the northern part of the conflict line. Some anticipate that this is were the Russians will begin their new offensive. British intelligence claims that the Russians plan to moving west, capturing Karkov and everything east of the Dnieper river. This is a natural dividing line of Ukraine, and it is also likely they will target capturing Odessa, the last remaining port for Ukraine and a vulnerability to Crimea.

When this is accomplished, Russia will be ready to negotiate some sort of long term arrangement.

It is also reported that this will not be a rapid blitzkrieg attack but a slow, grinding methodical progression.The increased use of Russian airpower will be more available, since Ukraine air defensivies have been seriously compromised.

It is also reported from numerous sources that the rate of surrendering Ukrainian servicemen is increasing. The Russians have instituted a radio channel specifically for anyone desiring to surrender with instructions on how to safely surrender and are promising food, shelter and medical care. They claim that over 10,000 have surrendered using this method.

It seems the Ukrainian military is made up of conscripts who are just trying to survive and those willing to fight to the end. It can be very dangerous for Ukrainians to be suspected of willing to give up as they can be imprisoned or worse. 

While this conflict may continue for months, it is clear that the present offense/defense strategy is about to switch sides and without some sort of serious intervention by NATO troops the results are very predictable.