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Monday, June 16, 2025

Spreading of WAR inevitable.

 U.S. CAN BE EXPECTED TO COME TO ISRAEL'S RESCUE

OTHERS IN REGION WILL AID IRAN



While this seems to be an intense war in progress, it is most likely just the beginning. Make no mistake, the goal of Israel's leadership has been openly calling for the "Libyan Plan" concerning Iran.  This was the hope to disarm Iran and then subvert and ultimately reduce the country into a chaotic and ineffective country. So far, Israel has been effective at starting that process, but one can be sure that Iran and its citizens know that it is in a existential fight for its existence. This war is going to get much worse and bring in more players. I do not expect anyone to attempt ground operations into Iran, as this will bring on calls from the entire Islamic world for fighters and resistance.

I suspect that this plan by Israel is going near as expected and its goal is to draw the U.S. into this fight. There will be overwhelming pressure within the U.S. to save Israel. At the same time Iran's neighbors will be under immense internal pressure to aid Iran. Even though Iran is not that popular with many in the region, they also understand that they will also be in peril in the future. We can expect demonstrations and rioting in Jordon and Egypt by the population. We should expect attacks on U.S. bases, even if secretly by Israel, to being the U.S. into the war.

Pakistan has indicated that if Israel uses nuclear weapons they will respond in kind. 

Turkey, not a fan of Israel, will use any opportunity to damage Israel and add to its position in the region.

This war may be the most unifying action for the Islamic world since the crusades.

Then there is the other hidden agenda of attempting to weaken the BRICS group's economic plans for the future. Iran is a pivotal geographic player in the silk road and the hope of avoiding sea lane commerce in the future. 

China, Russia, India and others do not want a devastated and unstable Iran. It is very likely they will give Iran material support and even weapons support. It is not about ideology it is about economic plans for the future.

There are reports that China is already sending support to Iran and they have access through Afghanistan. 

Then on the ground in Israel, they are using up their defensive missiles at a staggering rate. Their defenses have been doing well, but can they maintain a weeks or months long assault. Drones and even unarmed missiles will require a response and Iran may be holding back its most advanced and effective weapons until Israel starts to move defenses around to protect priority locations.

This is not about Iranian nuclear weapons, it is ultimately about control of mideast oil and the effort disrupt the move by much of the world to an alternative economic system. Control rather than co-existance and cooperation. It is a southern version of the Ukraine conflict. It is unlikely that it can be stopped, we can only hope for the best that this will not escalate into the ultimate end of civilization.


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