Blog Archive

Monday, June 30, 2025

Why quick ceasefire?

 MORE FACTS ABOUT WHO WANTED CEASEFIRE

PAUSE UNTIL NEXT ROUND?


Many were surprised to watch the 12 days of Iran/US/ Israeli conflict pause in a dramatic ceasefire. Let's look at the facts by all sides to see why this happened and if it is going to be a lasting end to the conflict.

Israel initiated this conflict, supposedly because of Iran's imminent ability to make nuclear weapons. This long planned attack was actually an effort to topple the government of Iran in a massive attack on the leadership of the country. It was successful in killing many of the leadership and also many in their scientific community. It was also designed to damage their communication and control and their air defense. It was successful and there were messages and speeches encouraging the citizens to rise up and overthrow the government. It became clear in a short time that this attack actually rallied support for the government of Iran. Iran was also able within 24 hours to reestablish command and control and begin a counter offensive with missle attacks on Israel. It appears that Israel hoped that the U.S. would quickly enter into this conflict, when it appeared they were winning.  

The Trump administration has been under extreme pressure from within the United States and Israel to attack Iran. Many were claiming that the government was weak and that there was little support for the government. It was claimed that a massive attack would cause an escalating collapse within the country. A very similar assessment of what would happen to Russia in such a crisis. It appears that Trump became convinced that Israeli intelligence had a better grasp of the analysis than the U.S. intelligence community. Trump has been apprehensive about getting involved in a drawn out war in the region as it would interfere with his bigger priorities both at home and on the world stage.

Iran has refused to take the bait numerous time and only responded in a limited way to numerous Israeli attempts to bait Iran into war. All with the hope that the U.S. would be forced to destroy Iran. Finally it appears that Israel made the decision to execute their long planned effort and gave Iran no other option but to respond. Below is a map showing the effects of the Iranian response on Israel. 


Sonar21.com


At the outset Iran sent massive numbers of drones and missiles that caused Israel to use large amounts of air Defense missiles, literally Billion of dollars of missiles. It soon became clear that Israel would soon become short of the required missiles and with the ports and airports closed it would soon become difficult to replace.  After some time, the number of missiles launched by Iran was reduced, but the percentage that hit, rose. After using up their obsolete and sometimes non warhead missiles they dipped into their more effective and larger missiles. some believe that at the rate things were going Israel would be in a very difficult position in a week or ten days. It was clear what was happening when Israel banned photos and videos from being taken. That's when the idea of a ceasefire became imperative.

Trump, who initially denied involvement in the attack, then when it was so successful, claimed partnership, then when intelligence showed where things were going, was all too willing to bomb the nuclear facilities, claim victory and a ceasefire.

As for Iran, they understood that if Israel's existence became threatened it would either draw in the U.S. or even possibly cause Israel to resort to nuclear weapons. Trump also offered some sanctions relief which he has since withdrawn.

Now, we are back to square one, some claiming the need to strike again, since the first strikes were not conclusive, from Israel, the domestic opponents and neocons. Trump would probably prefer to stay out, but the pressure is again going to be enormous.  Israel probably has some plan B strategy in mind. Iran is getting support from China with weapons and they may have made headway in world public opinion.  

Most believe that a resumption of war is very likely in the near future.





Friday, June 27, 2025

"That which doesn't kill you makes you stronger", Maybe?

 ADVOCATES FOR IRAN WAR ARE REGROUPING

EFFORTS TO SUCK U.S. INTO DESTROYING IRAN WILL CONTINUE



It is clear that Trump would like very much to declare victory in the Iran conflict and move on to much more critical items in his agenda. It may be a very difficult balancing act that he will need to navigate to not be lured into an extended war in Iran.  

Israel and its supporters are already regrouping and looking for a path to restart this conflict. While their military is overstretched and there is serious damage to their infrastructure, it is clear they feel that Iran is weakened and vulnerable to attack. The restraints on Israel may be from within and also U.S. public opinion is generally not in favor of a war in Iran. Trump may need a diversion to avoid being forced to resume the Iran war.

Iran in the meantime is purging any possible Israeli agents in the country, it is reported that over 800 arrests have been made and one can expect it will be a wide and deep dragnet for Mossad agents. Iran politically, at present, has been unified and strengthened. 

An issue is now appearing about the IAEA inspectors, who it has been revealed have used their ability to monitor Iran to pass security information to the U.S. and Israel. Many are now concerned that they have lost their credibility and effectiveness everywhere in the future. Iran's reluctance to again allow monitoring will, of course, be used as an excuse to refire the war.

Russia and China will be very likely assist in rebuilding Iran's anti-aircraft defenses and also political assistance in the international forum. Iran may have increased their world public opinion due to their restraint and Israel has lost their standing due to their methods and vicious attacks on public figures.

There are several factions that desire war with Iran. First, of course, is Israel which has portrayed Iran as the source of all their misfortune. Iran has countered that by being very restrained in its reactions to Israel's attempts to lure them into a response that will gain world support. Then there are the neocons who seem to advocate any war anywhere, often motivated by increased weapons spending and possible access to resources for profit. This would include the neocolonial forces in the U.K. and France whose economies are struggling without their colonial incomes for support. As their former colonies in Africa have been pushing them out they are looking for new sources of financial gain. Of course, all these are backed by international business that will also have access to these resources. Then there are the anti-Trumpers who anticipate a prolonged war in Iran will divert him from his goals for reforming government and moving to acceptinging a more co-existential foreign policy.

While the war is on a pause, the forces advocating war are working on many fronts to force a resumption of the conflict.






Thursday, June 26, 2025

Is Israel safer now than in 2023?

 CAN ISRAEL OBTAIN PEACE BY MILITARY CONQUEST?

THEIR ROOTS SHOULD GIVE THEM THE ANSWER



Everyone understands the turning point in Israel's present policy as the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas.  The world shared their pain and their horror at what happened. The question is, are things now better due to the policies that were undertaken in reaction to that attack?

In 2023, the Abraham accords had been working to move the Arab world into normalizing relations with Israel. Saudi Arabia, a leader in that world, was about to normalize those relations with Israel. It would have been a giant step in that direction.

At the same time, Iran was in the process of improving relations with Saudi Arabia, not an alliance of Sunni, Saudi Arabia and Shia, Iran to make mischief in the region, but for the desire for economic cooperation and mutual prosperity.

At the same time Iran and Saudi Arabia were considering membership in the BRICS economic group and both would have been put under pressure to moderate their policies to be able to cooperate with the other members including Russia and China.

China was interested in massive cooperation and investment in Israel and was already a major factor in their economy.

While Iran has been labeled, the," Greatest supporter of Terrorism in the world", the label was more appropriate to be placed on Sunni, Saudi Arabia. Most all terrorist acts in Europe and the U.S. including 911, were funded by people in Saudi Arabia. Much of that changed when Mohammed bin Salman, became the de facto ruler of the Kingdom. He orchestrated a major purge of those funders of terrorism and made many reforms in the country. He is much more focused on cooperation and economic development in the region.

Hezbollah, supported by Iran, was moving to be more of a political party in Lebanon and was in fact the government in Lebanon.

Then there is Hamas, the elected government in the Gaza strip. Supported to some extent by Iran but it is unlikely that they were directly under the control of Iran. Hamas, with the changes occurring all around the region, was not in anyone's great favor and was most likely facing a future of irrelevancy. That all ended on Oct,7, 2023 with the attack on Israel. Hamas knowing the past policies of Israeli leadership may have performed yet another baiting of someone similar to the objectives of the 911 attack.

Israel's Mossad is often touted as the most effective intelligence in the world, so much so that many U.S. presidents have accepted their analysis over their own. Amazing that Hamas, could plan for year for an attack and Israeli intelligence was  caught off guard. I could go on with more, but this article is just an analysis of, Is Israel in a better position today than in 2023.

In the aftermath of this attack, Israel could not restrain its lust for revenge and kill multitudes times the number of Israelis' killed. The war on Hamas is still ongoing today, near 2 years, resulting in the death of near 60,000 people living in Gaza and insure the outrage of everyone in the region. Israel lost the greatest political opportunity in the world to gain the compassion and support of much of the world. They lost the opportunity to show their good faith and ask for the support of the world. The kind of support that could have isolated Hamas and possibly turned many to a more favorable image of Israel. The deaths in Gaza provided the excuse for Hezbollah, the Houthis and others to attack Israel. It is still going on even while Israel is declaring victory.

In contrast, Israel is now considered as the perpetrators of Genocide by much of the world, has diminished recognition by its neighbors, engaged in a perpetual attempt to insure their safety by military conflict and only by reliance on the United States and nuclear weapons is their existence insured. Economically they are declining, their population is decreasing as many are seeking to emigrate out, and it can be assumed, by the rhetoric out of Israel, it is going to continue. 

Their future cannot be insured by military might, they can be the greatest military power in the region, but still fail to survive by the costs inside, economically, politically and demographically.

I always refrain from quoting the Torah or the books of Moses in the Christian and Muslim world, but I suspect the answer to their dilemma is more there than in the faith in military might.






Wednesday, June 25, 2025

Trump has silenced the warmongers, at least for now.

 RESULTS OF ATTACK IRRELEVANT

HAS REGIME CHANGE BEEN CANCELED?



Obviously no one at this time understands what the results of the attack on Iran and the subsequent ceasefire will be in the long term. At least for now, Trump has fulfilled the desires of Netanyahu and the crowd advocating for an attack on Iran. He has fulfilled their demands and possibly kept the U.S. out of a protracted war with Iran. What has gone on behind the scenes between Iran, Russia, China and the U.S. may never be revealed, but it appears some kind of plan is in the works. 

At present, Iran, Israel and the U.S. are declaring victory. What all this means is still not very clear for the long term future of the region.

The Netanyahu plan was that an attack on Iran would inevitably require the assistance of the U.S. What transpired was that Trump watched and waited, instead of immediately joining in the attack on Iran. 12 days of nightly Iranian attacks were in fact depleting Israel's defensive ability and time was on Iran's side to cause severe damage to Israel's infrastructure and economic viability. Iran's leadership was seriously injured but it would take assistance from the U.S. for Israel to prevail in defeating Iran. The time was ripe for a ceasefire and the strike on Iran's nuclear facilities allowed Trump to declare victory and allow for an end of the hostilities, at least for now. Whether the facilities are completely destroyed, is now irrelevant, it appears there will not be any future U.S. attacks at this time.

It is no secret, that there was U.S. communications with Iran, probably through intermediaries, there was no resistance to the attack and everyone was evacuated and possibly some of its equipment. Iran communicated with the U.S. before its response attacks on U.S. bases, everyone was evacuated and no one was injured, face saving for Iran's domestic audience. Within hours a ceasefire was announced, amazing and reeks of some preconceived agreement. 

We can only assume that Iran has been given some assurances going forward. In the UN it is being debated, that according to international law, Iran has the right for peaceful use of nuclear energy, actually the same guidelines as the first agreement, between Iran and the U.S. In the future a UN vote may give the U.S. some cover to enact that agreement. We will have to see.

The reality is that Iran has been portrayed in much of the world as the victim in this affair, Israel coupled with the situation in Gaza has been seriously losing in the world public opinion and in the United States.

Israel's frustration with this long running conflict is understandable, and it is hoped some kind of better situation can be attained. New leadership in Israel may be the opportunity to seek real solutions for the long term, obviously the current path will most likely bring about the demise of the Israel experiment, as protracted war is unsustainable, economically, politically and militarily.







Tuesday, June 24, 2025

Declaring Victory and moving on?

 IS THIS CEASEFIRE REAL?

OR KABUKI THEATER


In an amazing turn of events, at least a pause in the Iran/Israel/U.S. war is underway. Yesterday, Iran, after informing the U.S. of it intentions, fired missiles at U.S. bases, without much reported damage.Then a ceasefire is reported to go into effect in the coming days. We will have wait to see what is really going on.

Iran has ministers in Russia for consultation and we can expect the behind the scenes conversations have been going on, what exactly is happening is anyone's guess.

It is now widely accepted that the U.S. attack on the nuclear facilities had unverified and less than a decimating effect. It seems that some now want to declare victory and move on. 

Of course, Iran has suffered serious damage to its leadership and Israel has been subjected to 12 days of daily attacks with significant damage to its infrastructure and its ability to run its economy. There is also an exodus of citizens out of the country. It is also reported that its air defenses are in critical need of restocking. If this ceasefire holds, it will allow Israel to resupply, and Iran to receive aid from Russia and China.

Is this the end, or just a pause in preparation for the next round?

There is just too many unknowns to be able to really understand what is going on behind the scenes. 

While Iran has not blocked the straits of Hormuz, it is reported that traffic has been severely slowed, by a combination of Tanker owners being apprehensive about moving in the region, insurance costs dramatically increasing and it will take some time to be brought back to normal under the best of conditions.

While there may be a ceasefire and talk of negotiations, have the demands of no nuclear facilities for Iran and total disarmament changed? Are the advocates for Regime change now being suppressed? Has anything really changed from 2 weeks ago, or is it just a performance to satisfy the desires of all temporarily?

 

Monday, June 23, 2025

Trump, "Time for Peace"?

 IS IT THE END OR JUST THE BEGINNING?

CONSEQUENCES WILL BE WIDE AND LONG LASTING


While the western world celebrates the beginning of the latest war in the middle east, the results of the many precedents set by this project will be long lasting. The war is far from being about Nuclear weapons, just as the war in Iraq was not about "Weapons of Mass destruction" it is just the cover for a far more complicated world conflict.

While many anticipate Iran to strike U.S. forces, it is most likely they will not, at least not for now.  They will concentrate on taking apart Israel piece by piece and making Israel a very unfriendly place to live. It is going to be a war of attrition. While ultimately Iran may lose this conflict, it is likely they will both be ultimate losers. Israel does not have a bright future.

The goal is not the end of Iran nuclear industry, if that was the case, the Iranians had accepted a workable agreement that would have insured no nuclear weapons in exchange for a more normalized relations. The goal  is regime change, the biggest regime change plan, except for Russia and eventually China. In fact, overthrowing and controlling Iran will be considered a huge win against Russia and China. Israel's goal is dominate military power over the entire middle-east as it is the only nuclear power. It also desires for expansion in Gaza, the west bank, parts of Syria and Jordan.

The only ones who seem to not understand this reality is, as usual, most Americans, who accept their governments claims of Sainthood and the promotion of Democracy and fair play around the world.

The precedent that have been set by this whole Iran tragedy is that the United States credibility, which was not too great to begin with, may have been permanently destroyed. No one will enter into negotiations with the U.S. after watching the duplicity and deceit that was displayed in the Iranian negotiations. The negotiations were a scam, never meant to be consummated. The world was watching.

The unspoken rule about assassination of the leadership of another country, is now gone. Politicians and leaders of any government, including the U.S., are now going to be considered fair game.

We can expect that the much touted trade agreement with China will never be fulfilled. China would be a fool to provide any strategic rare earth products used for U.S. arms manufacturing, that ultimately will  be used against them. 

Russia will never enter into serious negotiations with the U.S. after watching what happened to themselves and to Iran while negotiations were in progress.

The policy of smuggling drones into a country for an attack can be perpetrated against any country on earth, including the United States, by countries, groups and individuals.

India has refused to come for a meeting with the White house.

Japan has cancelled negotiations with U.S. after the U.S. tried to force them to dramatically increase their defense spending, by buying weapons from the United States and in effect, provoking China.

At one time, the United States was considered the Light upon a hill. An example to be envied by much of the world. A reputation of fair play and cooperation. As the world has prospered and many counties have become wealthy, the U.S., which has lost much of the source of its prosperity, a huge manufacturing base, has attempted keep its top role in the world by intimidation and threats, attempting to damage the economies of competitors or if necessary and ultimately, brut force.  And even neo-colonialism, does anyone ask who if receiving the benefits of Iraqi, Syrian and Libyan oil revenues?

It has made enemies where there were no enemies and anyone who does not submit is labeled an enemy and subjected to propaganda and demonization.  

Donald Trump promised a new policy, ending the endless wars and embracing a policy of mutual respect and cooperation, many saw hope in negotiations with both Russia and Iran, but he engaged in duplicity and deceit and the possibilities of future negotiations with anyone are dead. Violent confrontation is all that is left.

Rather than accepting the new reality in world affairs and seeking cooperation and coexistence, It seems the U.S. policy is on an unsustainable attempt to rule the world by force, a policy that has always ended in tragic results.




Saturday, June 21, 2025

Trump not the only one trapped.

 NETANYAHU NOW CAUGHT IN A DEADLY SQUEEZE

INTERFERING IN OTHERS DOMESTIC POLITICS CAN BE DANGEROUS


Several weeks ago there was speculation that Benjamin Netanyahu had enough influence in the United States Senate to hinder the passage of Trump's budget bill. At the same time there was enormous pressure from inside the United States for the U.S. to attack Iran. A venture that was equally resisted by Trump's base of support. A support that has, in the last week, become possibly critical for Trump's future as president.

This attack that Israel undertook 9 days ago was most likely taken with Trump's awareness, but was not with a feeling of confidence in it's outcome. We watched as Israel, by covertly smuggling drones and saboteurs into Iran was able to kill much of the Iranian leadership, also able to damage Iran's defenses. Within days Israel was stating that there was now an open corridor into Iran, a message to the U.S. that it was now all clear for the U.S. to take out the nuclear facilities. This may have been the plan to start the destruction of Iran, that Israel is incapable of carrying out on its own.

There is now questions about how clear this airspace is, Iran has reported that they have taken down 5 F35's. Israel claims they have not lost any planes, some may question that. There are also reports that most of Israel's attacks are being accomplished with standoff attacks often outside of Iranian airspace. I suspect that U.S. intelligence has a clear picture of the situation. The plan was for an immediate U.S. attack on the nuclear facilities, Trump is talking about 2 weeks. Can Israel absorb daily hits to its infrastructure for another 2 weeks? It has lost 2 of its 3 refineries, only 1 airport is functioning and its main harbor has had severe damage. Israel has shut down much of reporting from inside and has banned the exit of citizens from the country. It is also running low on defensive missiles.

Politically, Netanyahu won a no confidence vote by only 2 votes only days before this attack. Israel is not winning with world public opinion. This attack has broken numerous UN rules and laws. At the same time, it appears a U.S. attack will indeed trigger a serious response from Iran that will plunge the U.S. into a prolonged and daily escalating conflict that will end the effectiveness of the Trump presidency. Netanyahu has been advocating for an attack on Iran for 30 years. It has always been that Iran was within weeks of a nuclear weapon. It may true, but crying wolf for 30 years has consequences. An attack on Iran by Bush 2 was rejected because the cost benefit analysis was very bad. Same for Obama, same for Trump first term, same for even Biden, I expect that an objective analysis is the same, the costs to the U.S. and world far exceed the benefits.

Will Israel now orchestrate an attack on U.S. bases and blame it on Iran, a deadly serious and risky operation with much of the world now focused on the activities in the region? Is it possible to now pass the budget bill quickly as an incentive for Trump to take action? 

Every day that goes by adds to the decimation of Israel. It also raises the possibility of more desperate actions that will end in more death and destruction. Many claim that Iran has been planning for just such a situation since 2003 and will not surrender or go down without a fight. 

A very precarious situation for Israel and for the U.S. 




Friday, June 20, 2025

Trump trapped, No way out.

 CONFLICT IS LIKELY TO LAST FOR THE REST OF HIS PRESIDENCY

BOOTS ON THE GROUND MAY BE INEVITABLE



While many seem to believe that the Iran invasion has been successful and that Iran has no choice but to surrender, recent mid-east history should be a window into where this going. We can all remember Bush 2 declaring "mission accomplished" after a week of the Iraq war that lasted many months and years after that. 

So, Trump has declared that he will decide within 2 weeks how to proceed in this war, that he has now become at least part owner of all that is to come. The present decision is whether to bomb Iran's nuclear sites, a mission that will need to be accomplished by U.S. troops. This will then become a war with Iran and the U.S. with all the that goes with it. If this war is about ending Iran's nuclear program then he really has no choice in this decision. 

While the euphoria of Israel's success continues in the media, the fact remains that every night Iran is able to do some damage to Israel. The number of missiles incoming is declining, but the success percentage is increasing and many believe that Iran used many of its dummy and inferior missiles to deplete Israel's defenses. If this continues, Trump will be lobbied to come to the aid of Israel by U.S. direct military action. Israel has sustained over $500 billion in infrastructure damage, a lot for small country. At present, all filming is being restricted in an attempt to make much of this damage deniable.  Trump will be forced to come to the direct aid of Israel. It is also reported that many Israelis of means are exiting by any way possible, mostly by way of the Mediterranean by boat.

Again the stated goal is to destroy Iran's nuclear capability, it is being debated if this is even possible, even with the much touted bunker busting bombs.  If unsuccessful, only ground action will be able to accomplish this goal. 

While this is the stated goal, the goal really is the "Libyan Plan" a process of disarming Iran either by submission or military action then making Iran a wasteland similar to what has become of Libya, once the most prosperous country in Africa. This and the handing over to western interests its oil resources as reparations. Iran knows this and will not take that route.

Then there is the growing complications internationally. Pakistan and the 6 gulf countries has refused to grant its territory as bases or air for war against Iran. Many of those bases are being evacuated by the U.S. This will force the U.S. to take action by predictable paths making them more vulnerable.

China has now moved surveillance ships into the Persian gulf to assist Iran with surveillance and targeting information. It is also reported that Chinese planes are in the process of steady flights of unknown equipment into Iran. The Chinese and Egypt have also been communicating and some believe that Iran may strike the Suez canal to hinder traffic through the canal. Both the U.S. and Israel have been warned by Pakistan and Russia that the use of nuclear weapons by Israel or the U.S. will trigger a response. A long drawn out conflict will look like Ukraine in reverse.

No action by Trump may now be politically impossible and any action will result in an dramatic escalation with the loss of life and destruction increasing by many multiples. A typical trap that seems to be a pattern that has made war impossible to avoid.




Thursday, June 19, 2025

While the U.S. engages in war, the rest of the world moves on.

 136 COUNTRIES MEET TO TALK ABOUT  ECONOMIC COOPERATION AND PROSPERITY

2025 ST. PETERSBURG INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC FORUM


Yesterday, most of the western world was watching the Iran war and the speculation concerning this war. It is concluded that the U.S. and Israel have complete control of the skies and can attack Iran anywhere at anytime. It is now expected that the U.S. will enter this conflict and use its sophisticated weapons to destroy Iran's nuclear facilities. Yesterday Iran was only able to hit only 4 targets in Israel, it is expected that the worst is now over. 

It is still anticipated that the Iranian people, who are now enraptured with a new love for Israel and the United States, will soon complete the overthrow of the existing government and welcome back the descendants of the last Shah of Iran. We will have to see how all this works out.

In the meantime, Russia is hosting the 2025 St. Petersburg economic forum. It is being attended by 22,000 participants representing 136 countries. There are 193 nations that are members of the United Nations. While mentioning all this will most likely deserve the label of a Russian apologist or an anti-Israel advocate, I as an American believe the it is important for all Americans to see what is going on outside of the orchestrated media narrative.

I suppose all those 136 counties will soon be labeled enemies of the United States and rebels against the "rules based order". The reality is most of the world does not want to damage or destroy the United States, but it is mostly advocating a peaceful divorce from its abusive partner. While the United States continues to seek out dragons to slay, at an enormous cost and financed with borrowed money, the majority of the world is hoping for a new economic reality guided by mutual cooperation and prosperity. While they would like to do business with all of the world, they realize that may be far better off just confining their business with those that share their hope for mutual prosperity.

Yesterday during Tucker Carlson's interview with Ted Cruz, Cruz made it clear that the U.S. opposed Russia selling oil to the EU mostly because Russia was increasing their prosperity from the exchange. The fact that Europe was also prospering was irrelevant, Russian prosperity must be hindered in any way possible, very enlightening.  Even blowing up the joint Russian EU pipeline project was justified as long as it hindered Russia.

So now we see Russia selling their oil to the other parts of the world, the non important, and even Japan, who will now be a target of proposed senate sanctions.

If Americans could understand and observe that the last 30 years of regime change and a policy of death and destruction in an effort to sustain the unsustainable attempt to rule the world by threats, intimidation and war are a losing battle. A losing policy for the United States and if taken to its end result a losing battle for the world.








Wednesday, June 18, 2025

Trump, from peacemaker to Netanyahu clone.

 DIRE FUTURE FOR TRUMP AND ISRAEL

SHORT TERM EUPHORIA WILL BE SHORT LIVED



The combined forces of the U.S. and Israel can destroy Iran as a viable country, but unconditional surrender is very unlikely. We will most likely be in for years if not decades of conflict just in the middle east. Military victory will not secure peace, but most likely will add to the isolation of the U.S. and Israel for the foreseeable future.

While the long term goal of Netanyahu can be reached, the future of Israel as a viable country is in doubt. Will the population decline, as the young and talented leave? Will Israel have any stable economic relationships in the future? If Iran is eliminated, will it solve the Palestinian problem? Will the final solution for the Palestinians be the ultimate solution? Who will be the next enemy to be eliminated, Turkey or Egypt, whose populations are outraged? The hopes of the Abraham accords are dead, because emotion and lust for vengeance has overridden any rational policy.  

As for Trump, he has destroyed his credibility as a negotiator for peace and coexistence, his only alternative left will be brute force, just another extension of the last 30 years of foreign policy. The world now knows, that the objective is still submission or death and destruction. 

We can expect the fence sitters in the non western world, 80% of the world's population, to now understand the realities of the West, hoping to sustain their ultimate control of the planet. It will be submission, never coexistence and cooperation.

The opposition will avoid war at all costs, but the resistance will be subtle and earthshaking at the same time. A slow and steady degradation of economic and political power, the seeds which have been sown for decade by hubris, irresponsible economic policy and the failure to respect anyone, but their own desires for power. Time alone will allow the self destruction from within to become reality. A bigger defense budget will not insure survival.

The question is not the inevitable decline, but will the lashing out in despair take the world down, rather than accept that the past power is no longer sustainable. 



Tuesday, June 17, 2025

U.S. prepares to enter war.

 GLOBAL WAR RISK INTENSIFIES

END OF NEGOTIATIONS



The U.S. is rushing several carrier groups to the Persian gulf and aerial refueling planes are in route to Europe. It is clear that the U.S. is about to join in the destruction of Iran. While many cheer today, the repercussions are going to be long lasting and now lessen the chances of any negotiated settlement anywhere. It is now clear that the U.S. policy of death and destruction is alive and thriving. 

Yesterday, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, UAE, Bahrain and Kuwait, announced their neutrality and forbade the use of U.S.bases to be used for attacks on Iran. This will limit U.S. forces to operate from aircraft carriers and from Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean, hence the need for refueling planes. Whether they will be able to use airspace over Turkey is still not clear.

At present, there are 3 tankers burning near the straits of Hormuz after collisions and there are multiple reports of navigational GPS signals being scrambled.

The U.S. state department has cancelled furthur diplomatic talks with Russia.

Israel has blocked live videos for Haifa and other sites. 

The introduction of assassination of political leaders and professors and civilian scientists is now to become much more common, as this precedent has now been put in motion. No country will now be immune for such attacks.

We can now expect that China will restrict the export of all critical materials to western countries. This may also be spread to other suppliers of critical materials. It will be done quietly, but it can be expected. The cessation of trade from China may become a real possibility. We may soon find out who is dependent on Chinese trade.

There may be massive liquidation of U.S. treasury's. 

One would expect that Russia will be on high alert for a preemptive strike by western powers and visa-versa, the chance of nuclear confrontation is now at the highest level in history. We are now entering the uncharted waters of who will want to use a pre-emptive strike first.

The world is on the edge of catastrophe and it seems there is no turning back.




Monday, June 16, 2025

Spreading of WAR inevitable.

 U.S. CAN BE EXPECTED TO COME TO ISRAEL'S RESCUE

OTHERS IN REGION WILL AID IRAN



While this seems to be an intense war in progress, it is most likely just the beginning. Make no mistake, the goal of Israel's leadership has been openly calling for the "Libyan Plan" concerning Iran.  This was the hope to disarm Iran and then subvert and ultimately reduce the country into a chaotic and ineffective country. So far, Israel has been effective at starting that process, but one can be sure that Iran and its citizens know that it is in a existential fight for its existence. This war is going to get much worse and bring in more players. I do not expect anyone to attempt ground operations into Iran, as this will bring on calls from the entire Islamic world for fighters and resistance.

I suspect that this plan by Israel is going near as expected and its goal is to draw the U.S. into this fight. There will be overwhelming pressure within the U.S. to save Israel. At the same time Iran's neighbors will be under immense internal pressure to aid Iran. Even though Iran is not that popular with many in the region, they also understand that they will also be in peril in the future. We can expect demonstrations and rioting in Jordon and Egypt by the population. We should expect attacks on U.S. bases, even if secretly by Israel, to being the U.S. into the war.

Pakistan has indicated that if Israel uses nuclear weapons they will respond in kind. 

Turkey, not a fan of Israel, will use any opportunity to damage Israel and add to its position in the region.

This war may be the most unifying action for the Islamic world since the crusades.

Then there is the other hidden agenda of attempting to weaken the BRICS group's economic plans for the future. Iran is a pivotal geographic player in the silk road and the hope of avoiding sea lane commerce in the future. 

China, Russia, India and others do not want a devastated and unstable Iran. It is very likely they will give Iran material support and even weapons support. It is not about ideology it is about economic plans for the future.

There are reports that China is already sending support to Iran and they have access through Afghanistan. 

Then on the ground in Israel, they are using up their defensive missiles at a staggering rate. Their defenses have been doing well, but can they maintain a weeks or months long assault. Drones and even unarmed missiles will require a response and Iran may be holding back its most advanced and effective weapons until Israel starts to move defenses around to protect priority locations.

This is not about Iranian nuclear weapons, it is ultimately about control of mideast oil and the effort disrupt the move by much of the world to an alternative economic system. Control rather than co-existance and cooperation. It is a southern version of the Ukraine conflict. It is unlikely that it can be stopped, we can only hope for the best that this will not escalate into the ultimate end of civilization.


Saturday, June 14, 2025

Common planners of Russian and Iranian attacks.

 NO COINCIDENCE THAT BOTH ATTACKS HAVE SAME DESIGN AND AGENDA

TRUMP NOT IN CONTROL, OR INEPTLY DEVIOUS


It is interesting that in the last 2 weeks we have seen two events with common themes. Drones smuggled into both Russia and Iran, then simultaneously activated causing massive damage to both countries. Both done while in the midst of negotiations and within days of the next meetings. Then the narrative is that both Russia and Iran should now cave to the demands of the negotiators. In both cases, the demands are surrender.  In both cases, it will more likely result in an escalation of violence and possibly WW3. Is this just someones delusional hopes or is the goal WW3.

Then the other coincidence is that both the Ukraine war and now the Iran war had similar objectives.  Cause a great strain in the political leadership and then the regimes will crumble and a new regime that is willing to submit is placed in power. So far, the Russian plan has not worked out, after 3 years, Russia is still standing and is at this point dominating, both economically and militarily. In fact, the NATO countries are struggling to find a way out with honor.

In the new war with Iran, it is clear that the hope is that the existing government will cave or be overthrown. That may be the case, but if this becomes a drawn out and long lasting war, all bets are off. Trump will have been trapped into entering this war on the side of Israel, no matter the cost. You can also expect that both Russia and China will provide massive material support to Iran. It could very likely become a copy of the Ukraine conflict in reverse. The advocates for nuclear weapons in Iran may now convince opponents that only nuclear weapons can secure real defense in today's world. A very tangled web that can very easily expand to WW3.

Has Trump been playing the good cop, bad cop strategy. He is the good cop and the EU and Netanyahu are the bad cops. I suspect that his strategy is now over.

Trump as a negotiator with opponents is now most likely dead. He is either been devious in his negotiations or is no longer in control of U.S. foreign policy. Either way his credibility is destroyed with all negotiations, both concerning war or trade. This may have been the goal of the entrenched bureaucracy, that has fashioned U.S. foreign policy for the last 30 years. The policy of death and destruction.

It may now be evident to all the U.S. adversaries and new potential adversaries, which there may be many, that all negotiations are fruitless. The only options are submission and death or victory. This will be apparent to Russia and China, the biggest prizes in the regime change policy of world domination. 





Friday, June 13, 2025

Israel attacks Iran.

 IRANIAN MILITARY LEADERS AND SCIENTISTS KILLED

SHORT TERM VICTORY WITH LONG TERM CONSEQUENCES


In the last 12 hours Israel has attacked Iran's military leadership and some of its nuclear facilities. It is expected that more attacks will follow. So far, Iran has only launched some Drones in the direction of Israel, often just a means of identifying defensive positions for more serious retaliation from missiles.

The U.S. has denied involvement, which will be evident in the coming day, if true.

So far, it appears Israel's raid has been successful with limited casualties on the Israeli side.

Some believe such an attack can cause the overthrow of the present government in Iran, or it may just harden or confirm the support of the Iranian people, we will have to wait and see.

Iran has the ability to do extensive damage to Israel, the question may be that world public opinion, that Israel is increasingly out of control, may be more damaging than a Iranian counter attack.

Most of the Leaders in the region have condemned the attack and it can be expected that in the long run, the opposition to Israel will be hardened. 

The reality is that Iran is large country with near a 100 million population. It is well educated and has been in existence for 5000 years. One can expect that the possibility of a nuclear armed Iran will now be a certainty. In the modern world, only nuclear armed countries seem be able to avoid attacks.

A full scale response by Iran can be devastating and no one should believe that Israel will hesitate to use nuclear weapons if its survival is in doubt.

Very early in this story, we can expect repercussions around the world.





Thursday, June 12, 2025

Iran war imminent, or more psych-ops.

 TRUMP EVACUATES MIDEAST EMBASSIES AND CIVILIANS

IRAN TARGETS U.S. BASES AND ISRAEL'S NUKES



Increased threats from Iran and Israel indicates war is imminent. Iran has refused to commit to give up its nuclear industry that provides power for electric and desalination plants. Earlier Iran and the U.S. has agreed to limit nuclear enrichment to limits for domestic energy. Russia had agreed to take possession of any highly enriched Uranium and an inspection policy was agreed to. Then at the insistence of Benjamin Netanyahu, the goal was raised to a total ban on any nuclear production. This led to a total rejection by Iran and has now set off another indication of an imminent attack by Israel. An attack that would be impossible without U.S. backup.

Iran and the U.S. are supposed to meet on Sunday in Oman for another round of talks, there is speculation that the evacuations and threats are another attempt to intimidate Iran to agree to a total ban, an unlikely possibility, as it would make Iran dependent on foreign powers for their resources.

Iran has indicated that any attack will result in a response by Iran against the bases of the U.S. and also targeting Israel nuclear facilities and nuclear weapons storage sites. Is does seem that Iran has the capability to cause severe damage to both.

An Iran war will have serious economic and political consequences for the world. A likely huge increase in oil prices, the possibility of other powers in the region becoming participants and the possibility that both Russia and China will intervene, if Iran's destruction becomes imminent.

There is also the possibility for serious if not existential damage to Israel. Iran is not Iraq of 1980, it has far more capability to launch a devastating counter offensive, that may overwhelm Israel's much touted air defenses. No one can predict the result of this possible war with Iran.

Trump has been trying to avoid this crisis, but it seems both the leadership of Israel and many of its supporters in the U.S. congress want a devastating attack on Iran, no matter the outcome, it will have a negative effect on the world.





Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Ukraine conflict end, key to solving most problems.

 SOLUTIONS TO MUTIPLE CRISIS DEPENDENT ON UKRAINE SOLUTION

PERMANENT RESOLUTION NEEDED


Today we have multiple crisis underway, everything from war in the middle east, economic collapse of the western countries and a new emerging alternative economic system. Too many difficult problems to address at one time.

In reality, the easiest situation to solve is the Ukraine problem. The solution has been there for years, but it is a solution that NATO will not accept. Ukraine, Georgia and other border countries with Russia cannot peacefully be incorporated into NATO, just like the U.S. would never accept a competitors military alliance in Canada or Mexico. This should not be difficult to understand, yet it seems denial and hypocrisy and hubris is overwhelming rational thinking in NATO countries. This coupled with the covetnesses for Russian resources has put the world on the edge of WW3 and complicated all the other crisis around the world.

The sooner this situation is resolved, the sooner cooperation by the west with Russia and others can focus on reasonable solutions for all these pressing problems. 

As this conflict continues, what was an easy situation has now become much more difficult. Russia is not going to return those areas with a predominate Russian population back to Ukraine, nor will they accept a NATO presence in Ukraine. While this a hard pill for those who put all their chips on this project, it is the reality.

Then there is the reality that prolonged warfare has created a future of economic crisis for the U.S. and other NATO countries. Much of the accumulated national debt of the U.S. is directly attributed to over 30 years of endless war. The sanctions involved in the Ukraine conflict has caused serious erosion of the economic situation in all of Europe and much of the world. Then there is the reality that Ukraine cannot win this conflict unless NATO is ready to usher in WW3. with all the consequences. 

The narrative that Russia wants to occupy Poland and the Baltic countries and then Germany and France is a ridiculous narrative, There is nothing these countries have that Russia needs or wants. Russia is motivated by national security on their western border, a historical reality for centuries. Most of the invasions, including the German invasion of WW2 were motivated by those coveting the resources of Russia not the other way around. 

While this situation is now much more difficult than a neutral Ukraine 10 years ago, it will require some humility and a return to reality to save the world from further disaster.





Tuesday, June 10, 2025

Democrats all in on open borders, huge political error.

 DEMOCRATS GIVE TRUMP MASSIVE POLITICAL OPPORTUNITY

IS THIS THEIR POLICY CENTER PIECE?



Six months since the last election and Democrats are still wandering in the wilderness in a search for political relevance. For 8 years they staked their fortune on anti-Trump positions and now they have yet to find any meaningful policy that resonates with the American people. If they are willing to stake their political future on supporting illegal immigration, they are destined for a dismal future. That battle has been fought and they have lost. 

They are also opposing all attempts to cut off medicaid for those not eligible, particularly illegal immigrants.  That and other social benefits that should be reserved for citizens and legal residents.

They have abandoned their traditional anti-war positions and now may be more pro-war than the Republicans. Even supporting huge increases in defense spending without any accountability.

Of course, they still oppose any budget reductions, as do many Republican's, even with a $2 trillion deficit and $37 Trillion in debt. 

I am not aware of any positive policies that they stand for, only more anti Trump. If he is for it, they are against it. More of the same polices of the last 8 years. 

While they have backed off of some of the woke agenda, I suspect that it is still brewing in the background. If they could, they would be pushing it as before.

So now it is opposition to deporting any illegal immigrants, even with lengthy criminal records, a loser position both politically and morally. 

Now, with protests and riots reminiscent of their last focus on destroying police and law and order, they have gone all in on this new effort to discredit Trump. A gift for Trump, who must have been awake at night hoping for the Democrats to take this position, they just cant help themselves in not opposing anything Trump. 

Trump will do all that is necessary in protecting ICE, border patrol, and federal buildings, it seems democrats will reflexively oppose him at every turn. 




Monday, June 9, 2025

Trump ends silence on Triad attack.

 DENIES KNOWLEDGE, CONDEMNS UKRAINES ACTIONS

U.S. CAN NO LONGER BE TIED UP IN UKRAINE


Over the weekend, Trump finally made a statement on the Ukrainian attack on Russia's nuclear deterrent. He claims he had no knowledge and condemned the action. He also stated that he understood Russia's retaliation. While this does add some clarification, it does not end the suspicion that U.S. intelligence was involved, possibly without White House knowledge. Some claim that it was assisted by U.K. intelligence.

The massive retaliation against Ukraine continued over the weekend and some believe any attacks on hotels or apartment buildings were attacks on NATO personnel, who often are housed in those facilities.

Meanwhile Zelenskiy is refusing to take possession of the 6000, deceased Ukrainian soldiers that Russia wants to hand over to Ukraine. It seems there is also a question if Ukraine is going to accept the over 1000 critically wounded and underage POW'S currently held by Russia. Maybe some deal could be struck for the UK and France and other NATO members to take them as a humanitarian gesture. They are ready to escalate the war, resulting in these dead and wounded, maybe they need to take some responsibility for the results of their support.

In a a nationwide speech in Tehran, Khamenei clearly stated that Iran will not be forced to give up its ability to enrich Uranium for energy and scientific purposes. That Iran will not accept dependence and it ability to be self reliant. No one expected that the recent demands to force total elimination of nuclear enrichment, even for peaceful purposes, would be accepted by Iran. The calls for an attack on Iran will now be expected to be increased. Russia has volunteered to help negotiate and join in supervising the inspection of nuclear facilities.

We continually hear about the majority of U.S. Senators want an attack on Iran and escalation with the war with Russia. Of course, they all want Trump to make that decision. Maybe its time for Trump to look to the constitutional mandate that war is to be declared by congress. If they want war, they should vote for war, not hope someone else takes the blame when it all goes to hell. If they want war, they should go on the record and vote for war.



 

Friday, June 6, 2025

Attack on Russia's nuclear deterrent requires severe retaliation.

 RUSSIAN DOCTRINE, ATTACK ON DETERRENT SAME AS NUCLEAR WAR

PUTIN IS WAITING FOR TRUMP'S CLARIFICATION



According to Russia's nuclear doctrine any attack on their nuclear deterrent is to be considered an attempt to weaken their response in a nuclear war, it requires a nuclear response. Putin made this clear in his conversation with Trump, but said, at this time, Russia is considering this attack as a  terrorist attack. This will be the case until he hears a clarification from Trump on the U.S. position or participation in this attack. Silence will most likely confirm that Trump and the U.S. participated and approved of this attack.

Most analysts believe that this attack was coordinated with Ukrainian actors, MI6 the CIA and possibly other intelligence agencies.

The question remains, did Trump know and approve, or was this attack done without his knowledge. If he approved, he will be on notice that any such attack in the future will be responded to as a nuclear attack. If he did not know, then there is deep trouble internally in the U.S., something that is already evident.

Considering Lindsey Graham's bluster in Kiev this weekend and some remarks by Trump, that if it was not for him, some bad things will happen to Russia, I expect somebody in the Trump administration knew about this.

As for now, we can expect a severe response on Ukraine, most likely a response far above what has been in the past. Russia has not yet attacked the bridges over the Dnieper or government buildings in Kiev. By declaring the Kiev government a terrorist government, Russia will consider those targets fair game. 

We can expect Trump will be notified by Russia as to their decision, although we will never hear of it. 

While Russia publicly considers Trump's efforts sincere, privately he is suspected of double dealing with Putin. a stupid good cop, bad cop attempt. If this is true, he will be in the same category with Starmer, Macron and the other NATO leaders. While negotiations will continue, his word will indeed be worthless, both with Russia and all those observing. While this may be the intent of those in the U.S. and NATO to undermine Trump, only actions by Trump can clarify what is true.

Trump may have a very small window to change this view.





Thursday, June 5, 2025

China and BRICS big winner from Ukraine war.

 MOVE TO ALTERNATIVE ECONOMIC SYSTEM ACCELERATES

EUROPE DESTINED TO DECLINE



While the U.S. and Europe continues to escalate the Ukraine conflict, the rest of the world is being convinced that a new and separate economic system is inevitable. This system is hoping to still cooperate with the west's dominated system, but no longer be abused and controlled.

The use of economic sanctions and the latest proposal to not only sanction Russia, but anyone who does business with Russia, will hasten and convince more nations to look to this new system. While all these sanctions are supposed to isolate Russia they are increasingly isolating the west. While the U.S. and Europe are big markets, there is a whole new growling global market that would like very much to get out from under the thumb of the existing system. A system that is now a negative foreign policy competing with a positive economic policy of Russia and China and the other BRICS members.

The existing system has morphed into a increasingly negative policy of sanctions, threats and punishment, not only with other countries but as for Europe even at home. China and the BRICS group have focused on mutual economic development and prosperity by building mutual beneficial economic enterprises. Increasing prosperity in Africa has then opened more markets for China and will allow them to replace difficult markets in the west. 

An example is in Ethiopia, a pivotal country with over 100 million, China has built a new modern port and then a series of textile manufacturing plants that has put many Ethiopian women to work manufacturing textile plants. They are increasing their standard of living and then providing a market for other Chinese goods. Africa is steadily moving away from their neocolonial rulers like France and looking for a better deal from other BRICS members. This is happening all over the emerging world.

In Europe we see increasing desperation, lack of resources, political turmoil that is increasing, increasingly moving toward an authoritarian policy, currency controls to stem the flight of money out of the region. They are on a path to decline and failure.

The U.S, has more options, but many of the same problems, only a reversal of the policy of negative sanctions and threats and a realization that the dominance of the west is ending. A realization and a shift to a positive era of economic respect and cooperation with the rest of the world will allow its many advantages to result in increased prosperity and peace. 




Wednesday, June 4, 2025

Ukraine's desperation, Trump's deafening silence.

 RUSSIA, STILL NO RETALIATION

IS THIS THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM?



We have seen attacks deep into Russia, most likely a suicide mission by the personeel on the ground. We also see another attack on the Kursk bridge in Crimea and other bridges in Russia's borderland. So far, no military response from Russia, no clarification about who is running U.S. foreign policy, by Trump. Meanwhile, no ceasefire agreement from Russia, there will not be one, just the same steady eastward advance day after day.

We see Hegseth is not attending the big meeting in Brussels about Ukraine's need for more support, but will attend the NATO meeting on Thursday. Some clarification by the Trump administration is needed, silence will indicate he is no longer in charge of U.S. foreign policy, but most likely the same actors who have running the world for the last 3 decades. If that is the case, prepare for war.

We see dramatic declarations by Starmer in the UK that they are preparing for war. raising the army numbers form 74,000, to 76,000, a couple months worth of casualties in Ukraine. Expanding the youth or children corps by 30%, I suspect parents are standing in line to sign up their kids. This coupled with a list of new submarines, laser weapons and robots planned for the future, no mention of how the funding is going to be arranged. It appears to be the same kind of EU bluster that is all contingent on sucking the U.S. into a expanded war in Europe. A war that neither the EU or the U.S. is economically and politically capable of fighting. No matter, Russia needs to be beaten at any cost. 

The big NATO meeting is Thursday and it will be interesting to hear the same proclamations of supporting Ukraine for as long as it takes, much longer than originally expected. Calls for Ukraine in NATO and all the rest. all hoping for a miracle to turn to tide. 

How about retuning to reality and starting a conversation about co-existance and cooperation in moves toward peace. Russia seeks divorce, not conquest of Europe, Russia has no need for anything in Europe, just assurances that they no longer hope to dismember their country and make Russia a resource colony. 






 

Tuesday, June 3, 2025

Ukraine's euphoria will be short lived.

 A WELL COORDINATED AND EXECUTED PLAN 

WILL NOT AFFECT OUTCOME OF CONFLICT



Over the weekend Ukraine was able to inflict serious losses on Russia's strategic bomber fleet. A fleet the must be parked on open runway's as per international nuclear arms treaty. This provision was agreed to by both the United States and Russia so that everyone could know where these planes are by satellite and other surveillance means. It can be assumed that the United States provided that satellite information to Ukraine.

While a lose to Russia, these planes are a strategic part of their nuclear triad, Planes, submarines and ICBM's. They will have little effect on the war in Ukraine, unless it goes nuclear. One must wonder if this is a pre-emptive strike by NATO in anticipating that possibility.

Some seem to delusionally believe that Russia will now agree to a ceasefire and give up this conflict. It will not, and probably is now more hardened in their belief that only surrender by Ukraine will be acceptable. While talks will continue, there will not be a ceasefire that will rescue the Ukrainians on the ground. 

In reality this conflict has, up to now, been a limited operation by Russia. They have not declared war or actually went to an all out war footing. There is much pressure on Putin, by the Russian military and other political leaders to get this over with, rather than a long drawn out incremental conflict. So far, Putin has prevailed, hoping that sooner or later NATO will find that they cannot continue this drain on their economies and political will. NATO still believes the same will apply to Russia, except that Russia knows this conflict is an existential threat to their existence and will continue, no matter how severe the consequences.

At the same time China, presently a bystander, knows that after Russia, they are next on the menu. Their fate is now strategically tied to Russia's. The same goes for Iran and many more of the countries not part of NATO. 

This is what the prelude to global war looks like.






Monday, June 2, 2025

Trump foreign policy, Duplicity or Sabotage?

 TRUMP'S FOREIGN POLICY IS ON LIFE SUPPORT

ONLY ACTION CAN SAVE IT



Just 2 weeks ago it seemed that Trump had succeeded in lowering the risk of WW3. A lot has happened in the last week to again move the world closer to the brink of global war. Some has to do with Trump's own doing by his failing to articulate a consistent message and then the reality of his words not matching actions by U.S. military and intelligence agencies.

Last week after Ukraine sent near 2000 drones into Russia including an incident with Putin's helicopter, Trump labeled Putin crazy for his response on Ukrainian drone sites and possibly U.S. and NATO personnel operating in Ukraine. When asked about the incident, concerning Putin's helicopter, Trump claimed to have no knowledge about the incident. This immediately raised red flags everywhere, that either Trump was lying or the U.S. military and intelligence are operating independent of Presidential authority. Either one is a death blow for any possible negotiations of a peaceful end to the conflict in Ukraine or the middle east.

The other possibility is that intelligence actors are intentionally attempting to sabotage any efforts by Trump to avoid war. War would undoubtedly end any attempts by Trump to reform the U.S. Government and those who have orchestrated U.S. foreign policy for the last 30 years. War may be a small price for these actors if it will neuter Trump for the rest of his presidency.

It is no secret that much of the intelligence, targeting and planning for Ukraine is being done by U.S. and NATO personnel on the ground in Ukraine. The last 2 weekends of serious attacks into Russia are aided by those personnel. After this weekends attack on airbases and highway and rail infrastructure we can expect a significant response from Russia against Ukraine and NATO personnel. This coupled with Lindsey Grahams visit to Kiev promising them that the U.S. will do all that it can for a win against Russia, a win that would end in nuclear Armageddon.

Then there is so called negotiations with Iran, after every agreement by Iran on the principles the anti is raised to make it impossible of Iran to ever agree to to a total disarmament and then the likely military destruction of their country. This is Netanyahu's Libyan policy, disarm, then assasinate and destroy. Most everyone is now aware of that plan. Under those conditions there will not be any agreement with Iran. Then it is being reported that over 70 U.S. senators have told Trump that the budget bill will not be passed unless he agrees to cooperate in an attack on Iran.  Trump has been again trying to avoid war with Iran, knowing that it will derail his presidency, just what powerful actors want.

It is clear that Trump is being boxed in to do as powerful force want or he will be destroyed. He has been here before, will it take another miracle for him to escape the machinations of those who desire his and possibly world destruction.